@MatthewBerman someone should invent a website where you can have a repository of code which is version controlled. you could push new changes, there could be automated testing, and deployment.
This is the time of year when a lot of investment firms welcome interns. While our work is geared toward institutional investors, a lot of it can be useful for learning about markets and the investment process. Here are a handful of reports and how they can guide interns:
If you can’t convincingly articulate your edge in a market, whether sports betting, prediction markets, stocks, commodities, or whatever else, trading may provide some entertainment but you’ll almost certainly lose money over the long term.
🧠 New Research ideas! Are LLMS making equity markets more efficient? Here's the number.
Lu, Xu, and Vulicevic (2026) use outages at major LLM providers as natural experiments to isolate the effect.
When LLMs are available, next-day return predictability drops by 46–61%. When providers go down, predictability roughly doubles or triples, as if the clock ran backward.
The mechanism: LLMs process public information faster and on a larger scale, compressing the window for slow arbitrageurs.
The pace at which public information gets priced in has visibly accelerated over the past two years. This paper puts a clean number on what I'd been observing informally.
The implication for systematic managers is direct: any signal that relies on slow information absorption is decaying faster than it did five years ago.
📄 Lu, Xu, Vulicevic: https://t.co/K5OVBiU74g
→ More research like this in my newsletter: https://t.co/Xtg63h9wiS