Joe Rogan, Tucker Carlson, Patrick Bet-David, Piers Morgan, Chris Cuomo, Tim Dillon and others share their thoughts on RFK Jr's campaign:
@RobertKennedyJr#Kennedy24
Before we have a million robots in the physical world, we will first see a billion embodied agents in virtual worlds. Gaming is the second major area I'm dedicated to in 2024. AI and Gaming are born for each other, and their happy marriage is just getting started.
On one hand, open-ended games provide a "primordial soup" for generalist AI to emerge. An agent's capabilities are upper-bounded by the complexity of the world it lives in. Minecraft is a prime example. In 2023, we saw an explosion of new algorithms enabled by Minecraft. To name a few:
- MineCLIP (from our team's open-source framework MineDojo): learn reward functions by watching 100,000s of YouTube gameplay videos.
- VPT (OpenAI): imitate behavior by pseudo-labeling actions from YouTube.
- Voyager: in-context lifelong learning with an explicit Skill Library of code.
- STEVE-1: guide actor to follow commands in MineCLIP's latent space, inspired by DALLE-2
- And many more: DEPS, Jarvis-1, DreamerV3 ...
Besides Minecraft, there are a lot more games that require extremely advanced perception, agility, exploration, reasoning, and planning. We are just starting to scratch the surface.
I believe games (and simulation in general) will provide the next trillion high-quality tokens to train our foundation models. What's cool is that these tokens are actively selected by the agent itself through exploration. It can choose to experiment with things that maximally reduce its internal uncertainties - kind of like how human curiosity works.
On the other hand, AI will lead to a paradigm shift in the Gaming industry. This year, we see a surge of community interest in Stanford Smallville, where 25 AI agents inhabit a digital town. They go to work, gossip, organize socials, make new friends, and even fall in love.
It's an exciting experiment, but we still have not felt any impact on the real games out there. This is because our LLMs are too boring and too expensive. If you take a look at Smallville's chat log, you will find that the conversations are not fun at all. No parents talk to their kids in such polite manner. The unit economy of deploying so many agents also does not make sense at scale.
That being said, I believe 2024 is an inflection point. The Digital Westworld is coming, and will transform the industry once and for all. Games will feel truly alive. The characters will interact with humans and each other, form relationships, take consistent actions over their lifetime, and react in human-like ways. Each game will have infinite replay value, and each player will have unique and tailored experience.
12 thoughts on incentives:
1. Don't ask your barber if you need a haircut.
2. "I can fix the $32 trillion US debt problem in 5 minutes. You pass a law that when there’s a deficit of more than 3% of GDP, all sitting members congress are ineligible for re-election” - Warren Buffett
3. 33% of British criminals were dying en route to Australia in the 1700s.
Britain switched from paying sea captains for every passenger who walked on the ship to paying them for every passenger who walked off.
Immediately, the survival rate shot up to 99%.
4. How to waste your time: Try to defy the laws of physics -- or try to get a man to understand something when his salary depends on his not understanding it.
5. “Never attribute to conspiracy what is more easily explained by incentives and incompetence.” - Naval
6. During the 1980's, the government of Athens came up with an idea to limit pollution: Odd-numbered and even-numbered license plates.
On dates with an odd number, the odd plates could drive. And vice versa.
The rich people just bought another car -- with even worse emissions. The streets got more jammed and the pollution got worse.
7. “If you reward profits alone, it’s the dumbest thing you could do. Employees will quit advertising and start shrinking the business” - Buffett
8. If video games teach us one thing: If you want to motivate humans, frequent rewards are more addicting than one-off rewards.
9. In Hungary, every woman who gives birth to 4 children or more never has to pay income tax.
Prediction for the next 2 decades: As populations decline, every government will be focused on child-bearing incentives.
10. “I think I've been in the top 5% of my age cohort all my life in understanding the power of incentives, and all my life I've underestimated it. And never a year passes but I get some surprise that pushes my limit a little farther." - Munger
11. If a person tells you why their thing is great (city, relationship, or job) - take it with a pinch of salt.
If they tell you why it's terrible - take it like a handful of gold.
If someone swims upstream against their identity and incentives, it probably holds some deep truth.
12. Skinner's Law: If procrastinating, 2 ways to solve it:
Option 1 - Make the pain of inaction > Pain of action
Option 2 - Make the pleasure of action > Pleasure of inaction
The person with a gun to their head and crack cocaine at the finish line doesn't need motivation.
AI video tools like Runway and Pika have started to produce amazing results and will eventually disrupt Hollywood. (PT32)
Here are the best AI videos this week:
Meditation can always go deeper, wider, higher, or lower, depending on how the meditator approaches it. Meditation can also change over time, as the meditator grows and learns from their practice. Meditation can be a lifelong adventure, a continuous exploration of reality.
Nikola Tesla, a brilliant inventor and scientist, had an intriguing theory about the Great Pyramids of Giza. He believed that the pyramids were not just tombs for the pharaohs, but also served a higher purpose as energy transmitters.
Tesla's fascination with the pyramids stemmed from his understanding of the Earth's ionosphere and the potential to harness the energy of the cosmos. He theorized that the pyramids were aligned with the Earth's magnetic field and could be used to generate and transmit electricity wirelessly.
To test his theory, Tesla built Tesla Towers according to laws inspired by studying the Pyramids themselves. He even filed a patent in the U.S. titled "The art of transmitting electrical energy through the natural medium," outlining designs for a series of generators around the world which would tap the ionosphere for energy collection.
While Tesla's theories on the pyramids have been met with skepticism by modern scholars, his innovative thinking and willingness to explore new ideas demonstrate his brilliance. The mystery of the pyramids continues to captivate us, and Tesla's ideas have undoubtedly contributed to the ongoing fascination with these ancient structures.
Edvard Munch was born 160 years ago today.
You know he painted The Scream, but did you know he made five different versions of it?
This is the strange and tragic story of Edvard Munch, a man who created some of the most haunting art the world has ever seen...
1/n Was December 8th, 2023, the day when we've come to realize that AGI technology has been democratized? That it cannot be confined to the few and the GPU-rich? Let me explain to you what happened yesterday.