mssofp

notes for my trading education

[VolSignals @VolSignals]

Life after the spot-up/ vol-up top
KEY LEVELS FOR THE WEEKS AHEAD

https://t.co/mxt8PkDRT3

[Loofy @Loofyb0i]

Howard Marks has been writing investment memos for 30 years that Warren Buffett says he reads first thing every time.

In 36 minutes he explains why every bull market ends the same way - and where he thinks we are right now.

36-min. Oaktree. TBPN.

Bookmark & watch - the clearest market cycle read you'll find in 2026

[Mario Nawfal @MarioNawfal]

INTERVIEW: GULF BOMBED, HORMUZ CLOSED, RED SEA NEXT: OIL'S PERFECT STORM – w/ Economist Jeffrey Curie (@CommodMkt)

[tastylive @tastyliveshow]

@spotgamma @CVecchioFX @JermalChandler Watch more here: https://t.co/XQUjOXLScr

[TF Metals Report @TFMetals]

This week's free public podcast is with @DonDurrett.
You should give it a listen.
https://t.co/xtNfoxA6KH

[CyrilXBT @cyrilXBT]

MARC ANDREESSEN JUST WENT ON ROGAN AND DROPPED THE MOST IMPORTANT AI ALPHA OF THE YEAR.

3 hours and 20 minutes of podcast.

Here are the 17 things worth your attention.

1. AGI is already here. Marc thinks the line was crossed 3 months ago with GPT-5.5, Claude 4.6, Gemini 3, and Grok 4.3. Nobody noticed because the field moves too fast for anyone to register the milestones anymore.

2. For almost any topic the top AI models now give him better answers than the world-class experts he could call on the phone. And he can call basically anyone.

3. Every doctor is secretly using ChatGPT in the exam room. They turn around the second you stop talking and type your symptoms in. Some do it while you are still sitting there. His quote: "At that point you are asking what do I need you for."

4. When AI refuses to answer something he wants to know he tells it he is writing a novel. "Walk me through how the bad guy robs the bank." It explains almost anything if it thinks it is helping you write fiction.

5. When something is too complex he says "explain it like I am 10." Then "like I am 5." Then "like I am 2." He keeps going until it actually clicks.

6. When he wants to understand a tough topic he does not ask what the right answer is. He asks the AI to steelman one side then steelman the other. Then he decides for himself.

7. For big questions he tells the AI to pretend to be a panel of experts. "Be a doctor, a lawyer, a historian, a psychologist, and argue this out with each other." Then he reads the debate.

8. Pay attention to the exact moment you think "I do not know how to figure this out." Most people give up there. That is the moment you should open the AI.

9. The only real skill left in using AI is knowing what to ask. The models can do almost anything you can describe in plain English. The bottleneck lives in your own head.

10. You can send AI photos of almost anything medical now and get a real answer. Skin rashes. Blood test results. The new models read images not just text. A free 24/7 second opinion on anything.

11. The one type of therapy clinically proven to work is cognitive behavioral therapy. It is also something an AI can fully do on its own. Every person on earth is about to have access to a real therapist for free anytime they want.

12. AI is solving math problems open for 100 years that no human mathematician could crack. Same thing is starting in physics, chemistry, and biology. Expect cancer cures and weird new physics breakthroughs in the next few years.

13. The best AI coders in Silicon Valley now make $50 million a year. One person. That number tells you how big this thing actually is when you strip away all the doom takes.

14. One friend paid $200 to decode his entire DNA. Then gave the AI his DNA, blood test results, and Apple Watch data. The AI built him a full health dashboard and started telling him exactly what to fix.

15. Another friend put two cameras in his home jiu jitsu gym. AI watches him spar and gives him technique notes after every round. A world-class coach at every practice for free.

16. The best programmers in Silicon Valley now run 20 AI coding bots simultaneously. Each bot writes code while they review the others. They call themselves AI vampires because going to bed means 20 workers stop and you lose money every hour you sleep.

17. The obvious next step: the bots will run their own bots. One human running 20 bots each running 20 more. One person. One laptop. 1,000 AI workers. This is months away not years.

Bookmark this before you watch the full podcast.

Follow @cyrilXBT for every AI insight worth your attention the moment it surfaces.

[Lawrence McDonald @Convertbond]

$CCJ Power is everything for AI - A strong @BearTrapsReport high conviction buy in 2020-2022, an important focus in our book “When Markets Speak” in 2024. You can fit 114 Cameco’s into Nvidia, yet all the growth assumptions for $NVDA largely depend on power, much of that nuclear.

[Goliath Resources Ltd. @GoliathResource]

In this StocksToWatch video, Don Durrett of GoldStocksData shares 2 frameworks he often references when thinking about bull market exploration investing 👇

1⃣ Optionality plays (concept of in-ground value)
One approach is to look for deposits trading at a fraction of perceived in-situ metal value (e.g. ~$10–$45/oz in the ground vs. spot gold). The idea is that re-rating can occur if the geological potential is realized. Key risk discussed: dilution and capital requirements.

