Technical Trader

|| Participant Wise #OpenInterest - #FII, DII, Pro and Client Data. Macro Economic Factors and Indicators.

[Technical Trader @mathsofmoney]

Congratulations #ISRO

#Chandrayaan3
#Chandrayaan3Landing

Request ISRO to launch #Nifty and #banknifty as well.

[Technical Trader @mathsofmoney]

#CPI US

Expecting softer numbers for April overall CPI considering:
- slow down in housing sector
- lower crude
- reduced retail sales

However, this will show sharp reversal in May given strength in JOB data for April.

#DowJones
#NASDAQ

[Technical Trader @mathsofmoney]

@Investingcom Boobs
Pussy
Sex

What I don't see is:
#recession
#DebtCeiling

https://t.co/0Seorlwaiz

[Technical Trader @mathsofmoney]

Early signs of #recession

US 3 month vs US 10 yr yield spread is at lowest levels since #forever

It's never the #inversion which is issue. The recovery of inversion is fatal for risk assets.

#yield
#bonds
#DowJones #DJI #NASDAQ

[Technical Trader @mathsofmoney]

@marcfriedrich The last #pump in all risk assets before severe #DUMP.

- #recession early signs by yield curve invesrion
- BDI not showing any uptick in freight traffic
- #DebtCeiling looming
- earnings season over
- if US goes in recession, services will be badly hit

https://t.co/TtD4mM9QVe

[Technical Trader @mathsofmoney]

Early signs of #recession

US 3 month vs US 10 yr yield spread is at lowest levels since #forever

It's never the #inversion which is issue. The recovery of inversion is fatal for risk assets.

#yield
#bonds
#DowJones #DJI #NASDAQ

[Technical Trader @mathsofmoney]

Early signs of #recession

US 3 month vs US 10 yr yield spread is at lowest levels since #forever

It's never the #inversion which is issue. The recovery of inversion is fatal for risk assets.

#yield
#bonds
#DowJones #DJI #NASDAQ

[Technical Trader @mathsofmoney]

@amuse They are only making it worse for themselves. The last week 30 day auction at more than 5.4% and crazy CDS costs.

#debt
#DowJones

https://t.co/BYuxCLYoQG

[Technical Trader @mathsofmoney]

#DebtCeiling
CDS - Credit Default Swaps (insurance against default) rate for US 10 year rose even higher than 2008 debt crisis.

Remember this is a derivative product so the seller of this protection can also default and the dominos would keep falling.

#DowJones
#NASDAQ

[Technical Trader @mathsofmoney]

#DebtCeiling
CDS - Credit Default Swaps (insurance against default) rate for US 10 year rose even higher than 2008 debt crisis.

Remember this is a derivative product so the seller of this protection can also default and the dominos would keep falling.

#DowJones
#NASDAQ

[Technical Trader @mathsofmoney]

#DXY 104.10 Below previous swing low.

Babaji bola cuation break out hoga and immediately it broke down.

Bolo babaji ki....!!!!????😂😂😂

[Sharad Jhunjhunwala @sharadjhun]

#DXY

Fast and Furious move to 105.50 in last 2 days is just the Beginning before the Final Assault

Any Move till 108/110 can give severe Chill to EM's Bulls

#Caution

[Technical Trader @mathsofmoney]

@sharadjhun #DowJones is up about 10% from low of SHEMMITAH (26th Sept).

CAUTION IS:
#NASDAQ just got rejected from the high (11470) and 10yr yield just bounced from that high of ~4.00%

So once 10yr falls below 4% and #NASDAQ100 crosses 11,470 the negative cycle is fully discounted.

[Technical Trader @mathsofmoney]

@sharadjhun Turns out #XAUUSD made a low on SHEMMITAH, 26th Sept. Today the same low is retested third time and saved.

#XAGUSD made a low which was also ferociously protected and has gained 5% since. This is better inverse correlation to #DXY

Looks like it's UPSIDE in #stocks #Nifty

[Technical Trader @mathsofmoney]

#Nifty #banknifty
- negligible volume by #FII
- no new longs created, only closing of positions
- all participants closed their positions
RISK:
- Pro have written 80K new index puts, usually they end up running for cover
- Retailers continue 1.14 Mn stock future long
STAY ALERT

[Technical Trader @mathsofmoney]

@sharadjhun @BDUTT Please say it's April Fool Prank per some twisted calendar. 😂

[Technical Trader @mathsofmoney]

@CAKetulPatel Keep adding. 😂

[Technical Trader @mathsofmoney]

🐻🐻🐻
What market has hammered into all retail traders over last two weeks:
- BUY every DIP
- Disregard #DowJones
- Ignore macro economics
- Forget about healthy corrections/profit booking

Now:
#FII - Net Short in #Nifty & #stocks futures
Retailers - Net Long 1.16 Mn Lots

[Technical Trader @mathsofmoney]

@Delta_Exchange Why is the exchange down? Maintenance was supposed to be over by 6:05 UTC. It's already 6::15 UTC???

[Technical Trader @mathsofmoney]

@sharadjhun Congress Returns in India!!!????

OMG 😳

[Technical Trader @mathsofmoney]

@sasibhushan417 Ekdum honestly - too much work and too little audience.

I am really glad that it's missed.

Sorry though.

[Technical Trader @mathsofmoney]

Technical Studies Globally:

USA: Fibonacci
Japan: ichimoku cloud
UK: Bollinger Bands

Debt: Yield Curve, Spreads

India: Nirmala Conference
😂😂😂
#Nifty #banknifty #fun

[Technical Trader @mathsofmoney]

@AshwaniGujral6 To trade exactly opposite of what you say.
🤣🤣🤣
#Nifty

[Technical Trader @mathsofmoney]

#Bulls!!!

Trying to get #nifty50 launched back 😂