Julien

[Julien @julienbenc]

@Yair_Rosenberg Who can survive on a measly $2,700 of pistachio ice cream?!?

[Julien @julienbenc]

@sfrantzman One Battle Too Many

[Julien @julienbenc]

@GordoCDA Unfortunately fake. It's from 2022.

[Julien @julienbenc]

@sfrantzman @Lazar_Berman @pauldgross The challenge is that the Minister of National Security is a terrorist.

[Julien @julienbenc]

@aziz0nomics This is almost certainly AI.

[Julien @julienbenc]

@ewong @nytimes What an absolutely twisted and misleading piece of reporting.

[Julien @julienbenc]

@AnshelPfeffer Is there any evidence for this 100 hours plan?

[Julien @julienbenc]

@JezPernell @Mr_Andrew_Fox @MotivatedManta @simonmontefiore Because that's not how it works? Ballistic missiles are not simply pointed in the general direction of their targets and sent away with a prayer that they'll make the distance.

[Julien @julienbenc]

@Mr_Andrew_Fox @MotivatedManta @simonmontefiore Why do they deserve the benefit of the doubt? And why would they have shot a 2000km range missile at a target 4100km away?!

[Julien @julienbenc]

@Richard25950910 @aeberman12 @HamidRezaAz Not the same at all actually. Unlike Suez and Panama which are artificial canals, the strait is a natural waterway and passage through it is guaranteed by customary international law.

[Julien @julienbenc]

@zriboua https://t.co/4LaNy2FWIw

How do you interpret this? It reads very negatively and seems too one-sided no?

[Hamidreza Azizi @HamidRezaAz]

#Iran War Update No. 15 (focus on Iranian strategic narrative):

🔹Iran has reportedly fired around 400 ballistic missiles toward Israel since the start of the war, according to Israeli sources.

🔹Negotiations over passage through the Strait of Hormuz are beginning to reshape the maritime landscape. After Iran allowed several Indian ships to pass, India released three Iranian oil tankers that had previously been seized under sanctions, suggesting bilateral bargaining between Tehran and countries seeking safe transit.

🔹This raises the possibility that other states may pursue similar arrangements with Iran. If multiple countries negotiate direct passage deals, it could amount to a de facto recognition of Iranian leverage over the Strait of Hormuz – something Donald Trump administration strongly opposes.

🔹Iran continues expanding its economic targeting list. The IRGC warned that industries across the region with American involvement or ownership stakes could become legitimate targets. This is effectively arguing that multinational companies linked to the United States constitute part of American interests and may be targeted in retaliation.

🔹Iranian analysts claim that U.S. operations are facing growing logistical constraints. According to these assessments, damage to regional bases has forced the United States to conduct more long-range bombing missions from Europe and rely heavily on aerial refueling, increasing operational costs – especially after losing at least seven refueling aircraft in the past few days.

🔹Hardline voices in Iran are already proposing more permanent forms of leverage over the Strait of Hormuz. Suggestions include imposing transit tariffs on ships, denying passage to U.S. and allied vessels, seizing Israeli-linked ships, or keeping the strait closed until U.S. forces withdraw and compensation is paid.

🔹Iran continues to rely heavily on cluster-warhead missiles in its strikes against Israel. Iranian analysts argue that these warheads disperse multiple submunitions, making it much harder for Israeli air defenses to intercept every projectile.

🔹The war is increasingly targeting logistical infrastructure. Iranian sources claim that more than 14 U.S. bases across the Persian Gulf have been struck in recent days, with attacks aimed at degrading logistical support networks for operations against Iran.

🔹Within Israel, Iranian sources claim strikes on logistical facilities near Haifa, while at sea there are reports that the aircraft carrier Abraham Lincoln may have suffered an accident affecting its operations, though details remain unclear.

🔹Iran has also intensified pressure on Gulf infrastructure. A drone strike reportedly hit the port of Fujairah in the UAE, a key facility that allows oil exports to bypass the Strait of Hormuz, highlighting Tehran’s effort to prevent alternative shipping routes from weakening its leverage.

