OptionsGoat

Options Trader

[OptionsGoat @theoptionsgoat]

AMD should hit $760 this month

[OptionsGoat @theoptionsgoat]

Forward P/E tops:

-Dot com bubble 25x
-2021 post covid peak 23x

A 25 forward P/E would put the S&P500 > 10,000

Additionally, the S&P 500 forward P/E was 19x in early 1997 and didn’t hit its peak until July 1999, 1.5 years later

Still have runway, though it may be narrowing

[OptionsGoat @theoptionsgoat]

The next 9 months in midterm years is historically the best 9 months stretch for the market in all of history. We’re bullish

-Positive return 92% of the time
-Average returns of 19%
-SPX 9100 by July 2027

If you’re on the sidelines now, just be ready to feel the FOMO

[OptionsGoat @theoptionsgoat]

FICO is a buy, but not strictly because it’s been beaten down to $600/share. FICO is a buy because they will be a leading company used by the US government when they implement a Social Credit Score.

[OptionsGoat @theoptionsgoat]

The average bull market return is 211%, and the median bull market return is 126%. Based on these numbers, and the 2022 SPX bottom of 3491, the next SPX top should be between 7,889 and 10,857. 9373 is the mid point between them.

[OptionsGoat @theoptionsgoat]

AI’s superhuman capabilities will lead to a lack of trust in AI by 2027-2028. Semiconductor stocks have risen due to hyperscaler investment in AI infrastructure. The 2026 stock boom will come to an abrupt end with an aggressive reversal that is proportional to the rise. Stay safe

[OptionsGoat @theoptionsgoat]

AI’s autonomous capabilities will lead to a lack of faith in AI by 2027-2028. Semiconductor stocks have risen due to hyperscaler investment in AI infrastructure. The 2026 stock boom will come to an abrupt end with an aggressive reversal that is proportional to the rise. Stay safe

[OptionsGoat @theoptionsgoat]

@ConnorJBates_ Now do Nasdaq

[OptionsGoat @theoptionsgoat]

@DaveHcontrarian Great call. Thanks for the reply. I’m assuming you’re likely raising your SMH target?

[OptionsGoat @theoptionsgoat]

@DaveHcontrarian what was your call on SMH? I remember a year or so ago you put an estimate on it and I can’t find the video. Thanks for all you do!

[OptionsGoat @theoptionsgoat]

@DaveHcontrarian Almost there! Good call. Seems like there could be more juice? Did you raise PT on SMH?

[OptionsGoat @theoptionsgoat]

@TheSwingTraderr Opposite will happen. Imagine once NVDA pulls its own weight. Market gonna rippy rip

[Ryan Detrick, CMT @RyanDetrick]

Good time to dust off the Chart of Fears.

Yes, what is happening now is confusing and scary.

But we've seen many other times like this and stocks have always moved from bottom left to upper right.

[OptionsGoat @theoptionsgoat]

@tradertheory We may actually GAP UP

[OptionsGoat @theoptionsgoat]

@DaveHcontrarian with SMH target yet to be reached, initially AMD sees a bounce and goes to all time highs? Way beyond?

[OptionsGoat @theoptionsgoat]

@DaveHcontrarian price target on Copper? I have loved the Gold and Silver call

[Trader Theory @tradertheory]

How a $12 billion asset manager sees technical analysis.

[OptionsGoat @theoptionsgoat]

@DaveHcontrarian what’s your opinion on TSLA? Any price target there?

[OptionsGoat @theoptionsgoat]

@sama This dude sucks