The biggest circle on our board is the least likely thing on it.
$65M on Jesus returning before 2027: 1.9%
$1.8M on Becerra winning California: 92.3%
Size is the money. Color is the chance. Not the same thing.
https://t.co/UxDkWvMCVT
#PredictionMarkets#Polymarket
@Polymarket puts @AnthropicAI at 98.6% for best AI model on 30 September. @Kalshi has Claude at 72.5% for 31 December.
Ten days out the market is nearly certain. Three months out it is not.
@OpenAI is 0.4% for September and 13.4% for December.
https://t.co/UxDkWvMCVT
The bubbles on CryptoSlate Predictions run on our engine. Size is volume, ring colour is the 24 hour change. 48 markets on the page today, $4.56B of volume behind them.
Introducing CryptoSlate Predictions: live @Polymarket odds, interactive bubbles powered by @predictionbubbl, and our analysis of what could move markets.
Explore the odds behind the headlines ๐
https://t.co/N8hdPaHfpn
@Nahiddewand7@Polymartapp That tab-switching is the whole reason the board exists. Right now @Polymarket and @Kalshi are 9.5 points apart on Discord IPO before 2027. One venue cannot show you the gap between the two.
Claude is down 12.9 this week. ChatGPT is up 18.
Claude (@AnthropicAI) 58.0%
ChatGPT (@OpenAI) 31.7%
Gemini (@Google) 5.5%
Grok (@xai) 4.7%
Kimi, Qwen and Ernie under 1.5%
$10.3M on @Kalshi, on who has the best AI at the end of 2026.
https://t.co/UxDkWvNaLr
Our board is mostly uncertainty. This is the other end.
More tech layoffs than in 2025: 94.8%
Xi visits the US before 2027: 94.8%
Spider-Man tops the 2026 box office: 93.5%
$32.9M says these are settled. Which would you fade?
https://t.co/UxDkWvNaLr
#SpiderManBrandNewDay
PredictionBubbles: Polymarket vs Kalshi Odds Bubble Board
๐ Prediction Bubbles added to polymartapp
@predictionbubbl
PredictionBubbles is a free bubble chart tool that puts Polymarket and Kalshi odds on one board, sizing markets by volume and coloring them by probability so traders can spot price gaps without opening two tabs.
https://t.co/UHBF51o1vp
#PredictionBubbles #Polymarket #Analytics
The September Fed decision is a coin flip on our board, 11 days out.
Hike 25 bps: 50.5%
No change: 48.5%
Cut 25 bps: 0.4%
@Polymarket and @Kalshi word it differently and land within two points.
The cut has taken $29.3M over the market's life.
https://t.co/UxDkWvNaLr
#FOMC
Bitcoin moved today and the whole ladder repriced with it. Every rung up.
$85,000 by year end: 80%, up 18.5
$90,000: 59.5%, up 16
$95,000: 43.5%, up 15.5
$100,000: 30.5%, up 9
Three weeks ago $100k was at 8.5%.
https://t.co/UxDkWvMCVT
#Bitcoin $BTC
Polymarket and Kalshi on one board.
Size is volume, color is probability. No sign-up, nothing to install. Open it and see what the market is doing in about three seconds.
https://t.co/WESbVPAGu7
๐ New project added to the prediction markets wiki
Prediction Bubbles
@predictionbubbl maps active Polymarket and Kalshi markets into a live bubble chart ๐ซง๐
Quickly spot which markets are busiest, moving fastest, or priced differently across venues.
$65M is riding on whether Jesus Christ returns before 2027.
The market says 1.9%.
That is more money than any Senate race on our board.
https://t.co/UxDkWvNaLr
#PredictionMarkets#Polymarket
Yesterday these two were almost level in the same Senate primary.
Darline Graham went from 41% to 73%.
Ralph Norman fell from 35% to 28%.
$4.7M is on the pair of them.
https://t.co/SjL2Lsm1TF
#PredictionMarkets#Kalshi#SouthCarolina
๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ท Trump said the US is "only semi-negotiating" with Iran.
The market didn't stop believing. It moved the date.
Near dates collapsed. December barely moved.
https://t.co/Qfo4xgEDvC
#PredictionMarkets#Polymarket