Nate Walker

Retired MtG Bronze Pro.
Data analyst, algorithm designer.

[Nate Walker @thenatewalker]

@Sierkovitz Better payout ratio than I would have guessed. (I wonder how non-17L participants change the math). The lack of flatter gem payouts combined with Bo1 made the rebuys feel painful. I was excited for these events and fired bullets at event 1 but didn’t even play this time.

[Nate Walker @thenatewalker]

@3PeaksTrading Sounds like a good time - have fun. Been wanting to check out Leavenworth at some point. Someday…

[Nate Walker @thenatewalker]

@3PeaksTrading Try earning a Midwest/southern salary though 👀

[Nate Walker @thenatewalker]

@3PeaksTrading For X, 0-DTE ideas are the easiest to follow so I appreciate those, but I enjoy the overall market reads.

There’s no ‘one thing’ I prefer to see from you… you look at so much data, the most valuable thing you can do is highlight what you think matters as the market changes.

[Nate Walker @thenatewalker]

@3PeaksTrading Calling for 6400 as a level to fade while simultaneously calling 6475 a ‘magnet’ sure is a nice hedge to claim being right no matter what happens

[Nate Walker @thenatewalker]

@granthawkridge Nice way to summarize things. But NVDA rating here is inconsistent with your earlier Mag7 post?

[Nate Walker @thenatewalker]

@SaffronOlive A 2027 card file is about to get a ‘this but make it Harry Potter’ AI redesign.

[Nate Walker @thenatewalker]

@mattcerminaro Historically surprisingly much more red than blue. Doesn’t really jive with the returns we’ve had over that period

[Nate Walker @thenatewalker]

@RyanDetrick @3PeaksTrading Did you just say stocks are up a year after the low? Useful information if you know when the low is I guess

[Nate Walker @thenatewalker]

@MTG_Arena I had signed up for a traditional TLA draft that didn’t fire and now that event is delisted. Will my entry by reimbursed automatically?

[Nate Walker @thenatewalker]

@lsv @wizards_magic @MTG_Arena Let’s get back to cash prize Arena Opens and save everyone from this logistics nightmare.

[Nate Walker @thenatewalker]

@3PeaksTrading I just wonder if it becomes a source of liquidity for SpaceX ipo in 2026.

[Nate Walker @thenatewalker]

The @MTG_Arena Arena Direct events have gotten some bad press in terms of fulfillment and customer service but I reported an issue with my FIN Play Booster redemption link not being sent out and I'm happy to say it was resolved very quickly! (Shipment still incoming).

[Nate Walker @thenatewalker]

@OptionsHawk With those dates I’d have expected them to be longer holds

[Nate Walker @thenatewalker]

@MTG_Arena @wizards_magic Is there a final fantasy Arena Open on the calendar yet? I sure hope we are still getting those events at least once per set. It’s the most exciting event on Arena.

[Nate Walker @thenatewalker]

@3PeaksTrading It seems hard to imagine a bitcoin breakout at the same time as a stock market pullback. If the market is a little stretched near term but IBIT still hasn’t been able to break out here, not sure how to interpret that

[Nate Walker @thenatewalker]

@ajlvi Separating pilot from deck is likely an unanswerable question. I’m more wondering, knowing pilot is a factor, what level of delta would we have to see in card by card analysis to be statistically meaningful?

[Nate Walker @thenatewalker]

@ajlvi Great use of data - love to see it!

[Nate Walker @thenatewalker]

@ajlvi So 4 swiftspears had a 1% edge over 0 swiftspears? But what if the pilots on 4 swiftspears typically have a 2% higher win rate than pilots on 0? Basically, how to differentiate between deck build and player skill? What % delta would we need to see to not be explainable by pilot

[Nate Walker @thenatewalker]

@MTG_Arena I had to restart the client for some reason but now it works.

[Nate Walker @thenatewalker]

@MTG_Arena Is the match maker working? Waiting 10 minutes for first match to start the event...