Why forecasting is tempting even when the results are terrible:
"The idea that the future is unpredictable is undermined every day by the ease with which the past is explained." - Kahneman
@nntaleb A wise man once said (Black Swan): “Our world is dominated by the extreme, the unknown, and the very improbable (according to our
current knowledge) and all the while we spend our time engaged in small talk, focusing on the known, and the repeated.”
@drsplace always tells the truth. There's a lot of fresh energy in agriculture - it's awesome. Just hope it isn't co-opted by BS artists, because they're piling up. Reminds me of agtech euphoria 5 or 6 years ago.
GHG emissions & potential to increase carbon stocks in soils are not easy to measure or alter in agriculture. Both are largely driven by microbes that are a part of complex ecological systems influenced by climate, soil types, animal diets, host animal genetics, and so on.