Ronnie James B Arcon

Enterprise Software Architect • Tech Lead Programmer

[Math Files @Math_files]

Bayes’ theorem is probably the single most important thing any rational person can learn.

So many of our debates and disagreements that we shout about are because we don’t understand Bayes’ theorem or how human rationality often works.

Bayes’ theorem is named after the 18th-century Thomas Bayes, and essentially it’s a formula that asks: when you are presented with all of the evidence for something, how much should you believe it?

Bayes’ theorem teaches us that our beliefs are not fixed; they are probabilities. Our beliefs change as we weigh new evidence against our assumptions, or our priors. In other words, we all carry certain ideas about how the world works, and new evidence can challenge them.

For example, somebody might believe that smoking is safe, that stress causes mouth ulcers, or that human activity is unrelated to climate change. These are their priors, their starting points. They can be formed by our culture, our biases, or even incomplete information.

Now imagine a new study comes along that challenges one of your priors. A single study might not carry enough weight to overturn your existing beliefs. But as studies accumulate, eventually the scales may tip. At some point, your prior will become less and less plausible.

Bayes’ theorem argues that being rational is not about black and white. It’s not even about true or false. It’s about what is most reasonable based on the best available evidence. But for this to work, we need to be presented with as much high-quality data as possible. Without evidence—without belief-forming data—we are left only with our priors and biases. And those aren’t all that rational.

[Тsфdiиg @tsoding]

Some people say Java's JIT compiler was ahead of its time. This is false. JIT stands for Just-in-Time.

[Visual Studio Code @code]

Enhance your terminal experience in @code by enabling this one setting ⚙️

The terminal.integrated.suggest.enabled setting, currently in preview, surfaces rich completion support for your terminal.

[Programmer Humor @PR0GRAMMERHUM0R]

aFractionOfOurPower https://t.co/wD1uTFvOic

[Alex Hormozi @AlexHormozi]

People demand success but refuse to work weekends.
People want opportunity but won't talk to strangers.
People claim ambition but sleep in everyday.

We are the result of our actions not our aspirations.

[Andrew D. Huberman, Ph.D. @hubermanlab]

The most dangerous thought in life is “if only…” Nothing that follows those words comes true. Embrace reality. Think. Pick a course of action & execute. The amount of time & energy people waste wishing things & others were different instead of leaning into their agency is sad.

[Lex Fridman @lexfridman]

Here's the links for my conversation with @ThePrimeagen:

YouTube: https://t.co/rPsNC54pIt

Podcast: https://t.co/uxqXcfWUje

[Daniel Nguyen @daniel_nguyenx]

Nike: Everyone is an athlete
Apple: Everyone is an artist
Shopify: Everyone is an entrepreneur
YouTube: Everyone is an storyteller
Cursor: Everyone is a developer

What's about your company?

[GRITCULT @GRITCULT]

Nietzsche.

[terminally onλine εngineer @tekbog]

we gonna end up with more jobs than before in IT because nobody knows how anything works anymore

[Dark Web Informer @DarkWebInformer]

Exactly what happened

[adi @adonis_singh]

GPT-4.5 asked for 1 truly novel human insight (might be my favourite answer on this prompt)

[Brave @brave]

I think XDA does a good job at countering XDA 🙂. Here are some other articles on the site that recommend us:

https://t.co/6BWFaUBvcB

https://t.co/xPWBcVH9mO

https://t.co/2bQepyoh7f

But joking aside: people should trust the judgment over 80 million+ users and independent privacy experts that turn to us over one editorial. We have the user base and reputation we have because our product does what it says it does (protect privacy and more).

[ThePrimeagen @ThePrimeagen]

look at yourself as an eternal junior developer

just be willing to learn and to work on the things others say are too hard

[Uncle Bob Martin @unclebobmartin]

Dear Programmers.

Turing called us: “Mathematicians of ability”. He wasn’t wrong; but he missed something. We are not _just_ mathematicians, we are also scientists.

Mathematics is a discipline of logic and reason, and every programmer must be adept at those things. But programmers must also base their conclusions on experiential observation. We create hypotheses and then test them experimentally.

We are mathematicians and scientists of ability.

We have a word for mathematical scientists. We call them: Engineers.

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

Grok 3

[ₕₐₘₚₜₒₙ @hamptonism]

Never knew I needed a monster truck so bad until I saw this…

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

Algorithm tweak coming soon to promote more informational/entertaining content. We will publish the changes to @engineering.

Our goal is to maximize unregretted user-seconds. Too much negativity is being pushed that technically grows user time, but not unregretted user time.

[blue @bluewmist]

if you want a DANGEROUSLY SHARP brain:

- sleep 8 hours
- life heavy weights
- go on frequent walks
- keep yourself hydrated
- consume less social media
- eat blueberries, salmon, eggs and pumpkin seeds

the world wants you dumbed down and dull, the last person to take the decision must be you. don't allow it.

[blue @bluewmist]

never apologise for being obsessed. read all day. work all day. run for hours. forget time exists. be everywhere but be a ghost. turn off the world and create your own. let craft become compulsion. positive obsession is a gift, disguised as a curse.