@milesdeutscher Seems to me like the 4 year cycle never really existed. It just happened that the cycle defined by halving was coincidentally aligning with the global liquidity cycle.
Liquidity defines all financial assets. Especially risk assets. Why would $BTC be any different?
@CryptoKid Not much would change. It’s just what has often happened.
Both moon boy and cliff diver talk are just noise, in the end.
Personally, I’m ready for it. But never stopped DCA and bought more aggressively these past 8 weeks, just in case it doesn’t play out as usual.
@FefeDemeny Even if steady trend up continues setting up massive bull run, we’ll evtlly correct & consolidate at 64k, 69k, 74k, 76k, whatever it is.
You’d think ppl would’ve care to learn and appreciate that reality. But no.
Going through comments is more exhausting than surviving a bear.
@DarboJr3@benjamincowen He never said not to buy.
Literally said multiple times he always starts DCA in the second half of midterm year. Regardless of if it goes lower.
@GT3HODL@dangambardello Entitled to yr opinion. But Dan’s been posting for about 7-8 yrs.
Credible or foolish, this is who he is every day for yrs. Consistent and true to his opinions and believes.
He is not the “one day disappears” type. Those, disappear fast. Don’t stick around for 3+ cycles.
@maxvayshia Ok. Cristiano is the GOAT of being cooler to strangers and kids. 👏🏽 👏🏽 👏🏽
Messi is still the better player and the GOAT of this generation.
@AyyJayy0z@benjamincowen Well if we had already gone below cycle’s bottom, then that would had been the lower low.
You call it before it happens.
Lastly, he’s said it million times, he talks BTC based on time. Not price.
ATM, it’s too soon for cycle low to be in. Hence, calling for lower lows ahead.
@dangambardello Thing is Dan, take Nasdaq100.
Was $14K May 2021, is $29K May 2026.
An index well composed of growth stocks. Historically considered risky when liquidity is not abundant and rates are high.
Done 2x. Same time frame. Same business cycle.
That argument alone just doesn’t hold up.
@dangambardello I thought you were data based and future-often-resembles past inclined.
Can’t be crazy, if you’re actually about that.
Bound to break from that one day, sure.
But can’t be crazy.
Thing is, first, you’ve been saying this for 2-3 years Dan. Alts never exploded and bear is and has been here for months.
Second, macro is trash. Worse possible for $BTC. Imagine for alts.
So eventually, yes, you’re gonna be right.
Just not in some time. And many years is a luxury most don’t have.
@KyleWAlpha@benjamincowen How can data based information without tribalism be toxic?? 🤦🏽
Unless you believe he’s been talking about your coin all along. 🤷🏽♂️
@alfredxx21@benjamincowen Yet they always do the same thing. Like BTC always topping on Q4 of post halving cycle. Always.
That’s how “coincidences” become become factual data points.
@alfredxx21@benjamincowen Because they are literally down almost every midterm year. War or not.
That’s his whole freaking point.
Cycles > news/narratives.