@hmacbe@SoberLook Could this time be different?
Unlike 70s/80s central banks are independent. Core inflation looks persistent but all leading inputs signal disinflation ahead (commodity prices, PMIs, supply chain indicators, etc). Thanks
Japan's intervention in the fx market has renewed interest in the role foreign creditors in general and Japanese investors in particular play in US bond markets.
Over the last 4qs, foreign investors have bought about 1/2 of net Treasury issuance. Japan was $50b of $500b.
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@julianHjessop No one thinks 100% of the rate move this year is due to Truss. Yes, there’s a been a global rates tightening, but it’s disingenuous to imply this wasn’t a total blunder. Data speaks for itself 👇