🔹Iran has warned Gulf states that energy infrastructure could become targets if Iranian oil facilities are struck. Iranian media published a list of major energy terminals across Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, Kuwait, and Bahrain that could serve as retaliatory targets, especially if Iran’s oil infrastructure in Kharg island is targeted by the U.S.

🔹Iran-backed Iraqi militias continue to expand the battlefield. A missile strike hit the U.S. Embassy compound in Baghdad’s Green Zone, reportedly damaging part of its air-defense system.

🔹There are growing indications that the Houthis may soon enter the conflict. A Houthi official stated on Iranian state TV that the decision to support Iran militarily has already been made, raising the possibility that shipping through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait could also come under pressure.

🔹If that occurs, the conflict would affect both major maritime chokepoints linking Asia, Europe, and the Middle East. Simultaneous pressure on Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb would force the United States and its partners to divide their naval resources across multiple theaters.

🔹The war is also reshaping regional strategic thinking. Discussions within the GCC increasingly focus on reducing dependence on the United States and exploring new regional security arrangements involving countries such as Turkey or Pakistan.

🔹Diplomatic mediation efforts continue, but there are no signs of an imminent ceasefire. Both Tehran and Washington appear unwilling to halt the war under current conditions.

🔹From Tehran’s perspective, the conflict is no longer simply about immediate retaliation but about forcing a new strategic equation. Iranian officials increasingly argue that sanctions relief, compensation, and new security guarantees would be required before any lasting settlement becomes possible.

🔹Overall, the trajectory of the conflict suggests that both sides are moving further up the escalation ladder. With pressure building simultaneously on regional infrastructure, maritime chokepoints, and U.S. positions across the Middle East, the war is increasingly shifting from a primarily bilateral confrontation into a broader regional strategic contest.

[Julien @julienbenc]

@udiudi @N12News

[Julien @julienbenc]

@zriboua What does Iran get in exchange for letting Chinese ships through?

[Julien @julienbenc]

@acdlite Just ask an LLM to turn the interview into a 250 page book.

[Julien @julienbenc]

@Savy20242024 @AbdullaRAK Why you have an Iranian dick in your mouth

[Julien @julienbenc]

@hyphy_republic @manniefabian 🤣🤣🤣🤣

[Julien @julienbenc]

@IUPswack @WakeUp2Politics @nick_field90 https://t.co/XwB57zr8sr

[Senator Jim Justice @JimJustice_WV]

Thank you, President Trump, for your strong, decisive leadership.

Cathy and I are praying for you and the First Lady today, and for the safety of our service members in the Middle East.

God Bless our troops and God Bless America.

[Julien @julienbenc]

@AnshelPfeffer How can a reporter of your caliber say something so obtuse? How could the death of Khamenei be the only goal of this war? He was dead in the first 5 minutes.

[Haviv Rettig Gur @havivrettiggur]

Funny story: Most of the never ending expansions of the Roman Empire were carried out in what the Roman Empire was always careful to characterize as defensive wars.

Every conquest. Every genocide. Rome always pretended to be provoked.

Iran is one of the most brutal rampagers through this region, as most Arabs will tell you.

And like the Romans, it is never not “provoked.”

It was one of Hamas’s biggest early supporters, not to help the Palestinians, but to undermine the PLO and the peace process in order to ensure, over the bodies of dead Palestinians, Israel’s eventual annihilation.

Iran won’t stop declaring its intention to murder my kids and my people.

It has committed and enabled vast brutalities, the deaths of hundreds of thousands in the region, the slow demolition of nations through the building of non-state proxies — all because it is perpetually “provoked.”

Well now I’m provoked.

And a regime that has murdered and oppressed for 47 years, declared itself at war with the West and America constantly and repeatedly, from its founding ideologues to its present-day rulers, mass-murdered Marines in Lebanon and also Jewish civilians in Argentina — no longer gets to play the “provoked” game.

You reap what you sow.

[Julien @julienbenc]

@LoisAceLane @FaytuksNetwork The fact that he hasn't appeared on TV yet is a sign.