Researching SE Asia, Institutions, and Political Violence. Georgetown SSP '14. Assistant Research Fellow at National War College. Views my own. RT ≠ endorsement
In a democracy, when and where should majorities rule? And when should their powers ever be limited? Steve Levitsky and I propose a framework to think through these questions in a new piece in the January 2025 issue of 'Journal of Democracy'
https://t.co/T3YgeclBqn
On the latest Talking Indonesia podcast I chat with Indo-Pacific Research Centre colleague @indobaker on Indonesia's regional elections & shrinking parameters of contestation, against the backdrop of political elite calls for return to direct appointments
https://t.co/tB8AA08pWs
‼️ NEW WORKING PAPER ‼️
Can a conversation with ChatGPT reduce certainty in false or unsupported beliefs? If so, is this because AI as a source is particularly persuasive? OSF preprint: https://t.co/uul4Li2F9U (Feedback welcome!)
Here is a not so short 🧵:
After 3 rejections and nearly 2 years of back & forth, I'm thrilled to finally see this published! Here, I delve into the Moros’ struggle to address injustices, highlighting how memory becomes a powerful force that drives ongoing fight for justice.
https://t.co/aCUuw8ZjW3
Very happy to share that this article on drawing on fieldwork in the BARMM over the past year is now online with @democ_journal! We owe many thanks to @swisspeace and @PAWscholars for helping us workshop this paper to get it to this stage!
https://t.co/4jVLSwQj8e
Former Iloilo City Mayor Jed Mabilog on Friday said he is willing to testify in the investigation of the International Criminal Court (ICC) into the Duterte administration's drug war. https://t.co/MUo8rgLCCo
Bold essay by mates @HerveLemahieu & @SusannahCPatton in @ForeignAffairs, which marks an important contribution to the debate on the balance of power in Asia. A few thoughts/reactions 🧵1/17: https://t.co/Y9YDp1jRQh
After decades of democratic regression, Indonesia is now at the edge of competitive authoritarianism. @evewarburton & @sdjaffrey in @ANUIndonesia Update 2024 traces how incumbent abuse of Jokowi and Prabowo especially in breaching electoral red lines is changing political trajectory of the country.
Fulcrum Commentary by Yasmira Moner and @ariesarugay - The May 2025 BARMM elections will not only decide the fate of the conflict-ridden region but also test whether its rules can effectively reduce the dominance of political dynasties. #Philippines https://t.co/kXUdTE47g4
Nation-wide demonstrations shows support for electoral democracy remains high. This isn't shared by major political parties who are collaborating in cartel-like fashion to shrink competitive space. This set to increase under Prabowo. New piece by me @iseas
https://t.co/L8qx5ivxeM
"We are convinced it is for real. It was not some snap decision, easily reversed. It was the result of a nearly 15-year reconsideration of ends and means, aided by two years of intensive discussions with a police team from Densus88."
https://t.co/ycsKblCreA
Marcus Mietzner’s analysis of Indonesia’s 2024 elections, “Jokowi’s Pyrrhic Victory: Indonesia’s 2024 Elections and the Political Reinvention of Prabowo Subianto,” Contemporary Southeast Asia - free download https://t.co/M9dtkccVqY
My quick thoughts on @ChannelNewsAsia regarding Jemaah Islamiyah (JI) leaders' June 30 announcement to disband the organization. Tl;dr: still important to monitor the risk of group splintering and members' infiltration of Islamic organizations.
https://t.co/Kf8csAUAww
"That said, the threat should not be exaggerated. If a splinter group does emerge, it will take some time for them to reorganise and recruit new members."
Excellent think piece as always by @alifstria.
Read our latest bulletin which covers tensions and violence as captured by our Critical Events Monitoring System in May 2024 and highlights the displacement of thousands due to clan feuding, extremist violence, and random shooting incidents.
Read here: https://t.co/xnwM8PGw9d
https://t.co/viuOgQ4cBQ
An interesting perspective on local politics.
Pockets of Aurora are still affected by armed conflict which may not be a total surprise given the socio-economic context.
NTF-ELCAC covered 17 barangays in the area for development projects.
I'll be presenting my working paper at AIFIS-MSU Conference on Indonesian Studies 2024 on Jun 20, 2024. I would love to see you there!
https://t.co/YXjHRPxuZo