Krishna

19 | Data + Elections fein | Opinions are my own | #VAPol

[Krishna @krishnalytics]

@GwenGraham Greetings, unfortunately I'm not a FL resident, but I'm rooting for you guys from VA! Big fan of you m'am, all the best!

[Krishna @krishnalytics]

Wow, what a surprise. Gwen Graham is a name I haven't heard in years. She ran for Gov in 2018, her father was the popular former Governor and Senator Bob Graham

[Politics & Poll Tracker 📡 @PollTracker2024]

Tallahassee Democrat: Gwen Graham named as David Jolly's running mate for Florida Governor by Tallahassee pastor

Jolly is seeking the Democratic nomination for Florida governor

https://t.co/IysrtwqjPU

[Krishna @krishnalytics]

@EricMGarcia I geniunely wonder what the implications of that are for FL Dems. Like are FL voters now just completely immune from any national environment change or will we see a much closer election cycle for once this year

[Krishna @krishnalytics]

@BackupRanger @styt101 I think he would've won by the same margin as 2022, doubt he does worse than that. I do agree that Flanagan wins by 7 points minimum

[Krishna @krishnalytics]

Like if the MN GOP couldn't beat Keith Ellison in a post-covid redder year like 2022, in what world are they beating Peggy Flanagan lmao

[Krishna @krishnalytics]

The MN GOP is not so subtly trying to boost Flanagan because they think she's the "easier to beat" opponent... which is odd because these guys couldn't even pick up a single downballot race like Auditor or AG during the redder 2022 midterms...

Quite the interesting strategy

[Dustin Grage @GrageDustin]

Angie Craig is the BEST.

Republicans LOVE Angie.

We can’t stand that evil Peggy Flanagan though. No! Very, VERY bad!

Thank you Angie for helping us PASS the Laken Riley Act to fully fund ICE!

[Krishna @krishnalytics]

@AGlavkoverkh Unless the Fox polling phenomena of Federal D-Ramaswamy voters exist that is...

[Krishna @krishnalytics]

@enjayglowbe72 I'm surprised this is messaging they're going forward with

...on the other hand the Dem ticket is an elected state auditor that's overperformed top ticket by 19 points, and a Dem commissioner in a Trump+43 district that voted for Obama in 2008

IA is truly a case study this year

[Krishna @krishnalytics]

@JoeNC05 That's just the generic ballot, with individual races like Pulido running in TX-15, some Dems will overperform the baseline

[Krishna @krishnalytics]

@ColeSandick Hickenlooper got like 58% of the vote in 2020 as a former Governor with the entire Dem establishment behind him (Obama, Harris, Salazar, DSCC).

I think he's always asleep on the wheel with elections after 2014, or he is just outright unpopular with CO Dems

[Krishna @krishnalytics]

@auautumntumn @davidslosttt Anecdotally, every other Dem I spoke to always ended their assessment on him with "BUT he's a billionaire though". I have no idea what Pritzker's gameplan is for 2028 (if he even has one) because I don't think it would go to well.

[Krishna @krishnalytics]

@AzelfDaGirl I know its just an online poll but is it GGs for Jackson? Pingree and Shah seem to be having momentum behind them, I haven't heard or seen too much from Jackson

[Krishna @krishnalytics]

@auautumntumn @davidslosttt Who do you think would've been the better candidate other than Steyer? I can only see Padilla or Harris being able to take Steyer's spot AND improving in terms of electoral prospects

[Krishna @krishnalytics]

@BeshearStan Bernie and AOC jumping in would make this race so much tighter and competitive, I also don't think they'll end up doing it.

It's about 3 weeks away and all the attention is still on Maine today and then NY 2 weeks from now, CO is under the radar and will prob stay that way

[Krishna @krishnalytics]

Methinks its gonna end up like 62-83 or 64-36, if this poll is anywhere near reality.

Hickenlooper isn't the strongest Dem for primaries even though he was a former Gov. Theoretically if the Bernie wing of Dems got behind Gonzales, she'd make this primary close

[Politics & Poll Tracker 📡 @PollTracker2024]

Colorado Community Research poll | 5/17-5/28 LV

US Senate Colorado Democratic primary 2026 (leans pushed)

🟦John Hickenlooper 41% (incumbent)
🟦Julie Gonzales 34%

Link to poll: https://t.co/kKWnyO5Wcs

[Krishna @krishnalytics]

@ZhouJaron Crawford voted for Obama in '08, this ticket altogether screams "we're trying to re-assemble the Obama coalition again". If Sand of all people loses this race, I think its fair to say that IA is gone gone for Dems for at least another generation

[Krishna @krishnalytics]

@GovernorSteyer I thought I was hallucinating the headline, deadass had to squint my eyes and reread it again carefully

[Krishna @krishnalytics]

@PokiJaciii The million dollar question is who gets the second place spot. It's between Steyer and Hilton imo, who do you think (based on current info and polling and all) gets that

[Krishna @krishnalytics]

@BeshearStan This is actually so fire, thanks man