Onur Erdal

A.H.T.nin "Huzur"lu "Hayri"si - Film Director Creative Director - Sociologist - Soccer Coach-
Lerner - I'll be "NOTHING" when I grow up

[Onur Erdal @huzurs]

BÖDÜP - Ben Öyle Düşünmüyorum Platfomu
Genel Başkan ve genelkurmay cumhurbaşkanı - başbakanı - hem de amerikanın presidentrezidınntı 32-33 001'in kendisinden sonraki Kurucu üyeniz.

Bu, sadece bugünün değil, insanlık tarihinin mevzusu ve sorunu.

[Zeki Bahçe @zekibahce]

Gazeteci:
Dün Barcelona'nın lig şampiyonluğu kutlamalarında Lamine Yamal'ın davranışları hakkında ne düşünüyorsun ve bir oyuncunun futbolla ilgili olmayan meselelere karışmaması gerektiğini düşünüyor musun?

Guardiola:
Peki sen de kendi yetkinlik alanın dışında şeylere karışmamalı mısın? Sen buradasın ki bana yarınki Crystal Palace maçını sorasın.

Yine de sorunu cevaplayacağım... Futbolcu bir rol modeldir, milyonlarca insan ona özenir ve görüşü etkilidir, bu yüzden gerekirse görüşünü paylaşmalıdır.

Karını ve çocuklarını evlerin altında ezilmiş halde bulsan ne yaparsın? Onlar gibi orada mı? Burada basın toplantısında çıkıp forma giyen ve topun peşinden koşan bir oyuncudan mı bahsedersin? Tabii ki hayır!!

Sen bizim ne hakkında konuşmak istediğimiz konuları seçmiyorsun, bu yüzden bunlar senin yetkinlik alanın değil. Lamine'in pozisyonu gurur duyulması gereken bir şey, şu anda dünyanın konuşulduğu konu haline geldi.

[tmtulgar @tmtulgar]

Home Affairs Committee Oral evidence: Routes to Settlement, HC 1409 Wednesday 21 January 2026 page#22
Nicolas Rollason:
Sometimes we have children arriving when they are much older—they might arrive when they are 16 or 17. If their parents are not settled by the time they go to university, those children have to pay overseas student fees, which can be very significant—£25,000 or more, and a lot more at some universities; and, if you are doing a master’s programme at Oxbridge, it’s going to be a hell of a lot more. They already have a
problem because they do not have ILR by the time they go to university.

Thank you for acknowledging that you were aware
Dear Mr Nicolas Rollason

Yes, it has already been far more demanding for #ECAA visa holders since 2021.

Three years of ordinary residence should have been enough — and before 2021, ILR wasn’t even required. Same Child—Same Right?
2021+3 = 2024
Why are we still required to pay international student fees after October 2024?

We need to earn before taxes:
👉£36k for a £30k Uni Fee/child
👉£77k to afford +£25k for rent
👉£110k to survive +£18k~for living

while the Skilled Worker going rate for a CEO is only £88,100. —Should Everyone Earn more than a CEO?

@CMurrayLabour @PaulKohlerSW19 @LauraTrottMP @lisanandy @Steph_Peacock @IanMurrayMP @patmcfaddenmp @Helen_Whately @bphillipsonMP @ShabanaMahmood @munirawilson @UKLabour @LabourList @Conservatives @LibDems
@KemiBadenoch @EdwardJDavey @UniversitiesUK @UUKIntl @ecaavisaowners

[Ege Beşe @egebese]

yayınlanan resmi x algoritmasını inceleyip duruyorum, olay artık basit bir sıralama mantığından çıkmış, arkada çalışan yapı resmen bir davranış bilimcisi gibi hareket ediyor.

gördüğüm en kritik şey şu: sen tweeti attığın mili saniyede, daha kimse görmeden, bir yapay zeka modeli (user simulation) devreye giriyor ve 19 farklı senaryoyu simüle ediyor.

yani olay "tweet atayım, like gelirse yürürüm" değil.

