Scott Moore

Attorney, Eagle Scout, North Carolinian. I bleed Wolfpack red. Heterochromia. Interested in law, technology, politics, & tropical beaches.

[Scott Moore @scomoore2]

@AndrewCFollett @ChrisCillizza This map was only drawn after Texas. Before Trump forced Texas to redraw, California had a fair map drawn by an independent commission.

NC, OH, GA, TN, MS, AL, SC, WI, FL, all had GOP horrible gerrymanders. Dems tried to ban gerrymandering, but GOP refused...

[Scott Moore @scomoore2]

@ozymandiasBrBa According to RCP, the April 23, 2018 average was D+5.5%. On June 2, 2018 it was D+3.2%. In 2018, Dems ended up winning the popular vote by 8.4%.

According to RCP today, the generic ballot average is D+5.7%.

Choose a different argument.

[Scott Moore @scomoore2]

This argument is honestly so disingenuous. If Republicans could have drawn a 37-1 map in Texas, they would have. They couldn't because it would have created a dummymander. Also, 79% is not that much different than 91%. 12% is like one seat.

[Andrew Follett @AndrewCFollett]

@ChrisCillizza TX: 25-13 to 30-8...so 66% to 79%

VA: 6-5 to 10-1...so 55% to 91%!

You're being very dishonest!

[Scott Moore @scomoore2]

@JohnTuckerNC @brianonorio ...we don't follow proportional districts. You said that as an argument for NC GOP gerrymandering. What was it okay for GOP disproportionate gerrymandering, but not in Virginia? How is this not hypocrisy of the highest order?

[Scott Moore @scomoore2]

@JohnTuckerNC @brianonorio John, when the GOP gerrymandered the shit out of TX, NC, GA, OH, FL, MS, LA, etc. you said nothing because it benefited your party. Now that something is hurting your party you're against it. You even argued to me years ago, in support of NC's map, that...

[Scott Moore @scomoore2]

This is evidence that the Harris ground game was important and impressive. Just not enough.

[Dave Wasserman @Redistrict]

Latest numbers: across the seven battleground states, the '20-'24 swing towards Trump was ~3.1 pts. Across the other 43 states (+DC), it was ~6.7 pts.

Bottom line: the Harris campaign swam impressively against some very strong underlying currents.

[Scott Moore @scomoore2]

@YourAnonNews Vote counting in California and elsewhere isn’t over. Those numbers will increase for both sides.

[Scott Moore @scomoore2]

@mtucker108 The places where she actually campaigned swum right by less than the country as a whole. About 1.5% in NC, about 2.5% in GA, 3-4 in PA, WI, MI.

Meanwhile, blue states where she didn’t campaign any swung by like 5-12%. That supports this being a continuation of the global trends

[Scott Moore @scomoore2]

@dr_barrett @JohnRSamuelsen If you do Blue + Orange + grey, it’s about 100%.

[Scott Moore @scomoore2]

@dr_barrett @JohnRSamuelsen I think it’s right. Under 45 is a bit above 50%. Under 30 is 21% of that 50% or so.

[Scott Moore @scomoore2]

@senderowiczj @KFILE Being off by 5% is not that bad considering the margin of error applies to both candidates. For example, if the margin of error is 3% and the poll is 48R-43D, the actual result can be 51R-40D all the way to 46D-45R.

[Scott Moore @scomoore2]

@ydnc 18-40yo turnout is up in EIP over 2020, but because of lack of mail in 24 compared to 20, 18-40 yo are actually 157k down from 2020 at this same point.

[Scott Moore @scomoore2]

@EricLDaugh It is called Kinston, NC, not KINGston...

[Scott Moore @scomoore2]

@EmilyTaylor864 @gercohen @larosh97 They are in a slightly more rural area so, very easy to vote EIP with shorter lines compared to Wake or Meck. That's the only other thing I can think of.

[Zack Bornstein @ZackBornstein]

until the day i die i will never understand how this wasn’t the end of it

[Scott Moore @scomoore2]

@JimBlaine Brunswick GOP Margins

2016: 62.5-34 (R+28.1%)
2018: 59-37 [COA Seat 3] (R+22%)
2020: 61.9-36.9 (R+25%)
2022: 61.44-36.5 (R+25%)

Brunswick has 6500 more Reg Repubs than 2022 and has 6700 more UNA (only 600 more Dems). I wonder Brunswick's 2024 margin. Probably 61/62-36/37 again.

[Scott Moore @scomoore2]

@mtucker108 They had 3x as many people enter, had roughly the same number of border agents, and still managed to increase removal percentage by 4%? Certainly cuts against the "open border" narrative pushed by GOP/Trump.