Zach Lowe:
"Eight years ago I wrote a piece about the supermax and how it was forcing teams into very painful decisions with home-grown superstars. And the tentpole for it was Jimmy Butler."
"If you draft a player and he becomes a success story to the point Jaylen Brown did, Finals MVP, Champion, beloved in the community, it just feels viscerally wrong that his contract becomes something you want to get rid of... something is wrong with a system that turns home-grown stars, in some cases not all, into albatross contracts."
Significant Overpay, he's a 93 Overall in 2k which has him tied as the 12th best player in the NBA & has the highest AAV in the league
Maybe the Cavs are projecting him to reach a 98 Overall in 2k but 2k don't really boost ratings that large for stars, Cavs might settle for 95
Yesterday, Brad Stevens mentioned how much harder it would have been to build around the Jay's at 70% of the cap compared to the 47% they made when they won at title.
As part of something I'm working on, I looked at how much the last 10 champions spent on their top two players.
What I'm discovering in this process is that there's no cheat code in the NBA like underpaying your best player. Notice that the best player on the 2026 Knicks, 2024 Celtics, 2019 Raptors or 2017 Warriors is not listed in this graphic.
Similarly, notice how the only team above that 70% figure Brad Stevens cited are the 2022 Warriors... who were probably the single team most responsible for the CBA environment we now exist in. Remember when Windy called one of their Finals games a "checkbook win." He was absolutely right. The 2022 Warriors paid just under 124% of the cap to their top four players.
@databallr I know this is offense focused but interested as to how the defensive analytics and data would impact this compared to others as a whole picture (especially cases like lamelo, Brunson, Steph, Luka who are much more limited defensively)
Walker Kessler went for a better return than JB
35 yr old Kawhi on an expiring went for more than JB
Lamelo Ball went for a better return than JB
JB is a 29 yr old, 5x All Star, 2x All NBA 2nd team, coming off a 6th place MVP finish who has no injury history
How are we here?