LV

[LV @lvernhes]

@m_franceschetti @bryan_johnson Turns out I AM Bryan Johnson 😅

[Andrej Karpathy @karpathy]

Judging by my tl there is a growing gap in understanding of AI capability.

The first issue I think is around recency and tier of use. I think a lot of people tried the free tier of ChatGPT somewhere last year and allowed it to inform their views on AI a little too much. This is a group of reactions laughing at various quirks of the models, hallucinations, etc. Yes I also saw the viral videos of OpenAI's Advanced Voice mode fumbling simple queries like "should I drive or walk to the carwash". The thing is that these free and old/deprecated models don't reflect the capability in the latest round of state of the art agentic models of this year, especially OpenAI Codex and Claude Code.

But that brings me to the second issue. Even if people paid $200/month to use the state of the art models, a lot of the capabilities are relatively "peaky" in highly technical areas. Typical queries around search, writing, advice, etc. are *not* the domain that has made the most noticeable and dramatic strides in capability. Partly, this is due to the technical details of reinforcement learning and its use of verifiable rewards. But partly, it's also because these use cases are not sufficiently prioritized by the companies in their hillclimbing because they don't lead to as much $$$ value. The goldmines are elsewhere, and the focus comes along.

So that brings me to the second group of people, who *both* 1) pay for and use the state of the art frontier agentic models (OpenAI Codex / Claude Code) and 2) do so professionally in technical domains like programming, math and research. This group of people is subject to the highest amount of "AI Psychosis" because the recent improvements in these domains as of this year have been nothing short of staggering. When you hand a computer terminal to one of these models, you can now watch them melt programming problems that you'd normally expect to take days/weeks of work. It's this second group of people that assigns a much greater gravity to the capabilities, their slope, and various cyber-related repercussions.

TLDR the people in these two groups are speaking past each other. It really is simultaneously the case that OpenAI's free and I think slightly orphaned (?) "Advanced Voice Mode" will fumble the dumbest questions in your Instagram's reels and *at the same time*, OpenAI's highest-tier and paid Codex model will go off for 1 hour to coherently restructure an entire code base, or find and exploit vulnerabilities in computer systems. This part really works and has made dramatic strides because 2 properties: 1) these domains offer explicit reward functions that are verifiable meaning they are easily amenable to reinforcement learning training (e.g. unit tests passed yes or no, in contrast to writing, which is much harder to explicitly judge), but also 2) they are a lot more valuable in b2b settings, meaning that the biggest fraction of the team is focused on improving them. So here we are.

[LV @lvernhes]

@VinsAmateur J’avais beaucoup apprécié la même bouteille il y a 2 ans 🥰

[LV @lvernhes]

@PhilippePERNOT4 @PinardTweetard @VinsAmateur Pour bien connaître le domaine, effectivement c’est une question de style (selon moi)
Leur St Aubin sont merveilleux 🥰

[LV @lvernhes]

@PinardTweetard @VinsAmateur 🙏🏻🙏🏻

[LV @lvernhes]

@PinardTweetard @VinsAmateur Même jeune? J’ai une 2022 🥹

[Marko Jukic @mmjukic]

A fertility rate below 1.6 means 50% less new people after three generations, say 100 years. Below 1.2 means an 80% drop.

The U.S. is at 1.64. China, Japan, Poland, Spain all below 1.2. South Korea is at 0.7—96% drop.

Mass extinction numbers.

[LV @lvernhes]

@PinardTweetard Merci de votre réponse !

[LV @lvernhes]

@FabriceGreffe @JohnDhn J’ai goûté la même cuvée en 2009 il y a 2 semaines et c’est magnifique 😍 Je les préfère avec au moins 10 ans d’âge

[LV @lvernhes]

@VinsAmateur À tenter ;) Les 2022 sont top!

[LV @lvernhes]

@ValentinoO_69 Mayard 🥰

[Chris Bakke @ChrisJBakke]

BREAKING:

I'm hearing several reports that Sam was let go by the board after they opened a door labeled

"Top Secret GPU Room - DO NOT ENTER"

and found 21,700 people in the basement of OpenAI HQ manually responding to all ChatGPT questions

More to come.

[LV @lvernhes]

@DivingInMyBrain 100% rostaing! J’en ai acheté 2 récemment, rdv dans 10-15 ans 😋

[LV @lvernhes]

@FabrizioBucella Peut-on / faut-il l’attendre un peu plus? J’en ai un en cave et j’hésite à me retenir encore quelques années 🤔

[LV @lvernhes]

@BlindTasters Thank you, I’ll give it a shot soon!

[⛩ Ryo Saeba | Japon XYZ ⛩ @Ryo_Saeba_3]

Sushi en LEGO 🤯
https://t.co/tOYj5txv5f

[John Burn-Murdoch @jburnmurdoch]

Time for perhaps the most damning stat of all:

One in 25 American five-year-olds today will not make it to their 40th birthday.

No parent should ever have to bury their child, but on average across the US one set of parents from every kindergarten class most likely will.