This sentence by Dostoyevsky never fails to hit hard:
“You sensed that you should be following a different path, a more ambitious one, you felt that you were destined for other things but you had no idea how to achieve them and in your misery you began to hate everything around you.”
Daniel Kahneman - the psychologist who won a Nobel in economics - spent his life proving one thing: your confidence is lying to you
A bat and a ball cost $1.10. The bat costs $1 more than the ball. The answer "10 cents" jumps to mind instantly. It's wrong (it's 5 cents) - and ~50% of students at Harvard, MIT and Princeton say it without checking.
That gap is his whole point: the fast, intuitive mind builds a clean story from almost nothing, and the feeling of certainty has nothing to do with being right.
"Confidence is a feeling, not a judgment."
"Stock pickers can't develop intuition - there isn't enough regularity for it to form."
"You can build a very coherent story out of very little information."
~45 min, free. how your mind fools you - from a man who studied it for 50 years ↓
INSTEAD OF WATCHING NETFLIX TONIGHT
Spend 30 minutes with this.
A speech by the Head of Anthropic's Coding Agents research team that teaches you more about vibe coding than 100 paid courses ever could.
This is not a tutorial.
This is the person who actually builds the system explaining how it works from the inside.
Most people learning to vibe code are learning the surface.
This goes underneath it.
30 minutes tonight.
The people who watch this will build differently tomorrow.
Completely free.
Bookmark this before you open Netflix 👇
Is Traditional Software Engineering Dead?
“Does this mean that traditional software engineering is dead? Absolutely not. Software engineers—even the ones who are not necessarily tuning or training AI models—these are now among the most leveraged people on earth. Sure, the guys who are training and tuning models are even more leveraged because they’re building the tool set that software engineers are using.
But software engineers still have two massive advantages on you. First, they think in code, so they actually know what’s going on underneath. And all abstractions are leaky. So when you have a computer programming for you—when you have Claude Code or equivalent programming for you—it’s going to make mistakes.
It’s going to have bugs. It’s going to have suboptimal architecture. So it’s not going to be quite right. And someone who understands what’s going on underneath will be able to plug the leaks as they occur.
So if you want to build a well-architected application, if you want to be able to even specify a well-architected application, if you want to be able to make it run at high performance, if you want it to do its best, if you want to catch the bugs early, then you’re going to want to have a software engineering background.
The traditional software engineer is going to be able to use these tools much better. And there are still many kinds of problems in software engineering that are out of scope for these AI programs today. The easiest way to think about those is problems that are outside of their data distribution.
For example, if they need to do a binary sort or reverse a linked list, they’ve seen countless examples of that, so they’re extremely good at it. But when you start getting out of their domain—where you have to write very high-performance code, when you’re running on architectures that are novel or brand new, when you’re actually creating new things or solving new problems, then you still need to get in there and hand code it.
At least until either there are so many of those examples that new models can be trained on them, or until these models can sufficiently reason at even higher levels of abstraction and crack it on their own…
And remember: there is no demand for average. The average app—nobody wants it, at least as long as it’s not filling some niche that is filled by a superior app. The app that is better will win essentially a hundred percent of the market. Maybe there’s some small percentage that will bleed off to the second-best app because it does some little niche feature better than the main app, or it’s cheaper, or something of the sort.
But generally speaking, people only want the best of anything. So the bad news is there’s no point in being number two or number three—like in the famous Glengarry Glen Ross scene where Alec Baldwin says, “First place gets a Cadillac Eldorado, second place gets a set of steak knives, and third place you’re fired.”
That’s absolutely true in these winner-take-all markets. That’s the bad news: You have to be the best at something if you want to win.
However, the set of things you can be best at is infinite. You can always find some niche that is perfect for you, and you can be the best at that thing. This goes back to an old tweet of mine where I said, “Become the best in the world at what you do. Keep redefining what you do until this is true.”
And I think that still applies in this age of AI.”
there is a concept called the Tolerance Paradox (by Popper)
basically if you are tolerant to the point of tolerating the intolerant, the intolerant will exploit that gap until the concept of tolerance itself disappears
western leftists somehow defending militantly intolerant theocracies is an incredibly fascinating expression of this
A sex therapist with 30 years experience revealed the real reasons so many couples go from passionate to platonic in under 2 years.
It's not stress, kids, or age.
It's these seven dynamics shifts…
Acne, eczema, and dermatitis aren't skin conditions.
They're gut disorders manifesting on your skin.
Steroids and creams always fail in the long term because the root cause lies in your GUT.
16 evidence-based tips to fix it:
1) Stop eating sugar
1/ Howard Marks just dropped 5 decades of investing wisdom in one conversation.
5 market calls in 50 years. $218 billion under management. Zero blowups.
Here's what separates him from everyone else: 🧵
4 Essential Functions of Government according to Milton Friedman:
1) Defense from foreign enemies.
2) Protect the individual citizen from abuse/coercion by other citizens.
3) Define the rules.
4) Judicial System: Mechanism for adjudicating disputes around the meaning of rules.
Extremists on both sides share one tactic: to treat Israel and Jews as identical. This is where we must draw the line. We can't allow disagreement with Israeli policy to devolve into attacks on Jews. And we can't allow those who criticize Israeli policy to be called antisemitic.
🚨 GAZA: HUNDREDS OF PALESTINIANS DETAINED WITHOUT CLOTHING | ON THE GROUND WITH HANDS BOUND
Israeli forces are seen detaining Palestinian men, almost naked and hands bound.