Effective Quant

in perpetual pursuit of the best risk-adjusted strategy

[Effective Quant @effectivequant]

@smorrisey @JonathanPlucker @MrZachG So excited to hear you're working on a grade 2 version! Any timeline for official release? Also what are your thoughts on using/adapting the WMP for tutoring / a homeschool setting?

Huge fan! Thank you for all you do, and for raising the bar at all levels!

[Effective Quant @effectivequant]

@KelseyTuoc Thank you for such a detailed reply! :D

[Effective Quant @effectivequant]

@Eliana_Goldin @safe_gigi Do you plan to control group with someone using vanilla math academy? Because that's the baseline compared to the value the recess ai/tutor is adding?

[Effective Quant @effectivequant]

@ben_m_somers @neilquinn Thanks! Curious on the age range of this program? Still 8+? My sons turning 5 soon so super pumped for all these amazing platforms coming online!

[Effective Quant @effectivequant]

@ben_m_somers @neilquinn Does the insight (or any other insight) hold for ELA performance?

[Effective Quant @effectivequant]

@HannahWardEdu Almost done with my 4.5 year old but usborne begunners feel like a stretch right now. We've been doing little bear or frog and toad chapter a day and he's been a trooper but it still feels a bit much (takes him a good 20 min). Any suggestions to build up wpm/fluency?

[Effective Quant @effectivequant]

@rachelgoodlad Bellevue/Seattle metro please! So surprised it isn't announced already honestly with the kind of buzz Alpha makes here?

[Effective Quant @effectivequant]

@gtmom exciting! still pre-K at the moment but will reach out in a few months when we're closer. thank you!

[Effective Quant @effectivequant]

@gtmom will K-2 officially be supported soon or continue being a case by case basis for the foreseeable future?

Would love to try it out (out of state here and super interested for K)

[Effective Quant @effectivequant]

@justinskycak are you guys planning to extend it below 4th grade this year? or not really planning to go below that?

[Effective Quant @effectivequant]

@gtmom Appreciate the answers! Looking forward to timeback in the wild :D

[Effective Quant @effectivequant]

@gtmom Will gt anywhere have 'admission' requirements like some cog test? Will it start with K vs grade 3 for alpha anywhere (or is alpha anywhere going to K start too?)? When do you think you'll expand beyond Texas? (Obviously without the TEFA)

[Effective Quant @effectivequant]

@JulianKlymochko @GestaltU https://t.co/3naARe0uMj (not mine. just amazing though)

[Effective Quant @effectivequant]

@Ednever @mindBicycles Really insightful thread! thank you. I remember in your codex review you mentioned alpha write wasn't particularly strong, has that changed within timeback? Or more general TLDR/feelings about the platform as it stands today?

[Effective Quant @effectivequant]

Alpha school has been everywhere on my feed! Love that they're expanding aggressively to bring it to as many kids as possible and are super transparent with their scores etc.

Curious how the winter vs fall MAP scores compare across campuses or against previous years @jliemandt?

[Effective Quant @effectivequant]

@jliemandt @bittermtns Are these the first winter to fall comparisons since timebacks launch?

These results are crazy!!! And to think your devs and learning scientists are in the lab cooking more and more stuff up :o

[Effective Quant @effectivequant]

@WayneVaughan @BillAckman I really appreciate the perspective. Thanks! Wondering what you're thinking for your son next?

[Effective Quant @effectivequant]

@WayneVaughan @BillAckman What do you mostly attribute this to? Scaling challenges? I saw you were quite bullish as recently as October or was that the pressure you mentioned? Curious what alternatives you're exploring for your son?

[Cullen Roche @cullenroche]

Just to summarize what’s happened in the last few weeks:

They concocted this whole thing based on a fundamental misunderstanding of the global economy. They think manufacturing jobs will come back (they won’t). They think free trade made us poor, when it actually made us rich. They think the current account deficit is unsustainable when it’s a rounding error in our aggregate net worth and also accretive to our net worth. They think being the reserve currency is bad when it’s a sign that everyone wants to do business with us. And they think poor foreigners were taking advantage of us when we’re the richest economy in human history.

And to "fix" all of these "problems" they implemented the one policy idea that almost every economist alive says is bad.

And then when they implemented that idea they misunderstood the math behind the rationale and came up with numbers that were irrationally huge. So they had to backpedal.

And when bond yields moved a tiny bit higher they panicked and "fixed" all of this by making the numbers slightly smaller, but they clearly hadn't done the math again because the numbers are still way bigger than any economist would ever recommend they be. Then they patted themselves on the back because of intraday moves in stocks while an economic hurricane continues to barrel towards us because they have no idea what they’re doing.

Amazing stuff.