Tuesday’s election for Governor of Virginia is a state race in name only. Our forecast predicts that Glenn Youngkin will win the Virginia Governorship with a two-party vote share of 52.1%. https://t.co/VanK7nReXW
Join the Harvard Government Department’s (@HarvardGovernm1) 1st grad course in political methodology (data science in polisci) for credit, this semester! Harvard students: enroll in Gov2001.
Others: register in @HarvardExt as Stat E200. All info at https://t.co/bwcFZAjoQi
Four NEW Senate rating changes today:
#FLSEN: Likely R → Lean R
#NVSEN Likely D → Lean D
#NHSEN Likely D → Lean D
#WISEN: Lean R → Toss Up
Don't miss @JessicaTaylor's masterpiece Senate overview (🔒): https://t.co/DoccqOYB9u
Our Data Fellowship fall cohort applications are now open! Through Bluebonnet Data, you can apply your skills in data science & analytics to support progressive campaigns while learning about the political data & tech landscape 🧑💻
Apply Today: https://t.co/PHvifkNbiH
New York City’s elections board released a new preliminary tally of ranked-choice votes after botching, and then retracting, Tuesday's count. They suggest a tightening race between Eric Adams, the primary night leader, and Maya Wiley and Kathryn Garcia. https://t.co/5PcYwla73l
A lot of people have been blowing the whistle on NY's election administration for years, but this is the most botched election results reporting by an official agency I've ever seen in the U.S.
From my article: "Eric Adams polling low in third-choice polling percentages in the recent polls spells potentially bad news for him after all votes get tallied up... Garcia has taken a far lead in third-choice polling percentages from the latest Emerson poll".
Breaking News: Eric Adams’s lead in the New York City Democratic mayoral primary shrunk after an initial count of ranked-choice ballots, with Kathryn Garcia in second. Nearly 125,000 absentee ballots still need to be counted. https://t.co/WMWKax9WF5
My latest @FiveThirtyEight piece with @ProfHansNoel is now up: https://t.co/0QIKvXi2bt
We use @YouGovAmerica surveys of political activists in 2016, 2021 to show how Trump is redefining what it means to be "conservative"--even among political activists.
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A guest post from @dhopkins1776 + @profhansnoel shows how Donald Trump has redefined conservatism. Whether GOP senators are seen as conservative by activists now has more to do with their support for Trump than how their conservative their voting record is
https://t.co/BrUEaAU4JB
Which candidates are polling high in the Democratic primary? Who is donating to the candidates? This feature explores both polling and campaign finance data for the 2021 New York City mayoral election.
https://t.co/v5tvBJlm0N
BREAKING: Democrat Melanie Stansbury wins election to U.S. House in New Mexico's 1st Congressional District. #APracecall at 8:04 p.m. MDT. #Election2021#NMelection