The Alpha Ledger

Nightly momentum trading setups. Structurally vetted, liquid, conviction ranked for the next session. Education only. Not advice.

[The Alpha Ledger @thealphaledger]

Commented On: $BTBT, $AMKR, $ELF, $HIMS, $COMP, $CPNG, $SOFI, $AFRM, $CIFR, $WIT, $VYX, $GENI, $SG

Follow: @thealphaledger
https://t.co/0BFXJjfOLN

[Michael @fit_businessman]

$SPY ⚠️Caution shorting here — institutional derisking & hedging not panicking.

Selling into FOMC often sets up buy the relief when the news isn’t as bad as feared. Fed likely on hold with “wait-and-see” language. Hawkish pivot unlikely with oil back in the 70s after the strait opening.

Short holiday week + mopex. Setup looks constructive into MOPEX.

Post-mopex gamma unpinning = 💣

[The Alpha Ledger @thealphaledger]

@steve2bacon @Stocktwits lol

[The Alpha Ledger @thealphaledger]

@JimJame74888138 Still enjoying this one, Capt

[The Alpha Ledger @thealphaledger]

Exactly...bears today

[Alex @positive_gains]

Not bearish

[The Alpha Ledger @thealphaledger]

Commented On: $NUAI, $MNKD, $BULL, $W, $BHVN, $HOOD, $PGY, $PGEN, $COMP, $ELF, $MBC, $RZLV

Follow: @thealphaledger
https://t.co/7wDSAJT6SF

[Equity Clock @EquityClock]

Does it concern anyone else that treasury yields, which have been factoring in the inflationary pressures that Oil have fuelled in recent months, are little changed? Essentially, the bond market is calling the President’s bluff. $TNX $TLT $IEF

[The Alpha Ledger @thealphaledger]

@mattvanswol @buggirl Retarded monkeys , indeed.

[The Alpha Ledger @thealphaledger]

@JimJame74888138 😂😂😂

[The Alpha Ledger @thealphaledger]

Commented On: $AMC, $KSS, $BULL, $BFLY, $CAI, $MBC, $HIMS, $ELF, $LEGN

Follow: @thealphaledger
https://t.co/gpmyZRUWM9

[The Alpha Ledger @thealphaledger]

@JimJame74888138 You were all over this last night.

[Alex @positive_gains]

@BenKizemchuk I love talking about the Makers

[The Alpha Ledger @thealphaledger]

@neilsethinew @neilksethi @C_Barraud cc: @fit_businessman @Ben1148x2 @SubtleInduction @tsg0x @positive_gains

[Neil Sethi NEW account, so please refollow @neilsethinew]

The @neilksethi account was suspended by X for posting some BoA charts.

I'm trying to sort that out but don't have high hopes. So, I am restarting with this account.

If you could follow and repost, I would appreciate it, so people know where to find me now.

cc:
@C_Barraud
@Chartfest1
@dailychartbook
@lisaabramowicz1
@LiveSquawk
@MikeZaccardi
@profplum99
@RyanDetrick
@SamanthaLaDuc
@TheStalwart
@TheShortBear
@TheChartReport
@WarrenPies

[Pants the Great @EYECANTFAIL]

I don’t even see any happy doomers…

Like whats the point even?

[The Alpha Ledger @thealphaledger]

@steve2bacon They don't make double beats like the used to.

[Arun S. Chopra CFA CMT🧐 @FusionptCapital]

Emailing this to Scottie Pippen

[The Alpha Ledger @thealphaledger]

Losing Annual R2 "Strong Resistance Zone" was a big clue of which direction the wind was going to start blowing. Also the Ledger tightened up quickly, which is always a clue. Hope you've been cleaning up, buddy. 💪 My last couple days have been short side. Watch intramonth S2 on this chart for a flip back to bull (bulltrap?).

[Venu @Venu_7_]

If anyone wonders why your portfolio feels like it's moving around a lot lately:

$VIX is sitting at 22.

A quick way to estimate the market's expected daily move is to take the VIX and divide it by 16 (the square root of 252 trading days).

22 ÷ 16 = 1.375%

That means the market is pricing in roughly 1.375% daily moves in $SPY. With $SPY around $732, that's approximately $10.07 swings per day.

For context, when the VIX was around 14 earlier this year, implied daily moves were only about 0.875%.

In other words, we're experiencing nearly double the day-to-day volatility compared to just a few weeks ago.

So if your portfolio feels more volatile lately, it's not necessarily because you're doing something wrong.

It's the environment.