Volume Profile | Complete Trading Guide
A detailed new video covering all the things I look for when using the volume profile tool.
Hopefully you find some use from this, any further questions don't hesitate to ask below.
*timestamps included
⤷ https://t.co/fiIyk19JTd
VanEck 🤝10 Crypto Predictions for 2025
Prediction #1: Crypto bull market hits a medium-term peak in Q1, sets new highs in Q4. We project Bitcoin to be valued at around $180,000, Ethereum to trade above $6,000, Solana to exceed $500, and Sui to surpass $10.
The Bittensor Network: Understanding $TAO Tokenomics and the $dTAO Revolution
Must read for those who are still struggling to understand TAO, and what are the dTAO benefits 👇
8/ So here is what I think we need to see for a true end of this particular cycle. I think the adoption cycle at this stage should be measured by true debasement vs the most important part of the fiat stock market, the MAG7. The last two cycle peaks ended with a massive rally of Bitcoin vs the MAG7. In my content I have called Bitcoin the purest AI trade as it accelerates the path to the new economic system of abundance. Watch this chart for a true cycle top.
Again this is not about being predictive (it never is), many assume it is.
Instead observing how price reacts at key inflection points, I dont know what happens next.
But all that matters is being reactive at key levels should I see a reason to execute a trade.
Whether thats a short or a long, I'll trade what I see fit.
$BERT is in @Gateio_Startup's voting event!
By voting for $BERT, you can help us climb the ranks and win rewards like $3,000 in prizes, Startup Vouchers, and more.
The event runs until Dec 10 at 08:00 AM UTC.
Let’s show the strength of our community! 👇
Coinbase secretly buys and pumps memes...
they made it with $PEPE (420x), $WIF (385x)
Now their wallets accumulating new lowcaps...
here's list of 1000x memes Coinbase will pump next 🧵👇
Gun to my head if I had to choose one indicator/tool to be stuck with for the rest of my life it would be:
Volume Profile (VP)
"....and volume ultimately measuring the success or failure of all advertised opportunities."
A Comprehensive Guide on VP - 🧵
4 BTC charts/indicators that I’m going to be watching over the next 12 months so I can sell my alts and go full blown maxi 🟧
1. Power Law (@Giovann35084111)
This chart uses a Bitcoin "power law" to set two key lines—resistance above today's price and support below, mirroring historical price trends to suggest future highs and lows. It predicts:
1 . Bitcoin may hit $100,000 between 2021-2028, staying above that after 2028.
2. Bitcoin could reach $1,000,000 between 2028-2037, never dropping below that post-2037.
These forecasts rely on past trends indicating the future, though unexpected events could change outcomes. Remember, these predictions are not guaranteed.
Smartmoney wallets moved to Base Chain!
Wallets that previously made: 100x on $DOGE and $250x on $MATIC accumulating low-caps.
I followed their posions for months.
Here's their list of 100x coins they accumalated on $BASE 🧵👇
RWA Sector Portfolios of Top VCs
The RWA sector has been dominating the market since the recent launch of BlackRock USD Institutional Digital Liquidity Fund👇
- $POLYX +200%
- $ONDO + 131%
- $TRU $GFI +100%
Which projects get adopted by BlackRock ?
1⃣ @MakerDAO $MKR
- DAI with RWA on Multiple Collateral
- Easy exposure to RWA, earning 15% APY just by staking $DAI
- $SPK is coming soon, DeFi whales are already farming $SPK.
- MakerDao's Endgame is set to launch in summer 2024.
- Endgame = New Brand, New Token
(1:24,000 Redenomination)
2⃣ @OndoFinance $ONDO
- $USDY, $OUSG, $OMMF, 3 products with an average of 5% APY
- Most exposure to BlackRock
- "World's first tokenized U.S. Treasuries" that packages BlackRock Treasury ETFs
3⃣ @TrueFiDAO $TRU
- Launched a new RWA lending platform called Trinity
- Crypto loans using tokenized RWAs as collateral
- Launched USD-based $TRI, tokenized T-bill product $tfBILL, yielding up to 15% APY
4⃣ @goldfinch_fi $GFI
- $USDC-based credit lending
- Solid teams, Founders from Coinbase
- Approx. 8% APY
- Low cap RWA
5⃣ @centrifuge $CFG
- RWA Product like loans and US Treasuries,
4-8% APY
- On-chain asset management: Comming soon
- Centrifuge Prime: Comming soon
6⃣ @maplefinance $MPL
- Institutional Lending Platform, up to 15% APY
- New roadmap and product announcements coming March 27th
- Recently expanded to Base eco
- Low cap RWA
7⃣ @ClearpoolFin $CPOOL
- RWA lending Platform, up to 17% APY + $OP Reward
- Recently expanded to MANTLE eco
- Low cap RWA
8⃣ @xendfinance $RWA
- Migration from $XEND to $RWA
- Recently rebranded as the World's first RWA L1 solution
- Not yet listed on a major exchange
- It's x3 since the rebranding announce, but M.cap is still low
9⃣ @Parcl $PRCL
- Parcl Points season 3 Ongoing
- TGE Soon (after season 3 end)
- @hoa_nft NFT holders receive points boosting
🔟 @MountainUSDM $USDM
- The first regulated yield bearing stablecoin
- USDM holders will benefit from BUIDL, as a core asset for USDM Reserves
*BlackRock USD Institutional Digital Liquidity Fund (BUIDL)
- $USDM is rated by S&P for secondary market stability and recognized as an eligible product
* * *
I hope you've found this thread helpful.
