Genesis

Analyst for 15B+ AUM fund. Focused on winning themes.

[Genesis @themeinflection]

@siyul Not sure I would consider $FISV a “top tier survivor”

[Genesis @themeinflection]

@FluentInQuality Think about the metaverse 😉
He will spend on CapEx until shareholders are up in arms. At that point, the ROI won’t be there
I think he’s a builder at heart… not worried about creating shareholder value, he just wants to build something cool.
Overbuild is inevitable

[Genesis @themeinflection]

https://t.co/NiaIZ3n5jn

[Genesis @themeinflection]

I think the =AI( ) function is incredibly useful, so I wrote a post about it! It speeds up my equity research process considerably. Please share any thoughts/feedback.

[Genesis @themeinflection]

@orrdavid Have to stick to your investment philosophy… otherwise LPs get nervous

[Genesis @themeinflection]

@BoringBiz_ People forget that tokens cost $ so can’t increase spend forever

[Genesis @themeinflection]

@MikeFritzell The business model is hilarious. Training costs grow exponentially while cost/token falls.

[Genesis @themeinflection]

@MikeFritzell Have you looked at Trip (TCOM)? 6.7x ‘27 EBIT and 8x ‘27 earnings. LDD grower. AI factor will hurt for awhile on these… don’t think anyone wants to step in front of momentum

[Genesis @themeinflection]

@topsecretstocks Interesting stock. Any idea what margins will look like 5 yrs out?

[Genesis @themeinflection]

@joinyellowbrick Once you have a certain # of followers on X, making a post is the catalyst. Sort of an infinite money glitch imo

[Genesis @themeinflection]

@BeenThereCap Kalshi/Polymarket will be 100x bigger eventually and prediction markets cannibalize the higher margin sports betting business. Not sure if this one works…

[Genesis @themeinflection]

@ContrarianCurse Just wait till we get the ChatGPT moment for robotics and Mag7 is 80% of revenue industrial CapEx business

[Genesis @themeinflection]

Just launched my blog! I plan on covering inflecting themes, single name ideas, and AI use cases. If you don't know me, I am currently an analyst at a 15B+ AUM fund.

[Genesis @themeinflection]

If $OIL returns to the 60s after the conflict resolves, I think it's a long. There's definitely potential for an oil super cycle - AI, aging infrastructure, deglobalization, geopolitical uncertainty, etc.

[Genesis @themeinflection]

@FluentInQuality Not enough AI sir, we need torque 😉

[Genesis @themeinflection]

@bkaellner I feel like the quality of Leopold’s portfolio has gone down significantly

[Genesis @themeinflection]

@realroseceline I wonder what the base rate is for management hitting LT guidance in QSR world. Generally speaking, management teams miss LT guidance from my experience

[Genesis @themeinflection]

@realroseceline Probably make $$ on this one when macro turns around… but I think QSRs are just getting hammered by food inflation + labor inflation + consumer weak. Just hard to see anything working unless some of this turns around

[Genesis @themeinflection]

@Floebertus How are you comfortable with home builders? Pretty sure 10 yr will stay higher for awhile and need rates down for home builders like $LGI to work