Market ratios

[Market ratios @Marketratios]

@ZeeContrarian1 -10% today. Time to fire your biotech guy

[Market ratios @Marketratios]

@dontewright221 So what’s the point of copying @ZeeContrarian1 here?

[石井(投資アナリスト) @Atom_FEH]

88歳現役トレーダー・藤本茂さん。資産20億円を築き、「令和のブラックマンデー」で2億6000万円の含み損を抱えても生き残った男が、血と汗で掴んだ「相場の8箇条」です。
1. 朝の急落は「買い」、朝の急騰は「売り」。
2. 午後の急騰は追わない。午後の急落は翌朝に狙う。
3. 朝の急落でパニック売りしない。動かない時は「休む」。
4. 高値を追わねば売らず、急落せねば買わず、横ばいなら動かず。
5. 陰線（下がった日）で買い、陽線（上がった日）で売る。
6. 相場の波に流されるな。��に「逆」を突け。
7. 高値圏・安値圏のもみ合いは、焦らず「待ち」に徹する。
8. 高値横ばいから「もう一段」跳ねたら、迷わず利益を確定する。

すべては長年の経験から生まれた「本物の原則」です。共感した方は「いいね」をお願いします。

[Ryan Detrick, CMT @RyanDetrick]

Breadth continues to support this bull market.

[Market ratios @Marketratios]

@grok if a recession materialises and the fed lowers rates, which mortgage stocks likely see a rebound?

[Market ratios @Marketratios]

@chickengenius All that cocky writing and due diligence and 🔶 emojis only to see your entire portfolio -10% today ROFLOLMFAO

[Norseman Market Timing @Norseman1]

Follow-Through Day $NASDAQ, New ATH $SPX 600. Look at the weekly on $RSP.

[Aksel Kibar, CMT @TechCharts]

Long-term perspective for #SILVER Bulls. Defend 50, all is good.

[Bryan Johnson @bryan_johnson]

This is biblical.

A woman in her eighties. Ten years into Alzheimer's. Hadn't spoken a full sentence in five years.

Takes one, 5 gram dose of psilocybin.

She slept 19 hours and woke up and spoke for hours about her life, recognized family and held real conversations. She regained bladder control after five years, walked on her own. and dressed herself. Gains held for weeks.

[Michael | Hypermarkets @itsmichaelluu]

Biggest generational buying opportunity for $SPY is in June.

When $SPY crashes 10%-20% buy these:

1. $NOW ~$105 | Buy zone: $80–$85
Near 52-week lows. Agentic AI platform still printing revenue. Market overreacted to selloff.

2. $BE ~$254 | Buy zone: $160–$180
$2.6B Nebius fuel cell deal validates the thesis. AI power demand is just starting.

3. $SNDK ~$1,645 | Buy zone: $1,100–$1,200
Flash memory demand exploding as AI storage cycle accelerates hard.

4. $NVDA ~$205 | Buy zone: $165–$180
Off the highs but AI capex cycle just entered year three. Pullback is the gift.

5. $QCOM ~$204 | Buy zone: $180–$190
Jensen just publicly endorsed $QCOM. ByteDance ASIC deal massively underappreciated catalyst.

6. $ORCL ~$202 | Buy zone: $160–$170
Earnings tonight. Cloud RPO backlog growing 80%+. Bears get destroyed after this print.

7. $INTC ~$106 | Buy zone: $80–$90
Google sourcing 3M chips in 2028. Turnaround trade with explosive upside from here.

8. $GOOG ~$360 | Buy zone: $300–$320
AI Search monetization + cloud + Waymo. Most undervalued hyperscaler on the board.

9. $MSFT ~$400 | Buy zone: $360–$370
Copilot enterprise rollout just hit NHS 505K employees. Azure AI is compounding daily.

10. $META ~$586 | Buy zone: $520–$530
$145B capex plan + Llama dominance = AI moat nobody's pricing in correctly right now.

11. $AAOI ~$163 | Buy zone: $100–$120
Optical interconnects are the AI bottleneck. AAOI is the pick-and-shovel inside the wall.

12. $LITE ~$807 | Buy zone: $600–$700
Northland just raised PT to $1,200. Photonics supercycle is real and Lumentum owns it.

13. $PLTR ~$132 | Buy zone: $120–$125
85% YoY revenue growth. US gov + enterprise flywheel locked in. Dip buyers always win.

14. $MRVL ~$264 | Buy zone: $180–$200
Jensen called it the next trillion-dollar company. S&P 500 inclusion = forced buying incoming.

15. $AMD ~$461 | Buy zone: $360–$380
MI300X shipments accelerating. Hyperscaler diversification away from NVDA benefits AMD most.

16. $IREN ~$53 | Buy zone: $30–$35
Nvidia took a 30M share option at $70. That's a floor signal from the most credible source.

17. $NBIS ~$214 | Buy zone: $160–$170
Hyper-growth AI cloud. $1.7B UK expansion. BofA just raised PT to $280. Too cheap here.

♻️ RESHARE this post and write 1 comment, I'll DM you my top 3 for 10x-20x we can buy later this month.

