@naval It seems to me that AI can't be trained to have the ability to create specific knowledge, but can be trained to have the knowledge created by someone with the ability to create specific knowledge. Imo specific knowledge is creativity born out of the path-dependency of human life.
What is vastly more important than focusing on which parameters change when dealing with complex systems is to focus on what doesn't. When humans are involved, one thing that doesn't change is that errors will be made. Act accordingly.
While doomers and accelerationists argue over how close we are to AGI and what will happen when we get there, we’re missing AI's true and tremendous impact: the end of the gatekeeper era for the most powerful tool ever built. Until now, the computer has been like the era when knowledge was locked in Latin. It was accessible only to the few with the means and motivation to master a language of otherwise limited utility.
>1% of us speak code. Everyone else has three options: learn to code, hire a pro, or settle for whatever pre-built tools someone else gave you. That is about to change. Soon, anyone will be able to build anything they can imagine on a computer using their native language, English, Danish, Burmese, whatever, through conversation in voice.
Some worry that this will widen inequality, fearing that a new elite of "AI-coders" will dominate. But that's exactly backward: We are looking at the greatest democratization in history. The pessimistic view has two flaws:
1. Competitive pressure among AI platforms will quickly abstract away the current complexity to the point of diminishing returns (as happened to "prompt engineering").
2. The biggest bottleneck for software was never code, coders, or compute, but always good ideas.
AI is close to eliminating the perspiration part of development, leaving just inspiration. That is great news as that in itself should provide an explosion in good ideas moving from minds and into the world. And the even greater news is that it allows us to move upstream in the value chain to the true chokepoint of progress: Why don’t we have more good ideas? Once we solve that problem, we’ll also be much closer to understanding what it actually takes to build AGI.
Only if you think you can solve your problems will you act to solve them. Don't put yourself into a cage by blaiming others for your problems (even if they are to blame) for this will lead to inaction.
(Ludwig von Mises, Human Action)
@holisti22@mikamerano@PetesHideout Varmasti moniakin typeriä ajatuksia tulee ilmi heti maanantaina. Valitettavasti tuo idea ei kuulu omaan ajatusmaailmaan mutta saanko nauraa sille silti?
People do this kind of thing when they feel they are experiencing reality at a high frame rate.
It does not feel risky to hold a laptop by a corner if you feel like you have an “agency frame” every half second.
It feels risky if you have an “agency frame” every 60 seconds. You’d be betting that a hand you do not have control over for 60 seconds will keep gripping.
Our conscious frame rate can vary dramatically throughout the day, and it’s hard to perceive the difference because we can only sample ourselves at our conscious frame rate, we can’t oversample ourselves.
People drunk drive because they fail to perceive their slower frame rate. Their frame rate feels normal because it matches their sample rate.
But we do get a subtle sense of when we’re “switched on”. Everything seems to go easier, everything feels less risky and more easy to correct.
A lot of people toward the autistic side of the spectrum are experiencing reality very granularly with a “high agency frame rate”. This is why their social interactions can seem overly forced and awkward, they can be bad at dancing, etc—because they are exerting conscious control over their body and language at very tight intervals—you get a sense that they are extremely “self aware” and not “letting go”.
“Letting go” in the social sense is actually about reducing your agency frame rate. That’s why alcohol is good for socializing and bad for driving. With a reduced agency frame rate our speech and body language feels more natural, less forced. More like we are flowing with the social group mind rather than being an island of constant awkward agency.