Paul Ryan

REA Group economist. Housing markets, lending standards, R.

[Paul Ryan @pryno]

@JoelDignam Thanks very much!
But I don’t understand what you mean by “proportion of loans” - I have calculated new investor and FHB loans as a share of existing rental properties to give a (rough! ) idea of new vs existing investors and what share of renters are transitioning to ownership

[Paul Ryan @pryno]

@slrsnbrg It’s just a lot of data to display! I would love to have dynamic html releases with this kind of data… watch this space.

For people researching properties we have these suburb pages that have median rents and prices etc for each number of bedrooms, e.g. https://t.co/EKxwBGAnlq

[Paul Ryan @pryno]

@slrsnbrg Do you just want reference to what number of bedrooms the median home has in the release?

It’s always a 3br house and 2br unit iirc

[Paul Ryan @pryno]

@ash_craig This actually was announced in the budget along with the fee
-free TAFE places: 1,900 fast-tracked visas for skilled construction workers (not up on how that is defined)

[Paul Ryan @pryno]

Once again, NIMBYism is indistinguishable from parody

[Sydney YIMBY @SydneyYIMBY]

“These apartments will overlook our tennis courts” has to be one of the least sympathetic arguments against them https://t.co/7XNIuuHuNg

[Paul Ryan @pryno]

The costs of our overly risk-averse lending regulations, which lock people out of the housing market, are starting to get more coverage

https://t.co/K5ZEN8QjMJ

[Angus Moore @AngusMoore4]

Rental affordability has hit its worst level on our records according to our new PropTrack Rental Affordability Index. You can read the full report, from my colleague @pryno and me here: https://t.co/CYpocmW7Cx (1/4)

[Paul Ryan @pryno]

@parrapower2022 @AvidCommentator These are PropTrack estimates of the cashflow of recent investors (comparing last advertised rent prices to interest on an 80LVR loan).

[Paul Ryan @pryno]

@peter_tulip @Emilie_Dye Good summary!

[Paul Ryan @pryno]

@AvidCommentator We have covered similar concepts over time in our affordability report:
https://t.co/lXJ1GfeSwO

[Paul Ryan @pryno]

Great piece from @michaelkoziol. Cities are always changing, let’s embrace it and make them better

https://t.co/kXyjz5WuMF

[Paul Ryan @pryno]

@vb_jens Fantastic, I will read with extreme interest.

Have read through the blog a lot since it was pointed out to me, an absolutely brilliant resource, thank you.

[Paul Ryan @pryno]

@elyobo The bubbles on the side of the glass are caused by nucleation points (the glass isn’t clean) - not the underlying carbonation of the beer itself

[Paul Ryan @pryno]

@MattCowgill The secret is to draw a line of best fit*

* functional form chosen to match your argument

[Paul Ryan @pryno]

Blogs are good again (this one is great, looking forward to following!)

[Paul Ryan @pryno]

@ash_craig Good luck! Let me know if any data can help your search!

[YIMBY Melbourne @yimbymelbourne]

Today, we release our flagship Melbourne's Missing Middle report.

We want a Melbourne for everyone. One that's liveable, affordable, and sustainable. This document provides the key steps to getting us there.

https://t.co/X3NZtPnLi0

[Paul Ryan @pryno]

@MattCowgill @wfmackey The guerilla movement has only grown since I left

[Paul Ryan @pryno]

@Jonathan_Nolan_ @BenPhillips_ANU @DrCameronMurray It's also difficult to identify sales to investors - e.g. need to observe the property relisted for rent. ~35% of new credit to investors is another stat that points to this overestimating investor exits.

[Peter Tulip @peter_tulip]

.@MaresPeter is an influential writer on housing policy, so his long article in Inside Story deserves a response, especially as it highlights some common misunderstandings.
A thread. 1/9
https://t.co/9ZtILERd0b