Dr. Skywalker

ex-Facebook ⓕ | Ph.D. in Computer Science | momentum trader | 401k/Roth follow my trend-following $TQQQ model | I could be dead wrong.

[Dr. Skywalker @drskywalker]

@ohiain I’m interested if Qs reclaims 50MA. Otherwise I’m looking for 20/50 MA rejection and short.

[Dr. Skywalker @drskywalker]

@sacha2070652 I hope an FTD can get the bull market back on track, but I'm leaning more toward a powerful bounce off the first leg down.

[Dr. Skywalker @drskywalker]

Can't believe I forgot to turn on my V-bottom indicator. 🤣🤣🤣

[Dr. Skywalker @drskywalker]

@LindaRaschke One of the best interviews I've seen lately. 🥳

[Dr. Skywalker @drskywalker]

Stage 4 downtrend. Price is riding the 9 EMA lower.

But if this is only the first leg down, a bounce from here could be violent. Possibly enough to tag the 21 EMA.

[Dr. Skywalker @drskywalker]

@Tailscale @bot @bot check this out

[Dr. Skywalker @drskywalker]

Epic!

[Richard Moglen @RichardMoglen]

My Podcast with @StanWeinstein13 is premiering now!

Stage Analysis, Lessons from 60+ Years, The Current Correction, and more!

https://t.co/aJ9FApUDft

[Dr. Skywalker @drskywalker]

Buffett's rules, updated for 2026 CEOs and traders:

Rule #1: Don't lose money.
Rule #2: Keep it in your pants.
Rule #3: See rule #2.

[Dr. Skywalker @drskywalker]

@JustLikeBit @bot take a look

[Dr. Skywalker @drskywalker]

@cryptosaysucks Your reply says otherwise.

[Dr. Skywalker @drskywalker]

Every single day $QQQ dropped 6% or more since its March 1999 inception, 30 total including today, and what happened at the next session's close:

