Full write-up - every number, the charts, the per-game breakdown, and what broke - here. The Rust rewrite and the live restart go to the email list first:
https://t.co/YzxCXgrFqH
Every "I built a Polymarket trading bot" post on here is a LARP. Here's mine: 3,858 bets, +$4,973 net, and the wallet's public so you can check every line.
The interesting part is the half that lost money.
Now I'm rewriting the core in Rust for correctness and speed - a silent bug with >$3k on one market is terrifying. Then turning it back on in public, with the numbers live on the site.
The guaranteed money was always the real edge.