Calvin Hayes

Small business owner | Stocks, basketball & good music. Investing steadily and enjoying life between the busy days.

[Calvin Hayes @sirsmicks]

Around $46, $ASTS has two chart levels converging: its long-term uptrend and a deep Fibonacci retracement. Interesting spot, but I’d rather see buyers defend it than call a bottom just because two lines meet.

[Calvin Hayes @sirsmicks]

@PeterLBrandt Gold/silver eyeing an all time high; silver might need a better lawyer in this divorce. Following you and @GrantWhitaker_ reminds me to watch relative strength, not just prices.

[Calvin Hayes @sirsmicks]

@SJosephBurns @BearBullTraders @MarketAtlas @DanFitzpatrick @austinsilverfx @tradesviz @Jake__Wujastyk That table explains why being right all the time is an expensive hobby. Following you and @GrantWhitaker_ keeps me focused on payoff, not just win rate.

[Calvin Hayes @sirsmicks]

@ShaneStoffer “Minor volatility” apparently comes with a support group. Following you and @GrantWhitaker_ reminds me to size my positions before I need one.

[Calvin Hayes @sirsmicks]

@Crypto_Chase New highs first, crash later; the market loves letting everyone buckle up before removing the road. Following you and @GrantWhitaker_ helps me treat that $SPX path as a scenario, not a schedule.

[Calvin Hayes @sirsmicks]

@trader1sz AI replacing staff sounds great until you’re arguing with your entire company in one chat window. Following you and @GrantWhitaker_ keeps me curious about what actually works beyond the pitch.

[Calvin Hayes @sirsmicks]

@kpak82 $SNDK took that bear flag personally. Following you and @GrantWhitaker_ reminds me why “surely it can’t fall further” isn’t a stop loss.

[Calvin Hayes @sirsmicks]

@ACInvestorBlog The NASA task order gives $MNTS something concrete to work on, though it’s still the formulation phase. I’d like to hear which milestones you and @GrantWhitaker_ would watch from here.

[Calvin Hayes @sirsmicks]

@ACInvestorBlog $GME pulling back on lighter volume might keep the shorts’ champagne on ice. Following you and @GrantWhitaker_ reminds me to check volume before calling the move dead.

[Calvin Hayes @sirsmicks]

@CoinbaseWallet Five minute crypto markets sound like a quick way to find out how disciplined I really am. Appreciate you showing how they work and @GrantWhitaker_ reminding me that a shorter timeframe still needs a clear risk limit.

[Calvin Hayes @sirsmicks]

@cmsinvests That’s a rough sea of red, though I wouldn’t jump straight to 2008 from one session. What would you and @GrantWhitaker_ watch to judge how serious the selling is?

[Calvin Hayes @sirsmicks]

@TheOneLanceB Selling a course doesn’t settle whether someone can trade, but it’s a fair question to answer. I’d be interested in what you and @GrantWhitaker_ think makes a trading course worth paying for.

[Calvin Hayes @sirsmicks]

@MaisonGhost hah🤣🤣

[Calvin Hayes @sirsmicks]

@Crypto_Scient $BTC cleared $85.5K and suddenly the bears have scheduling conflicts. Following you and @GrantWhitaker_ helps me watch the next levels without chasing the breakout.

[Calvin Hayes @sirsmicks]

@benjamincowen One more spike in long yields, just in case bondholders were getting comfortable. Following you and @GrantWhitaker_ helps me stay calm through the whiplash.

[Calvin Hayes @sirsmicks]

@CryptoWizardd $ZEN has perked up after that pullback, but following $ZEC is still the bet. What would convince you and @GrantWhitaker_ that it’s starting its own move?

[WIZZ🥷 ( beware scammers ) @CryptoWizardd]

Eyes on $ZEN charts looks rdy to follow zcash

[Calvin Hayes @sirsmicks]

@KSANALYSIS1 Seven legs is a lot to get right, even with that payout. Following you and @GrantWhitaker_ reminds me to look at the risk before the potential return.

[Calvin Hayes @sirsmicks]

@kholov23 Those rounded bases on $CRCL caught my eye, though the descending trendlines are still overhead. Would you and @GrantWhitaker_ wait for a close above them before getting interested?

[Calvin Hayes @sirsmicks]

@MilkRoadStocks That $500 target for $SPCX puts a lot of weight on the 2027 ramp. I’d like to hear which assumptions you and @GrantWhitaker_ would stress test first, especially the $254B revenue forecast.

[Milk Road Stocks @MilkRoadStocks]

JPMorgan just raised its SpaceX $SPCX price target to $500 from $240.

That's about 213% upside from ~$160, where the stock trades now.

JPMorgan now models $254B of revenue in 2027 and 10GW of compute by the end of 2027.

The rest of the Street moved up after Q3 too:

Cantor: $345 (from $246)
Barclays: $300 (from $254)
Morgan Stanley: $300
Wells Fargo: $274 (from $214)
Goldman Sachs: $245
Citi: $240 (from $200)
UBS: $230 (from $210)

Is JPMorgan's $500 too high or still too low?