𝟸𝟶𝟶𝟶-𝟶𝟷-𝟶𝟺:  −𝟼.𝟾𝟼%, Next day:  −𝟸.𝟻𝟻%
𝟸𝟶𝟶𝟶-𝟶𝟷-𝟶𝟼:  −𝟼.𝟾𝟽%, Next day: +𝟷𝟸.𝟹𝟽%
𝟸𝟶𝟶𝟶-𝟶𝟺-𝟷𝟶:  −𝟼.𝟷𝟶%, Next day:  −𝟸.𝟹𝟽%
𝟸𝟶𝟶𝟶-𝟶𝟺-𝟷𝟺:  −𝟾.𝟼𝟼%, Next day: +𝟷𝟷.𝟻𝟷%
𝟸𝟶𝟶𝟶-𝟶𝟻-𝟷𝟶:  −𝟽.𝟸𝟽%, Next day:  +𝟼.𝟷𝟷%
𝟸𝟶𝟶𝟶-𝟶𝟻-𝟸𝟹:  −𝟾.𝟹𝟻%, Next day:  +𝟼.𝟸𝟽%
𝟸𝟶𝟶𝟶-𝟶𝟿-𝟸𝟷:  −𝟽.𝟸𝟽%, Next day:  +𝟻.𝟿𝟷%
𝟸𝟶𝟶𝟶-𝟷𝟷-𝟶𝟾:  −𝟽.𝟾𝟸%, Next day:  −𝟶.𝟶𝟸%
𝟸𝟶𝟶𝟶-𝟷𝟸-𝟷𝟿:  −𝟽.𝟼𝟸%, Next day:  −𝟻.𝟽𝟹%
𝟸𝟶𝟶𝟷-𝟶𝟷-𝟶𝟸:  −𝟾.𝟺𝟼%, Next day: +𝟷𝟼.𝟾𝟺%
𝟸𝟶𝟶𝟷-𝟶𝟷-𝟶𝟻:  −𝟽.𝟼𝟻%, Next day:  +𝟷.𝟷𝟶%
𝟸𝟶𝟶𝟷-𝟶𝟸-𝟸𝟽:  −𝟼.𝟶𝟺%, Next day:  −𝟹.𝟷𝟼%
𝟸𝟶𝟶𝟷-𝟶𝟹-𝟶𝟿:  −𝟽.𝟶𝟷%, Next day:  −𝟼.𝟸𝟷%
𝟸𝟶𝟶𝟷-𝟶𝟹-𝟷𝟸:  −𝟼.𝟸𝟷%, Next day:  +𝟻.𝟶𝟾%
𝟸𝟶𝟶𝟷-𝟶𝟹-𝟸𝟶:  −𝟼.𝟽𝟹%, Next day:    𝟶.𝟶𝟶%
𝟸𝟶𝟶𝟷-𝟶𝟹-𝟸𝟾:  −𝟾.𝟸𝟷%, Next day:  −𝟷.𝟾𝟿%
𝟸𝟶𝟶𝟷-𝟶𝟺-𝟶𝟹:  −𝟽.𝟹𝟹%, Next day:  −𝟷.𝟽𝟼%
𝟸𝟶𝟶𝟷-𝟶𝟺-𝟸𝟹:  −𝟼.𝟽𝟷%, Next day:  −𝟷.𝟾𝟾%
𝟸𝟶𝟶𝟷-𝟶𝟿-𝟷𝟽:  −𝟾.𝟻𝟶%, Next day:  −𝟸.𝟸𝟺%
𝟸𝟶𝟶𝟷-𝟷𝟶-𝟷𝟽:  −𝟽.𝟷𝟾%, Next day:  +𝟸.𝟽𝟷%
𝟸𝟶𝟶𝟾-𝟶𝟿-𝟸𝟿:  −𝟽.𝟿𝟺%, Next day:  +𝟸.𝟾𝟾%
𝟸𝟶𝟶𝟾-𝟷𝟶-𝟶𝟽:  −𝟼.𝟹𝟺%, Next day:  −𝟶.𝟾𝟶%
𝟸𝟶𝟶𝟾-𝟷𝟶-𝟷𝟻:  −𝟾.𝟿𝟼%, Next day:  +𝟻.𝟺𝟸%
𝟸𝟶𝟶𝟾-𝟷𝟸-𝟶𝟷:  −𝟽.𝟻𝟸%, Next day:  +𝟹.𝟹𝟺%
𝟸𝟶𝟷𝟷-𝟶𝟾-𝟶𝟾:  −𝟼.𝟶𝟸%, Next day:  +𝟺.𝟾𝟸%
𝟸𝟶𝟸𝟶-𝟶𝟹-𝟶𝟿:  −𝟼.𝟿𝟻%, Next day:  +𝟻.𝟺𝟻%
𝟸𝟶𝟸𝟶-𝟶𝟹-𝟷𝟸:  −𝟿.𝟷𝟽%, Next day:  +𝟾.𝟺𝟽%
𝟸𝟶𝟸𝟶-𝟶𝟹-𝟷𝟼: −𝟷𝟷.𝟿𝟾%, Next day:  +𝟽.𝟻𝟾%
𝟸𝟶𝟸𝟻-𝟶𝟺-𝟶𝟺:  −𝟼.𝟸𝟷%, Next day:  +𝟶.𝟸𝟺%
𝟸𝟶𝟸𝟼-𝟷𝟷-𝟶𝟻:  −𝟼.𝟺𝟿%, Next day:     ???

Summary across all 29 prior instances:
- Full history, 1999 to 2025: 17 green, 1 flat, 11 red. Avg +2.67%, median +2.71%.
- Post-2008, 9 instances: 8/9 green, 89%. Avg +4.16%, median +4.82%.
- Since 2010, 5 instances: 5/5 green, 100%.

[Dr. Skywalker @drskywalker]

@fancy_financier @AlexN1932394

[Dr. Skywalker @drskywalker]

@Karenis05s My crystal ball is in the repair shop. 😂

[Dr. Skywalker @drskywalker]

@ChiefPicklez I buy high and sell higher.

[Dr. Skywalker @drskywalker]

@FranVezz So true. Many pros live by this rule. You might miss out on a few overnight runners, but saving your capital and smoothing the equity curve is well worth the trade off.

[Dr. Skywalker @drskywalker]

@OldBull58322044 @ChiefPicklez Fair point on sample size. Just sharing historical data points for perspective, not a predictive model.

[Dr. Skywalker @drskywalker]

@AlexN1932394 Did high school miss conditional probability and expected value in your track?

[Dr. Skywalker @drskywalker]

@ChiefPicklez Do you consider mathematical statistics a valid basis? If so, shouldn't it offer some insight?

[Dr. Skywalker @drskywalker]

@BTC_Oath No idea.

[Dr. Skywalker @drskywalker]

@assumeSi Anyone tells you they know what's gonna happen next is a liar, run! Nobody has a crystal ball.