Lawlite

logic learner

[Viaa Olin @Viaoliin]

Coke Can be used as a Fire Extinguisher in an Emergency Situation

[Thalex @ThalexGlobal]

Gm all ☕️

Weekends are for reflection.

A moment to think about your children’s children’s children.

Imagine them watching you through a time machine.

They can’t interfere. Causality paradox.

So they’re just sitting there, nail-biting:

“Please, great-great-grandfather…”

“Do NOT overcomplicate this!”

[mert @mert]

capitalist: I make what you need and you pay me if you like it

socialist: I don't make anything and you pay me even if you hate it

[Lawlite @mxngqi1]

@Maxandzero IV下降的太快了，有点忍不住定投了😀

[John Arnold @johnarnold]

Philadelphia was once the most important city in the country. Today, this 10,000 ft mansion in a prime location is up for auction with a min bid of just $1 million. It would be 20+ times that in NYC. The lesson for cities is that past success is no guarantee of future prosperity.

[stu 🥪🥞 @stutxo]

whole plane watching the saylor talk except for one dude watching a 7/12 frost musig

[静心方可久行 @Jingxin147741]

搁我说，交易所都是一个吊样，ok也没强到哪里去，只能说相对强那么一丢丢，币安的vip门槛太高了必须持有bnb不说，手续费也贵另外还没有返佣，ok的vip门槛相对低，返佣以后手续费稍微便宜一点，用户关怀度上强一点，其他的也没有什么优势了。
我现在只把币安当成c2c和转账工具。
另外bybit真的活不起，草泥马，盈利不让你提现，卡不死你，我真的一生黑。
Bg没用过，不评论。

[Thalex @ThalexGlobal]

Checking in on Fable 5's foray into positional options trading.

Spot loitered around $63k while vol compressed. IV at the 64k strike fell from 41 to 36 and skew did not flatten.

The safety-loving model's theoretical portfolio is bleeding, but not out of the fight, with plenty of downside left to safeguard.

𝗟𝗼𝗻𝗴 𝟲𝟰𝗸 𝗦𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗱𝗹𝗲
Theta eroded premium as spot sat tight near the money, and the slide from 41 to 36 IV repriced both legs lower.

• 𝗘𝗻𝘁𝗿𝘆: $3,023 debit, both legs at 41 IV.
• 𝗟𝗶𝘃𝗲: $2,415, both legs at 36 IV with spot barely moved.
• 𝗣&𝗟: -$608 (-20%), split between decay and the vol reset.

The drawdown is unrealized, and the trade is still armed. Defined debit, long gamma, and a week of action left for it to realize the move it paid for.

𝗟𝗼𝗻𝗴 𝟲𝟭/𝟲𝟳 𝗥𝗥
Nearly all of the risk and the return in this trade sit in the short put.

• 𝗘𝗻𝘁𝗿𝘆: $255 credit, selling the rich put to fund the cheap call.
• 𝗟𝗶𝘃𝗲: $153 to close, the put shed $269 against the call's $167.
• 𝗣&𝗟: +$102 (+40%), put decay outran the vol crush on the call.

The gain came from vol repricing lower across the legs, not from the skew flattening the trade was built to capture. Skew still sits 5 points wide.

Below $60,745 at expiry, this is long spot with a short left tail and short vega into the move.

𝗟𝗼𝗻𝗴 𝟲𝟳/𝟳𝟮 𝗖𝗮𝗹𝗹 𝗦𝗽𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗱
Selling the 72k call brought in $43, a 13% subsidy, and capped the entire breakout above 72,000.

• 𝗘𝗻𝘁𝗿𝘆: $338 debit, after the $43 short-call offset.
• 𝗟𝗶𝘃𝗲: $194, with the long leg still out of the money.
• 𝗣&𝗟: -$144 (-43%), vol crush gutted the long call.

That premium never justified the convexity given up, and the breakeven still sits 5.6% above spot with seven days left.

[Colin Wu @colinwu]

采访华与华这篇文章，有段话印象深刻：

儒家认为，父母和子女、兄弟之间，天然是和睦的，但华杉认为：

兄弟本质上是天敌，是竞争对手，从小争夺父母的爱，父母及外人的评价也常常将兄弟置于对立。从这个角度看，兄弟不和睦、分家甚至反目，都是理所应当的。

[Pickle Cat @0xPickleCati]

How to fuck 500 million people at once:
Be @saylor.

> phase 1: never sell your bitcoin

> phase 2: sell a KIDNEY before you sell your bitcoin

> phase 3: we sold the bitcoin

> phase 4: i never said the company wouldn’t sell

> phase 5: anyone with half a brain knew that

> phase 6: enjoy your one kidney bestie

[Evanss6 @Evan_ss6]

Will say that selling ETH was one of the simplest, largest life improvements I’ve discovered over the years

Also known to help cure chronic back pain

[Lawlite @mxngqi1]

@AutismCapital

[Autism Capital 🧩 @AutismCapital]

“I said to YOU to never sell your Bitcoin. I never said that THE COMPANY wouldn’t sell its Bitcoin.”

Jesus Christ.

[Lawlite @mxngqi1]

@naturehealyou It will be perfect with a pool

[𝑙𝑦𝑟𝑎 @naturehealyou]

this is what a house should look like, not those cold looking offices

[۟ @MINHxDYNASTY]

ive made $50m in crypto

buy my trading course for $50

[Lawlite @mxngqi1]

@CryptoRounder 也可以说是提高个人的隐含波动率

[余烬 @EmberCN]

"私钥泄露" 让 H 的增发与抛售已经长达 13 个小时了，所谓的 "黑客" 仍能在 BSC 链上增发 $H 并抛售，榨取池子里的最后一分钱。
应该没有正经被盗的项目，这么长时间了连增发都还限制不了吧😂

"黑客" 已经增发了 3 亿枚 H，并共计抛售了约 4.5 亿枚套现 $3400 万 (ETH+BNB)。
H 在 BSC 上的池子也被掏的只剩 $13 的流动性，H 价格已经下跌 99.9% 到 $0.0009。

而 CEX 里永续合约价格则是 $0.09，价差 100 倍。本质上已经脱锚成两个不相关的币了。

链上抛售地址集：https://t.co/XzQWX2wJFA

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#Bitget 来了就是VIP！Crypto、美股、CFD，全球先机一站布局

[Rounder @CryptoRounder]

我认为从现在开始到年底， $BTC 的价格会在 80K 到 40K 之间震荡，用怎样的期权策略可以获利，预期年化收益率是多少？

AI Terminal 直接计算出了答案：按当前价格，合理预期静态年化约 35%–45%。还帮我把预期上限价格调高到了 85K。

具体策略：卖 Iron Condor，而不是裸卖 Strangle。Sell 85C / Buy 95C + Sell 40P / Buy 30P，25DEC26 到期。同时附上了行情朝不同方向发展时，应采用怎样的调整思路。

如果追求更狂野的收益，还可以考虑用备选序号 3 的策略，年化收益可以做到接近 70%。