A beginner rushing to place an order may feel giddy with the excitement. He will soon find out that the market offers a painfully expensive form of entertainment. Early in my career, I heard from a professional trader that “successful trading should be a little bit boring.”
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@elfa_ai
I built this plan to turn raw Solana smart-money wallet alpha into a disciplined, repeatable edge by enforcing strict rules - preventing over-trading and emotional decisions in a degen environment. LFG
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BREAKING: Nancy Pelosi just filed ~$69M worth of new stock trades
Including selling $50M of Apple $AAPL
Major sells include:
- Sold $50M shares of Apple $AAPL
- Sold $5M shares of Nvidia $NVDA
- Sold $5M shares of Disney $DIS
She bought new call options:
- Bought $500K of $GOOGL LEAPS
- Bought $500K of Amazon $AMZN LEAPS
- Bought $500K of Apple $AAPL LEAPS
- Bought $250K of Nvidia $NVDA LEAPS
Full set of trades in following tweet
If I had $300k in crypto now, I would:
1. Go full-time crypto for 1 year. $30–50k locked for life expenses.
2. No BTC, no ETH, no SOL. Random upside at this stage imo.
3. No memecoins, no leverage. Ever.
4. $100k to farm @tradexyz with 1x leverage. Hedge on IBKR. Hunt new on-chain tradfi plays.
5. $50k to Pendle YTs. I track what good farmers are doing, set limit buys on YTs, get exposure to the farm without much capital needed.
6. $25k into a sybil farm of 200 wallets. 2h/day of grinding + automation + hunting new plays
7. $75k in DeFi, ready to ape dips on coins like $HYPE if the market nukes.
8. One year to make it work. If not, I get a job.
Stop selling stocks too early..
You cant outsmart the moving averages so might as well let the moving averages tell you when the momentum is gone
Use a daily close under the EMA's to tier out of the position
Trim 25% on a close under the 8 EMA
Trim 25% on a close under 21 EMA
Sell full position under the 50 EMA
Up 200% in 20 days because I didn't sell early.
Exit strategy is just as important as entry strategy.
USDai's upward depeg is a fascinating case study into stablecoin mechanics, PT <> YT flows, and basic economic principles that underpin DeFi.
WTF is intern waffling about?
Let me break this SILLINESS down and how YOU could have capitalized.
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Unlike MOST depegged stablecoins, USDai by @USDai_Official depegged in an UPWARD direction. What this means is that traders are currently willing to pay more than $1 for something that should be valued EXACTLY $1.
Your first instinct is probably "what type of regard is buying $1 for more than $1" and I'd USUALLY be in agreeance.
The difference is that holding USDai gives users Allo Points which are being 'priced in' to the standard $1/USDai value.
"But wait... shouldn't every stablecoin with points also be valued > $1 then?"
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To answer this question, we need to understand how stablecoins maintain peg in the first place. The most common method is using a Peg Stability Module (PSM) which allows users to arbitrage mispricings while returning the stablecoin to peg:
1. Price < $1 → users buy stablecoin and redeem for $1 of underlying (or something similar)
2. Price > $1 → users mint stablecoin and sell for > $1
We are in Scenario 2. for USDai but there is an issue - USDai caps are fully filled so arbitrageurs CANNOT mint more to return it to peg!
The surge in demand for USDai's Allo Points WITHOUT the ability for new mints disrupts the stablecoin equilibrium.
As a result, USDai SHOULD be expected to be ABOVE peg until caps are raised.
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The next thing you may have noticed is USDai's Implied Yield running to an absolutely SILLY 51.6% fixed APY, by far one of the highest yielding stables on the platform.
There is something CRITICAL to note here - Pendle prices assets in terms of the UNDERLYING token.
In our case, it is USDai which is currently trading at $1.06.
A 51.6% fixed APY is based on this $1.06 face value.
What does this mean for you?
> Buying PT-USDai will let you capture a fixed yield if you are ALREADY holding USDai.
> If you are swapping in from USDC, there is a chance you'll end up with a loss in the event USDai repegs from $1.06 → $1
DEFINITELY exercise caution if you plan on entering PTs now.
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One thing that is VERY interesting indeed is that if you were an early YT-USDai buyer, you are up heavily on both implied yield AND USDai/USD.
This should make sense since:
1. IY has spiked heavily from ~20% → 51.6%
2. USDai has depegged upwards from $1 → $1.06
While a large component of this IY spike can be attributed to demand for Allo Points, the rest is due to something a widdle bit more structural.
Recall that the thing that affects IY is trading activity of YT and PT:
1. IY ⏫ if people buy YT OR sell PT
2. IY ⏬ if people sell YT OR buy PT
In our case, we have PLENTY of people buying YTs.
