This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $193,000 on Polymarket
His bot trades the microstructure of short BTC Up / Down markets through limit orders and combines a hybrid of arbitrage, market making, and hedging
His strategy is simple:
> Enters a position when it sees mispricing
> Then buys the opposite outcome, turning part of the trade into a paired arb
> The base position is hedged with the pair, while the rest remains as a directional trade
This guy’s Polymarket account:
https://t.co/b1HWojsYxd
Using this strategy, he captures an average edge of 2-3% and repeats it hundreds of times
Consistent micro edge + clean execution = lifechange
Microsoft Senior AI developer just showed how they build AI agents with Claude at Microsoft.
34-minutes. free. By Microsoft team
Opus 4.7 + 1,400+ pre-built MCP tools
plug Claude into agent → give it tools → ship to production
worth more than any $500 vibe-coding course.
This is wild.
Someone just open-sourced a 1-person Wall Street AI agent that comes with:
- Research Desk
- Quant team
- Trading floor
- Risk Management
100% open source:
Boris Cherny, the creator of Claude Code at Anthropic, just explained how to write prompts that actually work
CLAUDE.md files, memory shortcuts, parallel sessions, and prompting patterns all in one video and completely free
The last time an El Niño this strong hit, it killed 50 million people. That was 3 to 4% of the entire world population. Scale that to today and you're looking at 250 million equivalent.
The 1877 Super El Niño triggered simultaneous droughts across India, China, Brazil, and East Africa. Crops failed on four continents at the same time. The famine lasted three years. Researchers have called it "arguably the worst environmental disaster to ever befall humanity."
NOAA's latest update gives a two-in-three chance this one reaches strong or very strong by fall. European models are even more aggressive. Sea surface temperatures need to exceed 2°C above normal to qualify as "super." The trajectory is pointing directly at that threshold.
Here's what makes 2026 structurally different from every previous Super El Niño: there are two independent supply shocks converging on the same crop cycle.
The Iran war has shut down roughly a third of the world's seaborne fertilizer trade through the Strait of Hormuz. US fertilizer supply was at 75% of normal in mid-March, right when the Corn Belt needed it most. Fertilizer prices hit their highest level since 2022. That input shortage is already baked into the 2026 growing season.
The El Niño yield shock operates on a 6 to 12 month lag. India is forecasting below-normal monsoons for the first time in three years. Indonesia and Malaysia carry 90% of global palm oil, and El Niño production declines in those countries take 6 to 24 months to peak. Every strong El Niño in the past 55 years has reduced global cocoa production.
So the fertilizer shortage weakens the crops El Niño is about to stress, and the El Niño yield collapse hits in 2027 on fields that were already under-fertilized in 2026. Two shocks with nearly identical lag structures, converging on the same harvest window.
The difference between 1877 and 2026: we can see this one coming six months out. The commodity futures curve is barely pricing either shock. Whether that's rational discounting or willful denial depends entirely on what the Pacific Ocean does between now and October.
This is absolutely insane.
President Trump is currently flying to China with all of the following people to request "deals" with China's President Xi:
1. Elon Musk, Tesla and SpaceX CEO
2. Jensen Huang, Nvidia CEO
3. Tim Cook, Apple CEO
4. Larry Fink, BlackRock CEO
5. Stephen Schwarzman, Blackstone CEO
6. Kelly Ortberg, Boeing CEO
7. Brian Sikes, Cargill CEO
8. Jane Fraser, Citigroup CEO
9. Larry Culp, General Electric CEO
10. David Solomon, Goldman Sachs CEO
11. Sanjay Mehrotra, Micron CEO
12. Cristiano Amon, Qualcomm CEO
President Trump also says there are "many other" CEOs joining him on the trip who have not yet been disclosed.
Never in history has such a trip even remotely near this scale and caliber occurred.
This Trump-Xi meeting is far bigger than most realize.
It’s not just Iran.
It’s Lebanon.
In less than 2 weeks, Israel has killed 570 people and displaced 750,000 — over 10% of the entire country. Residential buildings are being bombed with no warning.
The U.S. cannot continue to be complicit in Netanyahu’s wars.