I may start an advice column where I don't read any of the letters and just answer them with "Break up; divorce him; strangle him in his sleep."
I think I'd be right 90% of the time.
@josh_coven Very interesting, thanks for sharing.
(I posted about it at the blue place, but other than naming you and including the link you shared, wasn't sure there was a way of more directly attributing it to you. If you're on there, let me know so I can tag you.)
Doesn't matter how much I try and understand the statistics of it all, in my heart, if tomorrow is 51-49 Harris,
AMERICA ASCENDANT
Same margin to Trump,
AMERICA BETRAYS ITSELF
We are on ULP strike. We gave @nytimes management months of notice of our strike deadline, we made ourselves available around the clock, but the company has decided that our members arenโt worth enough to agree to a fair contract and stop committing unfair labor practices.
Quirk of when I became a citizen, but I have never voted for a presidential ticket that didn't have a woman on it.
Proud to say that my vote today continued that streak.
@smallgovlizard@SeanTrende Not a ton of high quality polling in Florida. Also, Florida is demographically very different from the Midwest.
If Harris is losing support among minorities (relatively speaking) but gaining it among older, more educated, whites, Florida should be complicated.
@SeanTrende You are forgetting something.
As someone with no public profile, neither my prior nor current views matter to anyone or anything but me.
Back on the hopium train, baby!
@nataliemj10 Thank you for this thread. Interesting.
Am I understanding your argument correctly if I conclude that you think polls could converge in good faith BUT aggregation would still be low value add b/c law of big numbers doesn't apply?
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