Jared Bruh

Enthusiastically bitter, long term optimist. Social dynamics, peacetime innovation and strategy @warstudies. My back hurts.

[Jared Bruh @jmbruh]

“The King of Great Britain is absolute; for though he doth not act without the parliament, by places, pensions, honours & promises, he obtains the sanction of the parliament for doing as he pleases. The ancient form is preserved but the spirit of the constitution is evaporated”

[Mike Young @micyoung75]

Four justices who signed Humphrey's Executor in 1935 had also signed Myers v. United States nine years earlier, the case Roberts says Humphrey's betrayed. Sutherland, who wrote Humphrey's, was one of them, and one of the Court's four horsemen who spent the New Deal era striking down legislation on originalist grounds. He did not forget Myers. He drew a distinction Roberts has now erased: the president can remove officers wielding core executive power, but Congress can attach conditions on administrative bodies exercising power that belongs to it, not him.

Roberts calls this a return to constitutional first principles. His own opinion then carves out an exception for the Federal Reserve, since monetary policy isn't subject to plenary presidential control. That reasoning applies just as cleanly to the Federal Trade Commission, whose entire purpose is regulating commerce Congress, not the president, was given authority over.

An originalist ruling that needs an unexplained exception to survive its own logic isn't originalism. It's a preference wearing a costume.

[Jacob Coffman @JakeC0ffman]

I don't think people realize how revolutionary home robotics will be for modern life.

My wife and I talk about this constantly. We want to go on a walk with our daughter after work but one of us needs to cook dinner so we rotate.

We put the baby down for the evening but have a house to clean so one of us showers while the other cleans the house and the kitchen.

Someday this work will be done by a robot - the hours that we have lost over the years will come back to us because of companies like @weaverobotics

[Aaron Reichlin-Melnick @ReichlinMelnick]

It was struck down 6-3 decision, although only 5-4 on the Constitutional question. Four justices would have rewritten the Constitution's plain text and ignored centuries of precedent on the scope of birthright citizenship. Thankfully, they were the minority.

[Justin Slaughter @JBSDC]

Fact check: true.

The Gorsuch concurrence suggests that technocratic policymaking free of politics is impossible, which is probably true (we all have some bias). But throwing the doors open to everything being political is 1) not what the founders intended and 2) a mistake.

[Ben Rossen @benrossen]

Trump v. Slaughter will have major implications for the future of AI regulation. If you want a federal body that can independently assess frontier models and then impose binding consequences - free from political or partisan influence -- that just got a lot harder, if not impossible.

[Matt Darling 🌐🏗️ @besttrousers]

"The liberals never ask, "Why are these nations unable to provide basic, heavily-subsidized goods and services?"

[Tzuri @Vlo_Avlasa_Bo]

Considering his contributions to our culture, this should warrant some sort of Jewish fast day

[Peter Savodnik @petersavodnik]

This is the kind of politics that countless voters crave. Set aside your partisan commitments — this is not about party or tribe. This is an old-fashioned liberalism, one that loves America and, rightly or wrongly, imagines itself helping America become more American.

[Jeremiah Johnson 🌐 @JeremiahDJohns]

Arpit is correct. The rent freeze is a bad idea. It raises rents in the long run because it discourages construction, and in the short run all it does is shift rent increases from stabilized to market rate units. Many people's rents will *increase* because of this move.

[Jan Kulveit @jankulveit]

Well written explanation why the idea of "permanent human overclass" is mostly incoherent - either states stay ~pro-human, and the underclass does not happen, or not, in which case wealth does not save you. Fates of humans are likely correlated.

[Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼 @Noahpinion]

The reason we're blackpilling is THE PHONES.

The technology of the 2010s is making us incapable of appreciating the technologies of the 2020s.

[signüll @signulll]

kinda crazy how society holds technology & ppl to very different standards esp for quality & risk.

e.g. self driving cars have to be near perfect with zero risk when an average human driver is pretty horrendous. ai has to never hallucinate, be incredibly precise, write perfect prose without any patterns, & never make mistakes when the average human has off days, gets sick, & isn’t even that good at these tasks in the first place etc.

in order to make progress, we need to forgive technology in the same way we often forgive humans. like we don’t expect every human to be immaculate although i guess we do when we are looking for love.

[Robbie Hendricks @robbiehendricks]

Here’s what happens next:

1) Now that existing landlords can no longer can raise rents as costs inflate, they either let their apartments fall to ruin or quit entirely

2) New development ceases as investors avoid investing where revenue is fixed, expenses are not, and their work is vilified

3) The now state run, run down apartments are exploding in cost as housing units go offline and new development completely stops outside of wildly over budget, always delayed government housing

4) The communist response is to blame greedy landlords and developers for not being willing to go bankrupt to provide housing for others

5) As the productive flee the city, the communists have no choice but to increase taxes even more - on everyone, not just the few rich left in the city

6) The race to the bottom begins, as societal unrest grows, factions develop, and in-fighting reigns

7) The great hope - which is not a guarantee - is that reason eventually prevails and a reversion to common sense enables the slow, painful recovery of New York City

There is no path for this to go well, NYC.

It ends as it always has throughout history: Less housing, higher prices, and higher taxes for you.

[Aaron David Miller @aarondmiller2]

Having been around block in Arab-Israeli negotiations, this is one impressive document, especially bold from Lebanese Govt, given Iran/Hizbollah threats. Israel had pretty good lawyers. The word withdrawal doesn’t appear; redeployment does. Clearly implementation is challenge.

[Centrism Fan Acct 🔹 @Wilson__Valdez]

It's really sad because if we had elected a normal president, the 250th anniversary of our country would have been a really cool celebration of everything that makes this country great.

Instead, we get one miserable, unpopular asshole inserting himself into every little thing and making it about himself.

And it was entirely predictable if you had a pulse the past 10 years. Oh well...

[James Rosen-Birch ⚖️🕊️ @provisionalidea]

ngl it’s kinda wild that China is the land of hypercapitalist competition fueled by open-weight models anyone can use, and America is the land where the executive branch of government must personally approve you to have the privilege of giving a private company your money

[mattparlmer 🪐 🌷 @mattparlmer]

As of rn the most significant risk by far posed to human welfare by growth in AI capabilities is the consolidation of economic power in entities that are selected for political or ideological reasons

There’s no clearer path to a dangerous singleton than a closed govt program

[kache @yacineMTB]

Datacenters don't really make sense for the vast majority of people when the vast majority of people aren't allowed to use what is inside the datacenter. It is all going to get hoarded for an elite few, further crushing the rest of the unnecessary populace

You see the problem?

[Andrew Curran @AndrewCurran_]

@TheZvi Restricted access while development continues at top speed and the gap slowly widens creates a lot of nightmare scenarios I don't even like thinking about. If people had any idea of the upper bound of capabilities, or believed any of this at all, they would be freaking out.

[Zvi Mowshowitz @TheZvi]

Our new AI policy is that the White House decides ad hoc, for whatever reasons it likes, who does and does not get access to frontier intelligence. This seems rather maximally terrible.