Francesca Caselli

Economist at the IMF. Views are my own.

[VoxEU @voxeu]

Higher #immigration of non-EU citizens into the #EU, driven largely by refugees from #Ukraine, could have a positive effect of potential output in the range of 0.2-0.7% by 2030.
@fgcaselli, A Gloe Dizioli & F Toscani @IMFinEurope
https://t.co/fxGoKCgBz8

[IMF Offices in Europe @IMFinEurope]

🧵1/5 Immigration into the EU reached a historical high of about 6.5 million following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022. New IMF research discusses the macroeconomic implications of this immigration increase for EU and euro area countries: https://t.co/QYzfBH0O2x

[Ippei Shibata @ShibataEcon]

My paper on cross-country evidence on she-cession with amazing co-authors @johnbluedorn @njharbo @fgcaselli @tavares_mm is now accepted at Labour Economics. https://t.co/3wXyU7VM5y. It was a very time-sensitive paper when first posted as IMFWKP, and I'm happy with the outcome.

[VoxEU @voxeu]

Changing jobs can impact earnings. Data from across Europe finds that younger workers experience an increase in earnings, while low-skilled, older workers see earnings losses.
@johnbluedorn, @fgcaselli, N-J Hansen, @tavares_mm, @ShibataEcon @IMFNews
https://t.co/f272Z04Xbo

[Andrea Presbitero @a_presbitero]

Nice evidence on the benefits of repaying sovereign debt—quite relevant in the current juncture. Paper by Matilde Faralli @ImperialBiz @fgcaselli @upanizza & @pmanasse

[𝙐𝙜𝙤 𝙋𝙖𝙣𝙞𝙯𝙯𝙖 @upanizza]

The Value of Building a Reputation for Repaying Debts: Overstated?

@MatildeFaralli @pmanasse and I talk with Mark and Mitu about our paper (joint with @fgcaselli ) on the benefits of repaying

@CFD_IHEID

1/2

https://t.co/ZVMwujOZ5Z

[𝙐𝙜𝙤 𝙋𝙖𝙣𝙞𝙯𝙯𝙖 @upanizza]

Thanks to @PSEinfo @DGTresor & @agnesbq1 for inviting me.

I will present "On the Benefits of Repaying" joint with @fgcaselli @MatildeFaralli & @pmanasse

The paper is here https://t.co/DFkMS4vrTJ

[IMF Africa @IMFAfrica]

The IMF projects headline inflation in emerging market and developing economies to decline to about 4% in 2022, but risks of a pickup remain. https://t.co/bhPVZ77g3H #WEO

[Francesca Caselli @fgcaselli]

Check out our new IMF WEO chapter on Inflation Scares @IMFNews

[Gita Gopinath @GitaGopinath]

New @IMFNews research on 'Inflation Scares' is out. It digs into supply & demand forces driving inflation, emphasizes the varying country experiences (which is being lost in discussions these days), projects that inflation is expected to moderate next year but with upside risks.

[VoxEU @voxeu]

During the #Latin#American #debt crisis, by not explicitly defaulting, #Colombia enjoyed significant #economic & reputational benefits, but these were short-lived
@fgcaselli @IMFNews, @MatildeFaralli @imperialcollege, @pmanasse @Unibo, @upanizza @IHEID
https://t.co/PH5Ft2k5Ge

[𝙐𝙜𝙤 𝙋𝙖𝙣𝙞𝙯𝙯𝙖 @upanizza]

On the Benefits of Repaying

New paper with @fgcaselli @MatildeFaralli & @pmanasse

We read old stuff about🇨🇴 in the 1980s and did some fancy econometrics.

It was fun!

Will try to do a 🧵during the weekend, but the paper is here:
https://t.co/Mor8j6v0by

[Francesca Caselli @fgcaselli]

@gonwei @GerardoLicandro @jponce_mvd Thanks a lot @gonwei !

[Francesca Caselli @fgcaselli]

@FSoyres Thank you so much @FSoyres

[Francesca Caselli @fgcaselli]

Very happy to see our work published in the JIE! @Grigoli82 @BertrandGruss and Rudolfs Bems

[Journal of International Economics @JIntlEcon]

New: "Expectations' anchoring and inflation persistence" by Rudolfs Bems, @fgcaselli, Francesco @Grigoli82, @BertrandGruss (@IMFNews). Cross-country comparisons of how inflation responds to terms-of-trade shocks. This article shows anchoring matters. https://t.co/PPJUxFy5oZ 1/4

[CEPR @cepr_org]

New CEPR Discussion Paper - DP16391
Expectations' Anchoring and Inflation Persistence
Rudolfs Bems @IMFNews, Francesca Caselli @fgcaselli @IMFNews, Francesco Grigoli @Grigoli82 @IMFNews, Bertrand Gruss @IMFNews
https://t.co/pZZDjSfKLK
#CEPR_IMF

[Francesca Caselli @fgcaselli]

@tavares_mm @timsvengali Thanks a lot 🙏🏻 Marina!!!!

[Francesca Caselli @fgcaselli]

Thank you @timsvengali !

[VoxEU @voxeu]

.@fgcaselli @IMFNews & @timsvengali talk #pandemics & #shecessions: in two-thirds of the countries studied women’s employment rates declined more than men’s, but these differences were short-lived & strongly correlated to specific sectors of the economy
https://t.co/rAZyUykgwU

[Marina M. Tavares @tavares_mm]

New @voxeu column out about the heterogeneity of #Shecession around the world.

“In 2/3 of countries women’s unemployment rate declines more than men’s, but the difference was short-lived.”
@ShibataEcon @johnbluedorn @fgcaselli @njharbo
https://t.co/NIea6SRqGZ

[Francesca Caselli @fgcaselli]

Our new work on cross-country evidence on #COVID19 ‘she-cessions’ is out in CEPR Covid Economics. @johnbluedorn @tavares_mm @njharbo @ShibataEcon

[CEPR @cepr_org]

Data from 38 countries shows that over half to two-thirds exhibited #COVID19 'she-cessions', with women’s unemployment rising disproportionately more than that of men: https://t.co/4ElGCbJfF4
@johnbluedorn, @fgcaselli, Niels-Jakob Hansen, @ShibataEcon, & @tavares_mm (@IMFNews)

[Marina M. Tavares @tavares_mm]

Join us tomorrow for a discussion about the impact of #COVID19 on the labor market and how policies can support workers.

@johnbluedorn @ShibataEcon @fgcaselli @JMondragonECON