We do NOT have many people buying PTs since PTs are depegged upwards.
This means we're ultimately left with IYs that we can expect to continue an upward trajectory AT LEAST until USDai's underlying caps are raised!
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This is a neat little lesson into how caps on stablecoins can:
1. Cause price to depeg in an upward direction
2. Cause IY to spike in an upward direction
3. Both without standard market dynamics to bring them back to normal
If you are able to identify similar set-ups on Pendle's underlying stablecoins, it could VERY MUCH be possible to captures these opportunities.
Intern for one will be keeping a VERY close eye on said protocols and see where dem money bags be lying.
NFA NLA NMA MDMA
Pendle
Earned 3.points on @Lighter_xyz
This week's stats:
Capital: $20
Volume: $2900
ROI: -40%
Traded: $ETH and $ASTER & $SHIB
Why I was so sure I would get 20 points with a $30 portfolio was the fact that I was targeting liquidations on new pairs. Hence I traded $ASTER majorly.
I created a sub account and ran a delta neutral strategy on both. Which is so much easier to move funds around.
and rebalance after each trade. Some of y'all might call this a sybil attempt, but having two accounts is not.
I have a sub account on Hyperliquid and also do the same on there.
I don't know what Vlad would term a sybil as. but running a delta neutral strategy using a sub account can't be termed that. except you doing it on over 10 accounts. Then that's not fair.
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Back to my strategy;
So yeah I use a minimum balance of $20 bucks, 10 on each account, making it easy to liquidate. I feel like this is the problem so many people have.
Forced liquidation is only hard if you have a high balance. so play according to size.
This week didn't go as planned. Team is playing it real smart, they noticed people are pursuing liquidations, so they definitely tweaked the system leaving we liquidation farmers fvcked.
I had a total of 10 liquidations, which accrued about $13 in fees. I feel like my volume didn't match the fees hence why I didn't get enough points.
7 liquidations on Sub account and 3 Liquidations on my main. Since I traded $ASTER with a 3x leverage. using a $10 balance I was paying about $0.4-$0.5 in fees.
But before all these I had already paid $7 in fees to an $ETH liquidation. so I felt I had already secured about 5 points from that, hence I decided to run an experiment which was to try and get liquidated on newly listed pairs of which $ASTER was the new shiny toy.
I guess this actually favored me on the long run. Cause if I had gone all in on liquidating on high leverage pairs this week. I would have definitely lost more and not get the points for it.
Sad to say this but, $ASTER saved me.
This is likely the last week before public launch. as next week Tuesday's the last day of the month.
It would only be right to end beta phase at the end of the month and let the Public come in Uptober.
Would be a Chad thing to do, my CEO Vlad.
Current Lighter stats:
TVL: $560M
OI: $1.2B
USERS: 130K
1 Lighter point selling for $50 on OTC markets with an ask price of $69.
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Had to quote my @defiapp post. Kaito Season 2 ending in 2 days time.
Snapshot on 26th of September
50M $HOME up for grabs
~$1.5M to top mindshare rackers
Let's see if my Lighter post puts gives me a spot on the LB.
Need more funds to trade on Lighter
gHOME & gLighter boys.
Earned 1.41 @Lighter_xyz points in one day of farming ! 🪡
Stats:
Capital: $18
Volume: $1746
ROI: 119%
Traded $BTC with 1 liquidation and 1sl hit.
When I saw my allo I was both excited and immediately disappointed at myself for not believing I could do this sooner.
I faded for months because everyone kept on telling me it was a whales game and honestly I think people who say this now just suck. I would just do what I want.
▪️My Strategy
First off s/o: @VictorTopDefiG ;
he’s the genius behind this and honestly needs a bigger audience cause not many as good as him honestly.
Basically i created a sub-account on lighter and ran a delta neutral strategy on the sub and my main.
My initial $18 I split into $9 between both accounts and then rebalanced after every trade.
This was my first time using lighter so there’s a possibility that me being a new user as well as a small size trader contributed to my earning points.
Still, I think people are too scared to get liquidated which is effectively what earns points. Just use small liquidity and you’re good.
I remained in profit overall because when I get liquidated on one of my accounts I just let the other trade ride to cover the losses.🫡
For context, lighter is the real Hyperliquid competitor.
In this perp dex season, lighter is the only other dex that actually can compete with hl in user experience and seamless nature. Zero trading fees is also a massive plus for any real trader.
Unfortunately, lighter is going public next week so I might already be too late(for real now).
Stick around for more updates on other platforms and don’t forget to read up on Irys today.
@irys_xyz is the first programmable datachain and is actively fighting for decentralized onchain data handling, very cypherpunk.
Please don’t fade.