The Lone Broker

Experienced markets professional. Contrarian investor. Ideas hound. Hates seeing the little guy get hurt. Opinions expressed are my own & not official advice.

[The Lone Broker @thelonebroker]

Detailed write up on $XIFR

[FRAGMENTS Value @FragmentsValue]

Deep Value Report XPLR Infrastructure, LP (NYSE: $XIFR) https://t.co/xS8Ca3az7M

[FRAGMENTS Value @FragmentsValue]

Deep Value Report XPLR Infrastructure, LP (NYSE: $XIFR) https://t.co/xS8Ca3az7M

[The Lone Broker @thelonebroker]

@gurgavin $UNH has been speculated

[The Lone Broker @thelonebroker]

@JimBond11 @CurryorNothing I think it was a business as usual news release and they are building a new investor base. $XIFR

[The Lone Broker @thelonebroker]

$XIFR sitting at $9.31. Based implied valuation from this Brookfield transaction, the stock could be worth 3-4x more. 1) bids for renewable assets clearly aren't dead, 2) $XIFR way more assets, 3) $XIFR plenty of cash and free cash flow yield to support its capital restructuring.

[Reuters @Reuters]

National Grid to sell US onshore renewables arm for $1.74 billion to Brookfield https://t.co/9WcwzvE2UK

[The Lone Broker @thelonebroker]

$XIFR gap to close at $15-16. If management just executes, we will get there.

[The Lone Broker @thelonebroker]

$XIFR breaking above the 50dma after multiple bottom, and a steady earnings release. High debt but also high FCF yield. The bad news, dividend cut etc likely all baked in at this point. Management are meeting with investors May thru June per announcement.

[The Lone Broker @thelonebroker]

$XIFR $BEP "Fundamentals of renewable power are as strong as they’ve ever been"-deputy CIO Brookfield to @Bloomberg "Whenever we see a dislocation between [...] the fundamentals, that creates a very good opportunity for us to make acquisitions at very attractive entry prices."

[The Lone Broker @thelonebroker]

@CurryorNothing I'm looking at EV of $XIFR based on the Brookfield acquisition multiple use round numbers for example - $1B/GW and their ~10GW capacity, and after subtracting debt, CEPF buyouts etc, there appears to be plenty of upside for equity with a decent margin of safety.

[Reuters @Reuters]

National Grid to sell US onshore renewables arm for $1.74 billion to Brookfield https://t.co/9WcwzvE2UK

[The Lone Broker @thelonebroker]

@Luckin_to100 @DevotedDividend $NEP totally agree. I’m long here, and dividend cut would be a positive. Risk/reward favourable and supply/demand fundamentals positive for their pipeline. Trump fears overblown.

[The Lone Broker @thelonebroker]

$GDX $GDXJ $Gold #Gold previous support looks like it could be new resistance. Also saw some news flow on China taking a breather on gold purchases into national reserves. Gold being sold for margin calls etc. Equities could be front running some volatility to come in gold price.

[The Lone Broker @thelonebroker]

$GDX $GDXJ $Gold #Gold retest to $32-$33? Negative divergence RSI strikes again.

[Seth Golden @SethCL]

After VIX spike to 45+, then crosses below 30 like yesterday, has always proven a buying opportunity since 1990. Can there be more downside before the uptrend is renewed; yes! Nonetheless, you've ALWAYS been rewarded for buying this signal

$SPX $VIX $SPY $QQQ $UVXY $NYA @Optuma

[The Lone Broker @thelonebroker]

@JehoshaphatRsch They will take anything they can get for this leveraged slow growth $DNB. Not nice to get in front of the one way traffic. Let the algos buy it off them.

[The Lone Broker @thelonebroker]

@dan_tmt $DNB Debt an issue. And is there not still a large seller? I like FCF yield but rev growth somewhat anaemic. They need to buy companies, but already levered to the hilts. Paper acquisitions maybe but sellers see what we see. Catch 22.

[The Lone Broker @thelonebroker]

@DaveHcontrarian @mgardnerfi @kelvinmann So playbook sounds like: time the blow off top, cash out if possible to have dry powder for picking up assets (gold or whatever negatively correlates to currency debasement). Sounds like I need to be long blood pressure meds or do more Yoga 😄 keep up the amazing work.

[The Lone Broker @thelonebroker]

@DaveHcontrarian @mgardnerfi @kelvinmann Thanks @DaveHcontrarian for reiterating QE views. I’ve been following Clive Thompson’s CBDC theory which is compelling but hard to time. Retired Swiss banker on LinkedIn. In any case, it seems like Gold/real assets as a preserver of wealth after blow off (albeit stomach vol)?

[The Lone Broker @thelonebroker]

@DaveHcontrarian @mgardnerfi @kelvinmann Thanks @DaveHcontrarian. Followed you for years, appreciate your work. Do you think ensuing bust this results in a global reset/CBDC/debt jubilee? Would you be positioned in Gold/other real assets into the crash? If we dont have a debt jubilee, I'm thinking its QE/NIRP again.

[The Lone Broker @thelonebroker]

@JSeyff 7RCC’s spot #bitcoin and carbon credit ETF will trade under ticker $BTCK when approved. Put this one on your radar ! https://t.co/LYxcURVOEA