Our training programs, tools & expertise in predictive analytics future-proof your organization. @Superforecastr & @PavelDAtanasov distill the wisdom of crowds.
Attention valuation fans: we have a new report out today on return on invested capital (ROIC). It updates and extends work from 2014.
https://t.co/BH9XSScZcp
Thursday (15:00 CET), Pavel Atanasov (@PavelDAtanasov) presents his work on “Skill Spotting and Elicitation Systems in Crowd Prediction”
DM if you’d like to join!
@mpib_berlin@HumanForests@pytho_io
🧵More info below!
🇫🇷 French troops from the #NATO Response Force (NRF) have been deployed to #Romania 🇷🇴 in response to Russia’s unprovoked and unjustified invasion of #Ukraine 🇺🇦
Ukraine’s U.N. ambassador directly addressed his Russian counterpart at conclusion of U.N. Security Council meeting: “There is no purgatory for war criminals. They go straight to hell, Ambassador.” https://t.co/iqOY0jHTUu
When two experts make opposing arguments, it is hard to decide whom to trust. The Fed economists will do their own research, but for non-specialist investors, picking a side based on incomplete information is more likely. That's where track-record data would come in handy.
"The observed lower variability, lack of speeding up, smoother individual dynamics, and leader-less inter-personal coordination [in drum circles] indicated that stability increased as group size increased, a sort of temporal wisdom of crowds."
https://t.co/d2kdSsw9LO
💥LAUNCHING TODAY!💥 Human Forest Tournament #2 goes live at NOON EST, but you can still sign up @ https://t.co/U3mo3Mi1Zw to join the hundreds of forecasters competing to beat a top machine model! Help us advance science & maybe earn prizes up to $1500! #datascience#forecasting
Experience reference class forecasting & outpredict machine models! Our @NSF -funded research goes live TODAY & you can still sign up @ https://t.co/iFCBHfbqc4 to advance solutions to the problem made notable by #Nobel laureate Daniel Kahneman & Amos Tversky #science#forecasting
.@pytho_io is launching Phase 2 of the @HumanForests experiment, a forecasting competition. The experiment can help you practice gathering information, thinking probabilistically, updating your beliefs, and making predictions, all key decision skills. @NSF https://t.co/QJECxJk8gJ
Countdown! I'm excited to be conducting an exclusive forecasting tournament for Clarim Media Techonomy Media + Worth Media, culminating next week in an exciting presentation/post-mortem. So far, Afghanistan's fall & oil prices have challenged our top participants. #forecasting
Friends: VOTE here: https://t.co/wOglMWaX4R to help us bring our work on how human intelligence beat machine models in predicting #COVID drug trials. VOTE for our #SXSW2022 Panel Picker session about our @NSF Human Forests work to help us win a slot! #Prediction#MachineLearning