tweetin kaderi, "prediction x weight" formülüyle daha en başında belirleniyor. bu 19 parametrenin her birinin ağırlığı farklı ve açıkçası bazıları beni şok etti.

mesela "like" olayı...

yıllardır etkileşim kasmak için like dilenen tayfa boşa kürek çekiyormuş. kodlara göre "favorite" aksiyonu inanılmaz düşük bir ağırlığa sahip. yani birisi tweetini beğenmiş, beğenmemiş algoritmanın pek de umurunda değil. like, sistem için "ucuz" ve "zahmetsiz" bir sinyal.

peki asıl kral ne?

dwell time. yani tweetin üzerinde geçirilen süre.

p(dwell_time) ve p(video_view) metrikleri, like'ı ezip geçiyor. adam senin tweetine like atmasa bile, eğer parmağını durdurup 4-5 saniye o metni okuduysa veya videona takıldıysa, algoritma "tamam bu içerik değerli" damgasını basıyor. uzun tweetlerin, makalelerin, threadlerin ve uzun videoların son dönemde patlamasının sebebi tamamen bu matematiksel ağırlık.

ikinci şok edici detay ise "author diversity multiplier" dedikleri ceza sistemi.

bunu çoğu kişi bilmiyor, günde 20 tweet atan hesapların neden etkileşim alamadığını açıklıyor bu.

sistem şöyle işliyor:
günün ilk tweeti: %100 skor gücüyle başlıyor.
ikinci tweet: %70'e düşüyor.
üçüncü tweet: %50 civarına iniyor.

yani sen timeline'ı domine etmeye çalıştıkça, algoritma senin sesini matematiksel olarak kısıyor. "spam yapma, az ve öz konuş" diyor resmen. yani hesabını hem iş hem de kişisel amaçla kullanmak çok sakat.

bir de "personalization layer" var ki, burası işin korkutucu kısmı.

her kullanıcının son 128 etkileşimi (engagement history) bir vektör olarak tutuluyor. senin tweetin, o anki kullanıcının bu 128'lik geçmişiyle "match" ediliyor.

yani sen dünyanın en iyi ai tweetini de atsan, eğer karşıdaki adamın son 128 hareketinde teknoloji/yazılım yoksa, o tweet ona asla düşmüyor. "genel kitleye oynayayım" devri bitmiş, niş kitleye "keskin nişancı atışı" yapma devri başlamış.

negatif ağırlıklara hiç girmiyorum bile...

birinin seni "mute"laması veya "not interested"a basması, aldığın 100 retweeti siliyor neredeyse. sistem "rahatsızlık vermeyi" en büyük suç olarak kodlamış.

özetle dostlar;

olay artık şans değil, bildiğin istatistik ve olasılık hesabı. okyanusa olta atıp beklemek yerine, balığın olduğu yeri sonar ile tarayıp ona göre yem takmak gerekiyor.

ve görünen o ki, algoritma "tık tuzağı" yapanı değil, gerçekten okutanı, izleteni ve üzerinde düşündüreni ödüllendiriyor.

arayüzde gördüğümüz o basit "timeline" akışının arkasında, her saniye milyonlarca olasılık hesabı yapan devasa bir simülasyon var.

buna göre oynayın.

ben planlarımı değiştirdim. az ama öz, kaliteli içerikten devamke

[Onur Erdal @huzurs]

@egebese @ozdensamett O zaman bi 10 dk dwell time benden gelsin. Öööööyle gezicem ekranda, bi aşaaaa-bi yukarı. Like da bonusu. 😊🤘

[tmtulgar @tmtulgar]

Dear Rt Hon Laura Trott MBE MP
No child should lose their future because of a policy they had no control over.
Before 2021, three years of ordinary residence before the first day of the academic year was enough.
What Has Actually Changed? Same Child. Same Right.

