Cathie's $ARKG is aiming for the neckline of a nicely formed IH&S bottom pattern. 38 is pattern target. Cycles are perfect, MACD and Stoch support the move above the neckline. Current price is 31. +22.6% Stop 28.8 tight.
Top holdings: $CRSP $TWST $TEM $BEAM $TXG
It's not the newspapers, TV or radio's job to tell you the truth. Their only job is to convince you that you need to keep coming back, so they can sell ads to their sponsors. That's it. That's their only job. So don't be surprised that no one trusts them anymore. Why would they?
SILVER
I shared this chart on the 26th of Jan, that Silver would hit $120 and complete Wave 3 and pull back to the $70's for Wave 4 next
4 Day's later Silver topped out at $121 and is now at $74.
Parabolic moves toward strong Fib resistance levels mean you sell, which we did.
Now Silver is attractive again.
If you die without a plan...
- The government takes 40% in tax
- Probate court costs $100k+
- Your kids get the scraps
If you love your family, here's every document you need to protect them:
(from a CPA & father of two)
1) Emergency Access List
This should include:
-> All bank account numbers
-> Investment account logins
-> Life insurance policies
-> 401k/IRA beneficiaries
-> Safe deposit box location
-> Password manager master code
Keep a digital & physical version for safety...
And make sure your spouse has access.
2) Legal Documents
-> Will (name guardians for kids)
-> Durable Power of Attorney
-> Healthcare Power of Attorney
-> Living Will/Healthcare Directive
Setting all of this up costs about $500...
($1,500 with an attorney)
But without them, the state decides everything.
3) Money Protection
Your family will need time to mourn.
Make sure they can do it without going broke:
-> Term life insurance (10x income)
-> Emergency fund (6-12 mo in a HYSA)
-> Retirement accounts with spouse access
4) The "First 48 Hours" Sheet
Write down clear instructions for your family:
Call this attorney: [Name/Number]
Call this CPA: [Name/Number]
File life insurance claim here: [Details]
Don't touch investments for 6 months
All bills are on autopay from [Account]
Grief destroys decision making.
This protects them.
5) Business Owner Addition
If you have a business, set up:
-> Buy sell agreements
-> Key person insurance
-> Business succession plan
-> Separate LLC owned by trust
If your company can't survive without you...
It's a 9-5 with extra steps.
6) Trust Setup
A proper trust can save your family $400k+ in probate costs.
But 90% of them are set up wrong:
-> Assets never get transferred in
-> Beneficiaries aren't updated
-> Pour-over will is missing
Here's how to fix that:
"Bulletproof" Trust System:
1) Revocable Living Trust
-> Avoids probate completely
-> Keeps finances private
-> Protects kids' inheritance
2) Pour-Over Will
-> Catches forgotten assets
3) Guardian Designation
-> Who raises your kids
-> How they get paid
Setting this up takes a weekend...
But ignoring it could cost your family everything.
So start before you're ready...
Because no one plans on dying.
Hope this helps!
Share with your spouse if you want to set this up...
And follow me for more 🤝🏻
We literally have the opposite economic set up than we had in January. I had the honor of joining @ScottTheCowGuy Tuesday. We discusses rates, energy, stagflation and how we have played this.
We called the top on $MSFT in January.
Since then it’s dropped over 25%.
Everyone keeps asking where I’m buying.
In this video I break down the exact level I expect a bounce, the timing, and the institutional support zone I’m watching.
Watch here 👇
The market has always shot and asked questions later, in both directions
What we have been seeing daily with every new Anthropic news is a market anticipating two things that compress the multiple
1) Slowdown in topline growth, ARR
2) Margin compression (lower switching costs, price wars)
There will be plenty of losers, but also the names that do not show either of those two things will rise to the top
Takes time/clarity though and frustrates investors, so best to be patient and focus on what is working, which is a lot and as said last month need to AI-proof your portfolio
Where is the money going? Electronic Components (LITE, COHR, MOD, KEYS, GLW, VRT, AXTI, etc), Power Solutions (BE, CAT, GEV etc), Infrastructure (PWR, MTZ etc.) and plenty of chipmakers. Also the commodities going into Energy/AI buildouts/modernizations like Copper, Uranium, Steel
And that is just the Tech-angle of what is working, flight to safety has Pharma, Staples, UTEs, REITS all strong but not really secular growth and can turn on a dime
Places AI will benefit for efficiencies with a ton of Industrials working, Aero remains a top group
Been the most bifurcated tape can remember to start a year and an optimal environment for trend followers
Health Care stocks are shaping up nicely amid an increasingly shaky tape. In absolute terms, the setup speaks for itself. The $XLV is coiled against all-time highs, storing energy for its next major move.
Now, the case becomes even more compelling when we look at the relative trend. The $XLV / $SPY ratio is now working on breaking a multi-year downtrend.
A synchronized breakout, both in absolute and relative terms, would put Health Care in a strong position for prolonged outperformance.
There's only been 28 trading days this year and ETFs have already pulled in about $250b. More than double any other start to a year. Up until 2020, $250b was what they averaged for a YEAR. That's $9b/day pace, or $2.2T ann. VOO, VTI unstoppable, but one big change tho: EM has replaced gold as the Flavor of the Month trade. Also, much less cash ETFs on leaderboard = people looking for more risk on inv opp eg XLE, RSP
It's probably just a coincidence that buyers showed up exactly at the rising 🟠5SMA in $GLD and $SLV
Another leg lower in the coming days would likely find buyers near the 🔵YTD⚓️VWAP
provisional anchor 🔴from ATH