[Ryan Detrick, CMT @RyanDetrick]

The S&P 500 recently was up more than 19% in two months.

You ready for this one? That has only happened seven other times and stocks were never lower 1 month, 3 months, 6 months, or a year later.

In fact, up more than 40% on average a year later. My oh my.

[BraVoCycles Newsletter @BraVoCycles]

4-Year Bitcoin Cycle

- Originally predicted the $BTC peak for late December 2024.
- The peak occurred over 10 months later, within days of the original forecast.
- I expect $BTC to bounce for 5-6 weeks based on IT cycles, but then move down into late 2026 or early 2027.

[amit @amitisinvesting]

A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY.

Here's a full recap:

1. $BTC Bitcoin’s selloff is worsening, with the price falling below $63,000 for the first time since February 24. The move has triggered a wave of forced selling across crypto markets, with more than $1.1 billion in leveraged crypto positions liquidated over the past 24 hours.

2. $AVGO reported strong Q2’26 results, with revenue of $22.19B, slightly above estimates, up 48% YoY, and adjusted EPS of $2.44, beating expectations and rising 54% YoY. Semiconductor Solutions revenue came in at $15.0B, up 79% YoY, while AI semiconductor revenue surged 143% YoY to $10.8B, though it came in below buyside expectations. For Q3, Broadcom guided revenue to roughly $29.4B, ahead of consensus but slightly below buyside expectations, with AI semiconductor revenue expected to reach about $16B. The company also delivered $10.26B in free cash flow, equal to 46% of revenue, and said growth is being driven by accelerating AI demand, custom AI accelerators, AI networking, and strong operating leverage.

3. $META is reportedly considering charging up to $199.99/month for Hatch, its planned consumer AI agent, according to The Information. Hatch is described as a consumer version of OpenClaw that lets users create software tools and automate tasks with plain-language prompts, including scheduling events, sending emails, building simple apps, and generating travel itineraries. Meta is also considering a premium Hatch Plus tier that would offer 5–10x more daily usage capacity than the free version. During development, Hatch has used Anthropic’s Claude models, but it is expected to run on Meta’s Muse Spark model at launch.

4. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $NVDA with 3.4M contracts, $TSLA with 3.4M contracts, $AAPL with 1.3M contracts, $AMZN with 1.1M contracts, $MSFT with 958K contracts, $META with 916K contracts, $NOK with 749K contracts, $INTC with 730K contracts, $GOOGL with 708K contracts, and $PLTR with 622K contracts. Nvidia and Tesla once again dominated options activity, each trading more than 3.4M contracts, while Apple and Amazon also saw elevated volume above 1M contracts.

5. $IREN signed a transmission connection agreement for an 800MW data center campus in Bundey, South Australia. The site includes four 330kV feeder exits, allowing it to support up to 800MW without requiring network upgrades, with energization expected to begin in 2028. The project marks IREN’s first announced Australian data center campus and would provide submarine fiber connectivity to key APAC markets, including Singapore, Indonesia, South Korea, and Japan.

6. $AAPL Apple's smart glasses roadmap has reportedly changed, according to supply chain analyst Ming-Chi Kuo. Apple’s display-equipped AR/XR glasses, which are expected to use optical waveguide technology, have reportedly been pushed back to 2029. Meanwhile, Apple’s display-less AI glasses, similar to Ray-Ban Meta, are still expected to ship in 2027. Kuo also says Apple is shifting resources away from the Vision Pro line and toward smart glasses that may have broader mass-market appeal.

7. $GOOGL plans to use roughly $30B of its $80B equity raise to cover tax obligations tied to employee equity awards, according to The Information. That would represent nearly 40% of the total raise, roughly double last year’s amount, and about 14% of expected operating cash flow.

8. $CRWD reported solid Q1’27 results, with revenue of $1.39B, up 26% YoY, and adjusted EPS of $1.10, both slightly ahead of expectations. ARR reached $5.51B, up 24% YoY, while net new ARR grew 32% YoY to $255.8M. CrowdStrike also announced a 4-for-1 stock split, with the record date set for June 25, 2026 and split-adjusted trading expected to begin on July 2, 2026. For the full year, the company guided revenue to $5.915B–$5.959B, ARR to roughly $6.53B–$6.56B, and adjusted EPS to $4.88–$4.96, while raising its net new ARR growth outlook to 27.7% at the midpoint. Management said CrowdStrike is becoming critical AI security infrastructure, highlighting record Q1 net new ARR, strong module adoption, and its AI-driven security products as signs of an AI inflection point.

9. SpaceX $SPCX is reportedly planning to price its IPO at $135 per share, with plans to sell 555.6 million shares and raise roughly $75 billion. At that price, the company would be valued at nearly $1.75 trillion, making it one of the largest IPOs in history.

10. US data center construction spending surged 28% YoY in April to a record annualized rate of $50.7B, surpassing public transportation construction spending of $49.9B for the first time in history. Since 2022, data center construction spending has exploded 357%, compared with just 16% growth in government transportation spending. As a result, data centers now represent 2.3% of all US construction spending, highlighting how AI infrastructure demand is reshaping the construction economy.

