Alexander Newton

PhD student @LSEEcon. Formerly @gov_analysis @ONS. In games, la perfide Albion. @[email protected]. Adam Tooze reply guy.

[Alexander Newton @goodpracticeal]

@jmwooldridge @FranNunesEcon @instrumenthull @JesusFerna7026 @lugaricano @metrics52 @Almost_Sure @probnstat @captgouda24 @goescarlos but it's also true that there may be causal relationship without there being any sort of probabilistic dependence - so the general point is not just about linear dependence.

[Alexander Newton @goodpracticeal]

Rights bounded utilitarianism you say? https://t.co/xFlW1Ifip0

[Alexander Newton @goodpracticeal]

Obviously rokos basilisk isnt an equilibrium with a rational AI... But with a spiteful one it's more believable

[Alexander Newton @goodpracticeal]

this corresponds to the expectation of the elasticities. PPML in this case does not go to the arithmetic mean (as the arithmetic mean is a function of x).

[Alexander Newton @goodpracticeal]

@guoxu_econ great stuff from Eric :)

[Alexander Newton @goodpracticeal]

@BBCNews needs some actual statisticians on its team maybe? Mental health problems can be both over-diagnosed and under-diagnosed so where is the option for this?

[Alexander Newton @goodpracticeal]

@NathanpmYoung Maybe Obsidian + AI assistant plugin?

[Alexander Newton @goodpracticeal]

@NathanpmYoung The stakes could be very high indeed

[Alexander Newton @goodpracticeal]

@ShakeelHashim I also have quite a big bet riding (hah) on them being in London by 2026 so would be great if Sadiq could listen maybe a little

[Alexander Newton @goodpracticeal]

@lastpositivist @lastpositivist do you know the answer to this?

[Alexander Newton @goodpracticeal]

@lastpositivist Separate question: what's the position called where probability statements represent how often the stater expects their universe of probability statements at the same probability to come true?

[Alexander Newton @goodpracticeal]

@jessRmorley Did you see Acemoglu's paper on the macroeconomics of AI? It's a conservative estimate but gives quite low macroeconomic boosts to GDP from generative AI

[Alexander Newton @goodpracticeal]

@benhayesnyc @Noahpinion Is it because there are so few nuclear power plants - only 430 worldwide - while there are huge numbers of solar and wind installations? It makes the nuclear line look much lumpier. The largest nuclear reactors in the world each produce like 1% of all nuclear power generation.

[Alexander Newton @goodpracticeal]

@jessRmorley Lol I remember thinking the exact same when I left. 15 additional exams later with 2 to go... Smh

[Alexander Newton @goodpracticeal]

@lastpositivist I like the masque scene.

Earth's increase. Foison plenty,
Barns and garners never empty

[Alexander Newton @goodpracticeal]

@krishnanrohit @economeager Condition was not to tweet about it

[Alexander Newton @goodpracticeal]

@lastpositivist @d08890 Holy shit

[Alexander Newton @goodpracticeal]

@MeiselZachary @alanklement @hubermanlab I think we aren't talking about the same thing. Have a good day!