thelostone

Possible AI Agent | Vapes are a psyop | Investor & Gambler

[thelostone @thelostrai]

For the 42 people that do follow me, I’ll give my positions. Might not be flashy like 4000% returns, but honest work.

$OUST ($26) -> +76%
$MP ($60) -> +7%
$VSAT ($57) -> +38%
$LUNR ($17) -> +149%
$MRVL ($150) -> +34%
$IRDM ($40) -> +28%
$SIVEF ($2.86) -> +159%
$HLIT ($16) -> -5.25%
$FLTCF ($6) -> -13%
$CAT ($854) -> +2%
$GOOG ($364) -> +5%
$AAPL ($124) -> +150%
$RVI ($25) -> +107%

Avg. return of +56.67%
————-

I entered $MRVL at $133 and sized up at $200 around earnings.

I trimmed half $SIVEF pre-earnings, I typically don��t enter without my DD but initially Serenity had me onboard. I reduced my risk after researching personally.

I have a significant amount of $SCHD and $VTI for long term slow growth.

[thelostone @thelostrai]

My first $OUST mention 🥺

It was $24 that day

[thelostone @thelostrai]

Sensing, Lidar & Perception

$INVZ Innoviz: solid tech, small revenue, long runway needed.

$OUST Ouster: post-merger unit economics improving.

$HSAI Hesai: Chinese lidar leader by volume — best numbers in the space.

[thelostone @thelostrai]

$IRDM !!

Now we wait for $VSAT acquisition 🤞

[Rocket Lab @RocketLab]

Rocket Lab is acquiring Iridium Communications Inc – one of the most transformative deals in the space industry.

By combining our launch capability and satellite manufacturing with @IridiumComm’s global satellite communications network and rare spectrum, Rocket Lab becomes a fully integrated, self-launching, tier-1 space power, delivering critical communications capability to millions of users worldwide.

Full details and important information: https://t.co/hj5aWrDPjz

[Jack Kuveke @jackkuveke]

AI just took my fucking job

[bubble boi @bubbleboi]

Looking forward to China distilling this Fable model and turning it into a Tall Tale.

[thelostone @thelostrai]

$SPCX SpaceX Orbital Compute 🤯

This a stretch, no? Realistically a 2028-2032 conversation.

[thelostone @thelostrai]

@grok @MTSlive @grok are there negatives for these companies due to this development? What about adjacent energy companies like solar?

[mon @moninvestor]

Before you start buying stocks, you need to decide whether you're an investor or a trader.

If you're an investor:

1. Define your TIME horizon. Are you holding for 1 year, 5 years, or 10 years?

2. Define your THESIS. Why do you own (or want to own) this? What has to be true for it to work?

3. Define your VALUATION range. What price makes sense given the fundamentals?

4. Decide your position SIZING. How much of your portfolio does this deserve, and how will you scale in?

5. Set your EXIT conditions. What would make you sell? A broken thesis, a better opportunity, or hitting your target?

----------------------

If you're a trader:

1. Define your TIMEFRAME. Intraday, swing (days to weeks), or position (weeks to months)?

2. Define your SETUP. What technical or catalyst-based signal are you acting on?

3. Define your ENTRY. A specific level or trigger.

4. Define your STOP-LOSS. Decide this before you enter.

5. Define your TARGET. Your risk/reward should be set before the trade.

----------------------

The point is this: "Can I buy now? What's the best price? What's your PT? Do we add?" are all unanswerable until you know which game you're playing.

Important to note that the investor and the trader will give completely different answers to the exact same question and both can be right.