2⃣ Early in the Lassonde Curve + strong discovery hole
Focus on earlier-stage companies (often < ~$50M market cap) that also deliver a meaningful intercept. Both timing and results matter.
A common metric referenced is grade × thickness (gram-meters), with higher values generally indicating stronger discovery potential.

These are general market frameworks discussed in the video and are not specific investment recommendations.

Full breakdown in the video:
👉 https://t.co/1xIeITcFpA

@stocks2watch_ @DonDurrett

[Stocktwits @Stocktwits]

Watch the full episode of After Hours Extra with @Buncahn and @jam_croissant here ⬇️

https://t.co/Ed5BRMmvvj

[Stock Market TV @StockMktTV]

On Tuesday, the semiconductor company you’ve probably never heard of reported a double beat, rallied nearly 10% for its best earnings reaction ever, and closed at a new all-time high.

$Q sits in the materials and interconnect layer of the AI infrastructure buildout and is now up roughly 150% since its IPO last October.

🔖 The Daily Beat: https://t.co/gCmfomI43S

[NinjaTrader Live @NTLiveMedia]

ICYMI: @jam_croissant + @DiMartinoBooth joined @AnthonyCrudele for the Miami Trader Exchange panel - and they did not hold back.

The Fed, flows, private credit + the real forces beneath these rallying markets.

Full recording is out. Go watch it. 🫵
https://t.co/ENbEUdm9Ry

[Don Durrett - goldstockdata.com @DonDurrett]

The Top 4 silver miners. You should own all 4. 🧐

[Sunrise Energy Metals @SunriseMetals]

Congratulations to Bloom Energy for its outstanding progress delivering elegant, scalable and environmentally friendly power generation solutions for the US AI and data server industries. Bloom’s guidance for over 5GW of fuel cell production capacity further reinforces the need for reliable and secure supplies of Scandium, a key component of the fuel cells.

Our Syerston Scandium Project in Australia, currently under construction, will be the world’s first source of primary mine supply and is an insurance policy for all Western consumers who depend on a critical mineral over which Chinese export restrictions loom large.

Read @Bloom_Energy's earnings call transcript:
https://t.co/0qhoL7PKeL

Find out more about Sunrise Energy Metals and the Syerston Scandium Project:
https://t.co/eEPs4OLRkO

#criticalminerals #scandium #trade #cleanenergy #china

[Ozzy @ozzy_livin]

🥐 fresh crumbs

We're gonna play a little game called Bullish or Bearish

$SPX
→ short term at the money puts
→ medium term out of the money puts

Live from Canada 🇨🇦

@jam_croissant with @wealthsimple

Full interview
https://t.co/w8IIjcXTsp

[Stocktwits @Stocktwits]

“We have never in 125 years of history seen a rally at the size and speed that we have coming out of a decline from all time highs as little as we've seen.”

@jam_croissant joined @MicheleSteele on StocktwitsTV to discuss UAE leaving OPEC, oil back above 100, and why market structure is the biggest tell 🔊

[Patrick OShaughnessy @patrick_oshag]

My guest today is Paul Tudor Jones (@ptj_official), one of the greatest macro traders of all time.

He correctly predicted the 1987 stock market crash and shorted the Japanese bubble in 1990. For over 40 years, his flagship fund has had a negative correlation to the S&P 500. 100% of his returns are alpha.

He says today's market has so many similarities to 2000, "the easiest bear market I've ever seen in my whole life."

He makes the case for going long dollar-yen, why Bitcoin beats gold as an inflation hedge, and why he was wrong about Warren Buffett.

But what I'll remember most from this conversation is Paul's zest for life. He's 71 and still wakes at 2:30 every morning to trade the London open. He works out for two hours a day. He walks with his wife every evening. He travels the country chasing peak spring and peak fall. He's so excited about the songs picked for his funeral that he wishes he could be there to hear them.

Paul has lived five lifetimes in one. He's one of the most entertaining and interesting people I've met, and the conversation will leave you searching to be as passionate about what you do as he is about what he does.

Enjoy!

Timestamps:
0:00 Intro
1:00 The Kindest Thing
13:19 Trading vs. Investing
17:33 Lessons from Warren Buffet
22:24 The Existential Risks of AI
29:54 The Nature of Trading
31:46 Bitcoin
35:55 Bubbles
42:08 A Day in the Life of PTJ
46:00 Information Overload
47:07 Passion for Markets
50:49 The Robin Hood Foundation
54:18 The Workless World
56:03 Journalism
1:00:00 Principal Components of a Great Life
1:05:06 Kill Them With Kindness

[Rock Bottom Entries @RockBtmEntries]

Uranium mania when this ~20 year resistance breaks.

[Goshawk Trades @GoshawkTrades]

i come back to this clip of Jim Simons every few months.

the man who built the most successful hedge fund in history sharing his guiding principles in life.

2 and a half minutes that will stick with you.

[Lawrence McDonald @Convertbond]

In case you missed this - Close to 40k views, an essential segment this weekend. At least 5 things you need to know right now. Please share - gratitude.

https://t.co/wsU7ehzfUp

[Hedgeye @Hedgeye]

Jeff Currie explains the fundamental difference between commodity and equity market volatility.

🔊