the Earned Settlement delays create a systemic barrier that punishes children for their parents’ immigration category, not their own merit.
This is inconsistent with the UK’s stated commitment to DEI and with the principle that every young person should have an equal chance to pursue higher education.
A 10‑Year ILR Route Blocks Fair Access to Higher Education

We need to earn before tax
👉£36k for a £30k Uni Fee/child
👉£77k to afford +£25k for rent
👉£110k to survive +£18k~for living

Education Is a Right—Not a Luxury

Our Children Are the UK’s Most Valuable Asset

—exclude Closed Legacy route ECAA from Earned Settlement

https://t.co/nTGR1yxSx0

[tmtulgar @tmtulgar]

Section 55 of the Borders, Citizenship and Immigration Act 2009 imposes a clear statutory duty:
Every immigration decision must safeguard and promote the best interests of children in the UK.
This is not a procedural formality but a legal duty requiring the government to prioritise children’s physical, emotional, and educational wellbeing in every action it takes.
When families face status uncertainty, erased years, disrupted schooling, or the loss of a parent, the consequences fall directly on children — and those impacts cannot be ignored.
Policies evolve, but this legal protection for children's welfare remains paramount.

That responsibility belongs equally to the Home Office and the Department for Education.

Why Were Children’s Higher‑Education Rights Restricted After 2020 Based on Their Parents’ Visa Status After 2020?

Give children back their Home Student fee status and their right to apply to Student Finance, retrospectively, as intended under Earned Settlement

This duty also incorporates the UK’s obligations under the UN Convention on the Rights of the Child into domestic law, requiring that a child’s best interests be a primary consideration in all decisions (Article 3 UNCRC).

@wesstreeting @StuartAndrew @SKinnock @AshleyDalton_MP @zubirahmed @karinsmyth
@AngelaRayner @mtpennycook @SharonStevenage @sianberry @lisanandy @michaelgove @CarolineLucas @AnnelieseDodds @bphillipsonMP
@munirawilson @LauraTrottMP @KemiBadenoch @ClaireCoutinho @ShabanaMahmood @tonyvaughanMP @PaulKohlerSW19 @carolinenokes
@labourlewis @SirRogerGale @sarahjolney1 @FeryalClark @OllyGloverLD @labourpress @UKLabour @LibDems @EdwardJDavey
@Conservatives @UniversitiesUK @UUKIntl
@LabourList @EmmaBurnell_ @TulipSiddiq
@ecaavisaowners
https://t.co/nTGR1yxSx0

[tmtulgar @tmtulgar]

Earned Settlement may risk a London exodus
London now has around 3.8M homes — yet the city’s demographic balance is shifting fast, with 40% of residents born outside the UK and post‑2021 migration patterns reshaping demand.

Since 2021, over 1M skilled/work‑route migrants arrived to plug labour gaps — an estimated 300–400K settled in London — but collapsing net migration (down to 204K) and rising non‑EU departures signal a turning tide.

If ILR moves from 5 to 10 years from April 2026, tens of thousands of mid‑tier workers may simply leave rather than wait a decade — accelerating an outflow already visible in the data.

Rental demand in London is down ~20% YoY (Zoopla Dec 2025), supply is up (6% in London), and rents are stagnating or falling — with overall London growth at just 1.6% while Inner London sees declines of up to –5.8% (Hamptons 2025). The migration‑fuelled rental boom is clearly unwinding.

As more renters exit and landlords sell at a loss
-14.8% of London homes sold below purchase price in 2025 — a record high, driven by flats, the middle of the market faces real downward pressure — and the speculative era looks over.