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Thanks for reading! 🫡
80% of profits are made in the last 20% of the cycle.
Learn how to recognize an alteason and make the most out of it.
What triggers an altseason is not the percentage return of $BTC but its wealth effect. And since September 2023, Bitcoin's market cap has grown by $941 billion.
Almost 1 trillion dollars.
• $1 trillion is roughly the size of the entire economy of Saudi Arabia, Netherlands, or Switzerland.
• $1 trillion is 2.89% of United States national debt.
• $1 trillion is 2.5% of the S&P500 total market cap.
• $1 trillion is bigger than almost all Sovereign Wealth Funds.
Given that most altcoins are relatively small in size, it will not take much of this wealth to significantly increase their price.
The whole altcoins market cap, excluding ETH and major stablecoins, is currently $588 billion.
So, when will this happen?
Probably, once $IBIT, $FBTC, $ARKB, and all other Bitcoin ETFs are at 100%+ from their launch price.
Rarely in the past tradFi investors had the opportunity to double their investment in a matter of a few months.
Bitcoin's big gains will boost their ego and confidence, pushing them to start exploring other coins. It's like making money in big companies and then taking a chance on smaller startups.
• Wealth Effect - As people experience gains in their wealth, they may feel more financially secure and confident. This increased sense of wealth can lead to a willingness to take on more risk and pursue higher returns.
• Overconfidence Bias - As investors experience success in one area of the market, they may become overconfident in their abilities to predict future market movements or identify lucrative investment opportunities.
• Recency Bias - If an investor has recently experienced significant gains, they may extrapolate this success to other areas of the market or investment opportunities without fully considering the inherent risks or differences in asset classes.
Whether it's the wealth effect, these biases, or all of them, we'll soon see a flywheel bigger than what we experienced in the previous cycles.
The percentage increase might be smaller this cycle, but the dollar scale is exponentially higher.
It took 57 days for the ETFs to be up 50% from launch. At $93,000, day-1 buyers will be up 100%.
At $72,900 and $97,100, the huge inflows between the 8th and 16th of February ($7.16 billion) will be up respectively 50% and 100%
At $85,700 and $114,600, those who entered between the 26th and 28th of February ($1.77 billion of inflows) will be up 50% and 100%.
It's good to keep them as a reference because this is what wealth effect is which leads to more risk taking.
What we need to keep an eye on are CEX inflows/outflows. Since 11 January, these were the inflows of the three most utilized CEXs:
• OKX - $1 billion of inflows
• Robinhood - $263 million of inflows
• Binance - $247 million of inflows
— Data from Defillama —
In the meantime, the cumulative inflow for ETFs reached $10+ billion.
It's clear that ETFs are the new preferred way to buy and hold $BTC.
On the other hand, no ETFs exist for altcoins (it can change). CEXs first and DeFi afterward are the only ways to get exposure to them.
CEXs inflows increasing = investors looking to buy altcoins.
Another way to look at it is by comparing the growth of stablecoins market cap and TOTAL2.
April 2021 - April 2022
• Stablecoins Market Cap: +$125 billion
• TOTAL2 Market Cap: +$430 billion
October 2023 - March 2024
• Stablecoins Market Cap: +$21 billion
• TOTAL2 Market Cap: +$707 billion
Money isn't entering the market as in the previous years.
Is this cycle different?
No. Simply, there is a step more to enter the market.
We passed from
CEXs → DEXs
to
ETFs → CEXs → DEXs
But, this additional step will push into CEXs hundreds of billions of inflows.
It only requires some patience.
Where are we heading?
If we have the same patterns as the previous cycle, we'll see a ~38% dominance for alts (excluding BTC - ETH - USDT - USDC - DAI) at the top.
With an overall $7.8 trillion crypto market cap, the market cap for alts would be around $2.96 trillion.
A 5.1x from where we stand right now.
The final stages will come when flows into CEXs/DeFi are at par or even higher than ETF ones.
'Impatience with actions, patience with results'
- Naval.