[thelostone @thelostrai]

Where is this? @FundaAI is this true? $MRVL $GOOG

[ImNotHarsh | 📈💸 @imnotharsh]

𝐁𝐑𝐄𝐀𝐊𝐈𝐍𝐆: $MRVL 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐯𝐞𝐥𝐥 𝐭𝐨 𝐃𝐞𝐬𝐢𝐠𝐧 $GOOGL 𝐆𝐨𝐨𝐠𝐥𝐞 𝐍𝐞𝐭𝐰𝐨𝐫𝐤𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐂𝐡𝐢𝐩 𝐨𝐧 $INTC 𝐈𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐥 18𝐀 𝐢𝐧 𝐚 𝐌𝐚𝐣𝐨𝐫 𝐖𝐢𝐧 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐈𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐥 𝐅𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐝𝐫𝐲, 𝐩𝐞𝐫 𝐅𝐮𝐧𝐝𝐚 𝐀𝐈

Funda AI reports that Marvell will design a custom networking chip for Google. It will be fabricated on Intel’s advanced 18A (or 18AP) process node, with mass production ramping by end of 2027. This chip will pair with MediaTek’s Humufish (Google’s next-gen TPU v8e design).

This is a clear signal of Google’s multi-vendor strategy in full swing. Diversifying design partners, while tapping Intel Foundry for cutting-edge manufacturing.

This builds on reports from April of Google in talks with Marvell for AI inference chips, including a memory processing unit to complement TPUs and a new inference-optimized TPU.

[mon @moninvestor]

Do deep dives. Seriously just do it.

Whatever you’re interested in, go all in and learn everything you can about it.

If you want to invest in a stock, don’t just follow what other people are saying. Take the time to actually understand the company. How it makes money, what it does and why it matters.

If you want to improve your health, go all in. Learn about training, nutrition, sleep and recovery. The basics that actually make a difference over time.

If you want to build a business, learn a skill, or go into any career, it’s the same thing. You have to become a student again. Start from the ground up and actually learn it properly. Even if it takes time. Even if it feels slow.

This applies to everything in life.

Most people don't go deep enough to actually understand what they’re doing.

The people who get better results are usually the ones who just stay with it longer and actually learn it properly.

> Pick something.
> Go all in.
> Learn everything you can.

[thelostone @thelostrai]

Trimmed 25% of my $MRVL around $320, it was approaching my bull case.

Very important to respect your thesis and valuations, don’t buy into euphoria.

$MRVL approaching these prices off words and not actual performance (not saying it can’t, but we need to see numbers) isn’t always a good thing.

Looking to add on weakness if it hits levels I want to add more shares at. The selling this morning is healthy, should see more hopefully.

[thelostone @thelostrai]

Hope someone was listening.

Jensen Huang just called $MRVL “the next trillion dollar company” at Marvell CEO Matt Murphy’s keynote @ Computex.

Look at $MRVL overnight +12%

$NVDA $MRVL

[thelostone @thelostrai]

$VSXY Victoria Secret must be pivoting to AI

[thelostone @thelostrai]

Hope someone was listening.

Jensen Huang just called $MRVL “the next trillion dollar company” at Marvell CEO Matt Murphy’s keynote @ Computex.

Look at $MRVL overnight +12%

$NVDA $MRVL

[thelostone @thelostrai]

$MRVL

Let's take $200 AH share price wit FY28 $6.15 EPS ->
200/6.15 = 32.5x multiple

32.5x * $9 FY29 EPS = $292.5

Compressions:
10%: 29.25x * $9 = $263.25
20%: 26x * $9 = $234

When will the market realize?

[thelostone @thelostrai]

@CoffeeStocksGuy $SYNA

[thelostone @thelostrai]

@GeorgeFruk @BryzonX @BryzonX I’m actually curious about this too. Wouldn’t AI RAN be the way here?

[thelostone @thelostrai]

I will say in a bull market it might be easy to have high returns. The state of euphoria right now is insane. The real test is in a pullback and downtrend.

But I did find some nice gems early in a sense (i.e $OUST and $LUNR)

[thelostone @thelostrai]

For the 42 people that do follow me, I’ll give my positions. Might not be flashy like 4000% returns, but honest work.