11. Ray Dalio says AI has the ingredients of a classic technology bubble, arguing that major technological shifts often create bubbles because it is impossible for investors and companies to perfectly predict the winners. He said companies face a difficult choice: spend aggressively to capture market share, or risk underspending and falling behind. Dalio added that bubbles eventually “prick” when investors or companies need to sell wealth/assets to raise cash, turning enthusiasm into forced selling pressure.

12. The S&P 500 closed the day red for the first time in 9 trading days. The last time the S&P $SPY closed green for 10 days in a row was 1995.

WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

[Market ratios @Marketratios]

@Norseman1 Beau, where are you getting 50.9% and 20%?

[Norseman Market Timing @Norseman1]

The Bear Market Rally made new all-time highs today on the $RUT $DJI and $RSP. 😂New "Closed" all-time highs on the $NYSE and $SPX 600.

Remember on 5/6 the $NYSE A-D Line made a ATH ahead of price. Gloss over that at your peril.

[Market ratios @Marketratios]

@HenrikZeberg It means more money has preferred bonds TLT over Bitcoin despite large increase in money supply.

[Ryan Detrick, CMT @RyanDetrick]

Awesome work by Keith Lerner here on IPOs.

[Z @ZeeContrarian1]

From the Dream to the Dreamer

If I asked you, “What is the purpose of a dream?” you would probably laugh.

Maybe it’s to fall in love, build an empire, or create a family.

You would say, “It’s just a dream. In a few hours I’ll wake up, and I probably won’t even remember it.”

Now take that idea one level higher.

What are you trying to achieve in life? What legacy are you trying to build?

In the grand scheme of the universe, eighty years of human life is shorter than a four-hour dream. And that’s assuming time is even real in the way we think it is.

Yet we spend so much energy worrying about success, status, possessions, and the opinions of others.

You won’t remember your achievements.

You may not even remember who you were.

So relax.

Play the game if you enjoy it. Fall in love. Build a business. Create a family. Explore the world.

Just don’t get lost in it.

With a little observation, it becomes clear that experience consists of two things: the perceiver and the perceived.

The perceived is everything you can observe: your body, thoughts, emotions, relationships, and the world itself.

The perceiver is the awareness to which all of it appears.

Most people spend their lives focused on the perceived. Very few investigate the perceiver.

Take a few minutes and contemplate this.

Your thoughts are perceived.

Your emotions are perceived.

Your body is perceived.

Even the sense of “me” is perceived.

What, then, is the perceiver?

Perceiving is effortless. In fact, it is the one thing you cannot stop doing.

Why?

Because awareness is not something you possess. It is what you are.

The objects of awareness are constantly changing, but awareness itself remains.

Don’t answer this intellectually. Just look.

Even a few minutes of sincere contemplation can begin to change the way you view yourself and the world.

Over the last few months, I’ve spent a lot of time studying the Ashtavakra Gita, an ancient text over 2,000 years old. It is a dialogue about the nature of consciousness that points directly to the awareness behind all experience. And almost every sentence can be deeply contemplated for years, the deep contemplation it’s what truly takes you to the next level, not the reading.

Below is a short section from a podcast in which the Ashtavakra Gita is read. Simply listen to it in silence and see if it resonates with you.

The same podcast also contains a reading of the entire Gita, which I highly recommend.

https://t.co/d8njT7x1SG

This is the first episodes, the later ones lead you deeper into awareness.

And if it resonates, consider picking up the book. It’s one of the few books I’ve returned to again and again.

Life is amazing.

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

This trend will continue for many years

[Chase @0xChaseTM]

£3.3 billion lost in a single day. $1 billion made by one trader

Bookmark this BBC documentary - it shows the cleanest case of overreaction bias ever caught on tape. One sentence triggered it. But the real reason it cost £3.3 billion was what the British government did next

September 16, 1992. The British pound was pegged to the Deutschmark inside the European Exchange Rate Mechanism. The peg was already cracking. Then Helmut Schlesinger, president of the Bundesbank, gave an interview he believed was off-the-record. One sentence hinted that more currencies might need to devalue. A journalist published it. Within hours, every trader in London was selling pounds

That was the trigger. The collapse was the response

The British government decided to defend the pound by raising interest rates from 10% to 12%. The market read it as panic. They raised again - to 15% in a single afternoon. The market read it as desperation. Soros' fund stopped selling in £5 million lots and started selling in £100 million blocks. One trader inside the fund called it "an invitation to double up."

This is overreaction bias on a national scale. Not one mistake but two layers stacked - the government underreacted to market signals for two years, then panicked when reality hit. The harder they pushed, the more obvious it became that they had already lost

By 8pm the pound was out of the ERM. Bank of England had burned £3.3 billion in reserves. Soros had made $1 billion in a single afternoon. The Chancellor went home, opened a bottle of white wine, and slept peacefully for the first time in months

The lesson sits in every market today. The crowd doesn't price danger in proportion - it ignores it, then overcorrects, then overcorrects the overcorrection. The people who make money read the second move before it happens

"Overreaction" is one of 5 cognitive biases I broke down in my article ↓