prop

[prop @props5328]

@DhananiZain @MattHarmon_BYB

[Zain Dhanani @DhananiZain]

Explosive Runs help win fantasy matchups and are 7.4x more valuable than a regular carry

We should evaluate which RBs create these MORE and LESS than expected

A few takeaways:

1) Ashton Jeanty should eat with Kubiak (peep KW + Charbs)

2) Rhamondre > TreVeyon

@FantasyPtsData

[Zain Dhanani @DhananiZain]

Deep threats are not the fantasy boom players you think they are

Route depth MATTERS for fantasy football

Teasing out how it matters and who to target or fade is what I broke down using @FantasyPtsData

https://t.co/K0McQIqP0F

[prop @props5328]

@DhananiZain Christian Watson

[Brandon PT DPT @FantasyFootyPT]

Stop fading players in Fantasy Football just because their Year 1 return from a major ACL injury was quiet.

The clinical data says the real bounce-back often happens in Year 2 (correlating with increased graft strength)

Here are 4 players entering that exact surge window for the 2026 season you need to draft. 🧵

[Hayden Winks @HaydenWinks]

very important message here. please give it a listen.

[Adam Levitan @adamlevitan]

Seeing a lot of people using the player prop lines on sportsbooks to drive fantasy takes. Would be very careful with that.

1. Liquidity/limits in those markets are incredibly low. This is not what books are good at, or where they dedicate resources. I promise the books have not thought about Bhayshul Tuten vs. Chris Rodriguez as much as best ball bros have.

2. The books post these markets as a novelty to acquire/retain customers. Not because they are sharp lines they expect to make serious profit on.

3. The lines are medians. Those can be useful, but outsized outcomes in fantasy comes from ceiling outcomes -- and chances of hitting that ceiling.

4. We used to be able to blind bet almost every under in season-long player prop market because books did a horrific job incorporating injury risk. Now they've corrected, wisely daring the public to bet overs. But in fantasy, we don't lose if our guy gets hurt -- we have a bench.

5. Fantasy is far more nuanced than a median line. For example, George Kittle's median is irrelevant to me. If he's out the first three weeks when there are no byes and my team is healthy, I don't really care. I'm chasing the outcome where he's 100% for the final two months.

[Adam Levitan @adamlevitan]

@MattAFalk Exactly. The betting market is trying to catch up to serious fantasy/DFS markets when it comes to player-level projections. Not the other way around.

[John Frascella (Football) @NFLFrascella]

@comnsensesports Yeah I mean, honestly, it’s a golden opportunity for Claiborne to step up and step in

[Football Insights 📊 @fball_insights]

Found a few more and now we have a basic composite. Can add to this throughout the summer

[sharkley @AdamCSRMarkley]

It’s crazy what you find when you scroll far enough. It allows me to select this “player” 🤣 ☠️ uhhh @UnderdogDrafts ???

[Jacob Rickrode @ClutchFantasy]

@ffdataroma Just going to leave this here

Keenan Allen yr 1-2
105 tar, 71 rec, 1046yds, 8TDs
121-77-783yds-4TDs

Ladd yr 1-2
112-82-1149yds, 7TDs
106-66-789yds, 6TDs

[Pat Thorman @Pat_Thorman]

Lots of chatter about Denver playing faster with Sean Payton giving Davis Webb play calling.

They were already speeding up dramatically.

Bo Nix thrived with tempo. It sparked the offense repeatedly down the stretch.

More speed puts them at the very top with Cowboys and Saints.

[Jeff Mueller, PT, DPT @jmthrivept]

There’s a special injury category that I have called “Football Psychos” who I’ll always bet on.

Tucker Kraft, Cam Skattebo, and George Kittle are in that category.

Week 1 ✅

[prop @props5328]

@YardsPerGretch the Spotify subtitles did something funny and fitting with Odunze's name.
"The Doomsday" 🚀

(from Stealing Bananas)

[Alfredo Brown @AlfredoABrown]

After charting eight QBs for @RecepPerception ...

My Non-Fantasy QB Rankings

1. Jordan Love
2. Cam Ward
-----------------
3. Jared Goff
4. Tyler Shough
-----------------
5. JJ McCarthy (I was shocked)
6. Jaxson Dart
-----------------
7. Aaron Rodgers
8. Shedeur Sanders

[Theo Gremminger @TheOGfantasy]

The Age of the RB1 Overall over the Last 4 Seasons:

2022- Austin Ekeler 27
2023- Christian McCaffrey 27
2024- Saquan Barkley 27
2025- Christian McCaffrey 29

In the 7 seasons prior, the average age of the RB1 overall was 23 - and no RB1 overall was older than 25.

[Alfredo Brown @AlfredoABrown]

But for real though, this is totally normal and we shouldn’t be freaking out.

[prop @props5328]

@MattHarmon_BYB @justinboone

[Josh Hermsmeyer @friscojosh]

Apportioning credit in football is...hard. I don't claim these are the True Rankings and Weights. But there is a lot of interesting stuff that went into this modeling, and I have liked the results all year. So here are my Passing Scheme Rankings for 2025 by playcaller.