Is this the right moment to push it?
Has Earned Settlement’s housing impact been studied?
@AngelaRayner @mtpennycook @SharonStevenage @sianberry @lisanandy @michaelgove @CarolineLucas @AnnelieseDodds
@bphillipsonMP @munirawilson @LauraTrottMP
@KemiBadenoch @ClaireCoutinho @ShabanaMahmood @tonyvaughanMP
@PaulKohlerSW19 @carolinenokes @labourlewis
@SirRogerGale @sarahjolney1 @FeryalClark
@OllyGloverLD @labourpress @UKLabour
@LibDems @Conservatives @UniversitiesUK @UUKIntl @LabourList @EmmaBurnell_
@Hamptons1869 @ecaavisowners
https://t.co/79WQC8SfNn

[tmtulgar @tmtulgar]

Earned Settlement Delays Penalise Children and Undermine DEI Principles
The extended ILR timeline created by the earned‑settlement system has a disproportionate impact on children who grow up in the UK and reach university age while still classified as temporary migrants. Because they are not eligible for home‑student fees or student‑finance loans since 2021, these children face significantly higher tuition costs and are excluded from financial support available to their peers.

This problem didn’t start with Earned Settlement. After 2020, children growing up in the UK have already been pushed into disadvantage — and the new system makes it even worse.

Before 2021, three years of ordinary residence before the first day of the academic year was enough.

So What Has Actually Changed? Same Child. Same Right.

Diversity is undermined when children who have lived most of their lives in the UK are priced out of higher education.

Equity is violated because these young people are not given fair access to the same opportunities as their classmates, despite sharing the same schools, communities and aspirations.

Inclusion is compromised when a policy structurally excludes a specific group from progressing into higher education simply due to an extended immigration route they cannot control.

A Future of Belonging Requires Fair Opportunity Today

In practice, the Earned Settlement delays create a systemic barrier that punishes children for their parents’ immigration category, not their own merit. This is inconsistent with the UK’s stated commitment to DEI and with the principle that every young person should have an equal chance to pursue higher education.

No child should lose their future because of a policy they had no control over.

We call for fair, humane, and equitable settlement pathways that protect young people’s right to education.

@AnnelieseDodds @bphillipsonMP @munirawilson
@KemiBadenoch @ClaireCoutinho @ShabanaMahmood @PaulKohlerSW19 @carolinenokes @SirRogerGale @sarahjolney1 @FeryalClark @OllyGloverLD @labourpress @UKLabour @LibDems @Conservatives @UKHouseofLords

https://t.co/SuPao2GZol

[SilencedSirs◼️ @SilentlySirs]

This assault didn’t happen in Tehran…

It happened in the “land of democracy” 🇺🇸
where women are beaten in the streets, and the story gets buried under: “An investigation is underway.”

America doesn’t need to export democracy.
It needs to learn it first.

[Ramy Abdu| رامي عبده @RamAbdu]

“France condemns the use of violence against protesters in Iran”.

France with protesters. 👇🏼

[Earth Hippy 🌎🕊️💚 @hippyygoat]

Mark Ruffalo stands on the right side of History.

Mark, Thank you for saying what most of the world are also screaming!
📍Golden Globes.

[Ounka @OunkaOnX]

In Sebastia, West Bank, Israeli soldiers stopped a 25-year-old at a checkpoint, assaulted him and forced him at gunpoint to say "I love Israel" and "I'll do whatever they ask," then posted the video on his Facebook. Imagine what horrors happen behind the camera.

[ManCity Türkiye @ManCityTurkiye]

Pep Guardiola, Filistin'e destek açıklaması yaptı ve halkı yarın soykırımı protesto için Barcelona sokaklarını doldurmaya davet etti. #FreePalestine

[Tiberius @tiberiusfiles]

Perfection

[Matt Lech @MattLech]

Idk how people see this and don't see that it is the ending of the world

[Irlandarra @aldamu_jo]

A girl with courage and brave Ahed Tamimi, who was locked up at 16 for slapping an Israeli soldier, was reportedly detained again Nov 2023 .

Listen to her speak in 2022 about the 12,000 Palestinian children Israel has imprisoned since 2000.

Free Palestine 🇵🇸

[Medea Benjamin @medeabenjamin]

You are genocidal maniacs

[Mosab Abu Toha @MosabAbuToha]

I have just received this video that was taken a few hours in Rafah. It’s of a son transporting on his bike the body of his father who was sniped near the “aid” site in Rafah.