Pavkata

🔥Money doesn’t buy happiness – it buys freedom.,🕧🕜 Science is about admitting What We Don't Know.

[AJ Signal @aj_geo_analysis]

𝗦𝗼𝗺𝗮𝗹𝗶𝗮 𝗝𝘂𝘀𝘁 𝗧𝘂𝗿𝗻𝗲𝗱 𝗼𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗛𝗼𝘂𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗼𝗻 𝗜𝘀𝗿𝗮𝗲𝗹 𝗶𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗦𝗮𝗺𝗲 𝗕𝗿𝗲𝗮𝘁𝗵...

The Red Sea coastline is splitting into overlapping alignments, and Somalia just showed how tangled it has become.

The sequence I have been watching across the Horn of Africa because of business interests that I am able to talk about for the first time is showing up on the map:

1. In December 2025: Israel recognises Somaliland, the breakaway region, and moves toward a naval base at the port of Berbera. Mogadishu calls it a violation of its sovereignty.

2. July to September 2026: the Ansrallah Houthis in Yemen push along and seize Yemen's Red Sea coast and intensify their strikes on Saudi Arabia.

3. October 2026: the Houthis claim a ballistic-missile and drone strike on an Aramco facility in Riyadh itself. Fire and smoke are seen near the site. Saudi Arabia and Aramco say nothing. The same day, Yemeni government forces hit Houthi positions in Sana'a and the northwest.

4. October 2026: in an Al Jazeera exclusive interview I watched, the Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud names the Ansrallah Houthis in Yemen as the problem.

He said: "In real time, it is the Houthis that are aggressive, that are outside the international law or international framework", choking navigation through Bab al-Mandeb.

I see this as interests that explains the move from Somali, not his slogans.

Somalia sits across the Gulf of Aden from a coast the Houthis now hold.

That control threatens Somali ports, shipping revenue and a refugee flow that already lands on its shores, which is why Mogadishu now lines up behind the Saudi-led effort to reopen the strait because it needs the flow to open.

In the same interview, Mohamud rejects any Israeli presence "under any circumstances", calls the Berbera move part of a "Greater Israel" project, and vows to resist it. Somaliland, a part of breakaway region of Somali has signed several agreements with Israel as of recent and tilts toward Israel.

Somalia fights both the Houthis and Israel at once with this statement and with the interview.

That is the shape of this war now. Alignments no longer run in clean blocs. A single capital can oppose the Iranian axis and the Israeli one in the same breath, because each threatens a different interest.

The coalition against the Houthis is widening, but each capital joins only where its own interest is threatened, and Somalia will go no further.

Please be sure to follow if you are new here as I examine the issues that headlines do not cover.

𝗦𝗜𝗚𝗡𝗔𝗟, 𝗡𝗢𝗧 𝗡𝗢𝗜𝗦𝗘!!

[Al Jazeera English @AJEnglish]

Fighting is intensifying across northern Ethiopia, almost four years after a peace deal ended a devastating two-year war in the country’s Tigray region.

We map where the fighting is, who is involved and how Ethiopia got here https://t.co/HtG37uPgJK

[IISS News @IISS_org]

The infrastructure to transport fuel forward on the eastern flank currently barely exists. The NATO Pipeline System is the backbone of the Alliance’s bulk-fuel distribution and comprises approximately 10,000 km of underground pipelines built during the Cold War.

The latest IISS Strategic Dossier examines critical areas for improving NATO’s operational capability and Europe’s defence self-sufficiency.

FREE TO READ: https://t.co/BRMi1vfUIB

IISS Prague Defence Summit: #IISS_PDS26 | Recordings and transcripts available now: https://t.co/WXbhhrilaH

[CSIS @CSIS]

The U.S. and EU should sustain pressure by constraining the supply chains needed to build and maintain Russia's icebreaker fleet and increasing maritime domain awareness around key Arctic export nodes, argue @csisfutures experts.

Read: https://t.co/uYnskm6HVK

[Institute for the Study of War @TheStudyofWar]

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 20, 2026: Ukrainian forces conducted their largest combined missile and drone strike package against strategic targets in Moscow Oblast on the night of September 19 to 20, ahead of the final day of voting in the Russian State Duma elections.

Key Takeaways:
Russia’s failure to defend against the Ukrainian strikes prompted discontent among Russians, including in the ultranationalist information space, as the State Duma elections concluded.

The Kremlin is presenting the initial and pre-determined September 18 to 20 State Duma election results as confirmation of Russian society’s broad support for the war effort in Ukraine despite the ruling United Russia Party’s exit numbers being granted a comparatively conservative margin.

Numerous sources, including domestic Russian election observers, reported large-scale election violations and manipulation of the vote count in the September 18 to 20 voting period.

Ukraine’s 3rd Army Corps publicized details on the second phase of Operation Vivaldi in the Lyman direction, which included liberating Shandryholove, Derylove, and Drobysheve (all northwest of Lyman).

The Russian Federal Security Service (FSB)’s St. Petersburg and Leningrad Oblast Border Directorate published an order closing the Russian side of the border opposite Narva in northeastern Estonia from September 16 to 26.

Neither Ukrainian nor Russian forces advanced.

Ukrainian forces conducted a long-range strike against a likely Russian energy facility on the night of September 19 to 20. (1/2)

[NEXTA @nexta_tv]

⚡️The operation against Iran could take about a month, Trump said

In the last 24 hours, Iran has attacked, directly or indirectly, 15 different countries or their armed forces:

– 🇮🇱 Israel
– 🇺🇸 United States
– 🇦🇪 United Arab Emirates
– 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia
– 🇶🇦 Qatar
– 🇰🇼 Kuwait
– 🇯🇴 Jordan
– 🇮🇶 Iraq
– 🇧🇭 Bahrain
– 🇴🇲 Oman
– 🇸🇾 Syria
– 🇨🇾 Cyprus
– 🇫🇷 France (Camp de la Paix, UAE)
– 🇮🇹 Italy (in Kuwait)
– 🇬🇧 United Kingdom (in Cyprus)

[Pavkata @papi22pI]

@ClownWorld

[Pavkata @papi22pI]

@ClownWorld ICE “gestapo” 🤡🤡🤡

[Pavkata @papi22pI]

@Resist_05

[Pavkata @papi22pI]

@AJEnglish @KhalidMajzoub

[Pavkata @papi22pI]

@MyLordBebo Jabba the Hutt after failed as a crime boss in the galaxy, in star wars he become Dj.

[Pavkata @papi22pI]

@LibertyLockPod

[Pavkata @papi22pI]

@clownworld @WomanDefiner

[Leon @MindMatterMoney]

PLACES YOU SHOULD STAY SILENT:

[Pavkata @papi22pI]

Don't sell your #Bitcoin

[BITCOINLFG® @bitcoinlfgo]

BREAKING NEWS 🚨

SUBWAY ALLOWS #BITCOIN & CRYPTO PAYMENTS IN BERLIN, GERMANY .

[SoftwareDesign&Dev @sddconf]

If you only attend one developer conference this year, why not make it SDD 2024?

It takes place in London on 13-17 May, and there are 100+ sessions & workshops to choose from, presented by world-class speakers - register by 1st March, and save up to £300

https://t.co/Gz7kKUJeCn

[Westminster English @Westminster_Eng]

Today’s #WordOfTheDay is ‘mooch’.

[World of Engineering @engineers_feed]

Never stop learning.