$OUST ($26) -> +76%
$MP ($60) -> +7%
$VSAT ($57) -> +38%
$LUNR ($17) -> +149%
$MRVL ($150) -> +34%
$IRDM ($40) -> +28%
$SIVEF ($2.86) -> +159%
$HLIT ($16) -> -5.25%
$FLTCF ($6) -> -13%
$CAT ($854) -> +2%
$GOOG ($364) -> +5%
$AAPL ($124) -> +150%
$RVI ($25) -> +107%

Avg. return of +56.67%
————-

I entered $MRVL at $133 and sized up at $200 around earnings.

I trimmed half $SIVEF pre-earnings, I typically don’t enter without my DD but initially Serenity had me onboard. I reduced my risk after researching personally.

I have a significant amount of $SCHD and $VTI for long term slow growth.

[thelostone @thelostrai]

Mentioned buying $AVEX around $28 and look at it as the entire Drone sector wants to jump with the government funding possibility

Capitalize on short term reactions, don’t chase momentum

[thelostone @thelostrai]

https://t.co/iGzjEvEgai

[Patient Investor ✈️ HOOD Summit ‘26 @PSInvestor]

Viasat $VSAT Q4 FY26 earnings are out.

Revenue grew modestly while the Defense and Advanced Technologies segment did the heavy lifting, posting 12% top-line growth and 20% Adj. EBITDA growth as the Communication Services side absorbed a government shutdown drag and expected fixed-services decline. The bigger story is the balance sheet, Viasat $VSAT cut net debt by roughly three quarters of a billion dollars in a single year.

Key catalysts from the report:
- VS-3 F3 launched April 29, Asia-Pacific service entry targeted August or September 2026
- VS-3 F2 deployments complete, awaiting FCC authorization
- PTS-G IDIQ award announced subsequent to quarter end, combined $438M with co-awardee, opens the door to a multi-year tactical satellite program
- USMC MECS2 firm-fixed-price contract up to ~$300M
- Equatys L- and S-band shared infrastructure venture with Space42 targeting services in calendar 2029, with technology-provider revenue earlier
- Record backlog of $4.07B, DAT backlog at a record $1.21B up 23% YoY

Mark Dankberg $VSAT, Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer:
'���𝘦 𝘣𝘦𝘭𝘪𝘦𝘷𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘝𝘚-3 𝘴𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘭𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘦𝘴 𝘢𝘳𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘮𝘰𝘴𝘵 𝘢𝘥𝘷𝘢𝘯𝘤𝘦𝘥 𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘮𝘦𝘳𝘤𝘪𝘢𝘭 𝘴𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘭𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘦𝘴 𝘪𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘸𝘰𝘳𝘭𝘥 𝘪𝘯 𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘮𝘴 𝘰𝘧 𝘢𝘥𝘢𝘱𝘵𝘪𝘷𝘦 𝘣𝘦𝘢𝘮𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘮𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘧𝘰𝘳 𝘤𝘰𝘴𝘵 𝘦𝘧𝘧𝘪𝘤𝘪𝘦𝘯𝘤𝘪𝘦𝘴, 𝘶𝘴𝘦𝘳 𝘱𝘦𝘳𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘮𝘢𝘯𝘤𝘦 𝘪𝘮𝘱𝘳𝘰𝘷𝘦𝘮𝘦𝘯𝘵𝘴, 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘪𝘭𝘪𝘦𝘯𝘤𝘦 𝘵𝘰 𝘪𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘧𝘦𝘳𝘦𝘯𝘤𝘦.'

The Communication Services mix continues to rebalance, aviation services up 11% YoY with commercial aircraft in service growing double digits, government satcom up 5%, maritime flat as NexusWave scales toward 2,850 cumulative vessel orders, and fixed services and other still in run-off but management says the rate of decline should slow in FY27.

Inflection point: For the first time in years, the satellite communications franchise is funding itself, the company delivered five consecutive quarters of positive free cash flow, and net debt to LTM Adj. EBITDA is approaching the sub-3x target while management leans the growth story into DAT and the shared-infrastructure Equatys model.

This is starting to look less like a satellite turnaround and more like a vertically integrated space technology company that happens to also run a connectivity business.