Ümit Özden-Enerjico

Energy Project Development, Financing, Trading/ Enerjico, Sabancı, Banking,../ Probabilistic Thinker, Avid Reader, Complexity Believer, ML-DL Explorer

[Ümit Özden-Enerjico @uozden]

@AndreasSteno Well articulated . Thanks @AndreasSteno

[Ümit Özden-Enerjico @uozden]

The best books of the year 2025 by @FT https://t.co/TCFQPfaXAe

[Ümit Özden-Enerjico @uozden]

@IsKitaplari Teşekkürler.

[Ümit Özden-Enerjico @uozden]

Superintelligence is closer than we reckon.

[OpenAI @OpenAI]

Today we’re introducing GDPval, a new evaluation that measures AI on real-world, economically valuable tasks.

Evals ground progress in evidence instead of speculation and help track how AI improves at the kind of work that matters most.
https://t.co/uKPPDldVNS

[Ümit Özden-Enerjico @uozden]

Wishing You Success and Happiness In 2025. ~Enerjico has been at your service for 10 years~

[Ümit Özden-Enerjico @uozden]

Elektrik Depolama ile ilgili üç ayrı düzenleme TEİAŞ tarafından yayınlandı. https://t.co/pEhJexpW30

[PiQ @PiQMarkets]

🇺🇸 An overview of where Trump stands on key issues as detailed by his campaign platform, speeches, and interviews.

via Goldman Sachs

[T.C. Enerji ve Tabii Kaynaklar Bakanlığı @TCEnerji]

Bakanımız Sayın @aBayraktar1 “Enerji Dönüşümü-Yenilenebilir Enerji 2035 Lansmanı”nda Türkiye’nin yenilenebilir enerji yol haritasını açıklıyor. https://t.co/6sCZTYxqYT

[Ümit Özden-Enerjico @uozden]

Worth to read hydrogen’s potential contribution to reducing the risks and costs of achieving zero-emission power systems.

[Ümit Özden-Enerjico @uozden]

Second to your post @JessePeltan. Hence, cost-wise; AC setup offers savings on development, BoS, and OPEX while DC setup further savings on capex due to shared inverter.

[Jesse Peltan @JessePeltan]

Look at that ILR

[sirri uyanik @Sirri_Uyanik]

Türkiye elektrik enerjisi sektörünün karbonsuzlaşma yolunda projeksiyonu üzerine çalışmamız alanındaki en prestijli dergilerden Sustainability’de (SSCI, JCR-Q2) yayınlandı. Konuyla ilgilenenler için çalışma https://t.co/btJ4eyL4We adresinde sunulmaktadır.

[Ümit Özden-Enerjico @uozden]

Wishing You Success And Happiness in 2024
Happy New Year

[Mehmet Simsek @memetsimsek]

Uluslararası Enerji Ajansı Başkanı Sn. Dr. Fatih Birol'u @fbirol Bakanlığımızda ağırlamaktan memnuniyet duyduk.

İş dünyamızın önde gelen temsilcilerinin de katılımı ile gerçekleştirdiğimiz toplantıda; küresel enerji piyasalarındaki son eğilimleri, yenilenebilir ve temiz enerjide Çin’in artan ağırlığını, COP28’de çizilen çerçeveyi ve Avrupa Birliği’nin Sınırda Karbon Düzenleme Mekanizması gibi temel konuları derinlemesine tartışma fırsatı bulduk.

Enerji alanındaki paradigma değişimlerine hazır olmayı çok önemsiyoruz. Enerji verimliliği ve yenilenebilir enerjide oldukça büyük bir potansiyelimiz var. Bu potansiyelimizi en iyi şekilde kullanarak enerjide dışa bağımlılığımızı azaltıyor ve arz güvenliğimizi güçlendiriyoruz. Türkiye’nin bu alanda rekabet gücünü artırmayı ve 2053 yılında net sıfır emisyona ulaşmayı hedefliyoruz.

Orta Vadeli Programımızda, makrofinansal istikrarı sağlamanın yanında yapısal dönüşüme de büyük önem veriyoruz. Bu çerçevede mali disiplinin tesisi ile oluşturacağımız alan, yeşil ve dijital dönüşümde hedeflerimize ulaşmamızı kolaylaştıracak.

[Ümit Özden-Enerjico @uozden]

Reports/articles written with academic rigor and journalistic flair are more appealing

[Ümit Özden-Enerjico @uozden]

RIP Charlie Munger: The greatest of mental modelers.

“Knowing what you don't know is more useful than being brilliant” ~ Charlie Munger

[Ümit Özden-Enerjico @uozden]

The most critical dilemma as AGI evolves: existential risk versus growth potential. This is a fascinating optimization problem for the human realm

[Ümit Özden-Enerjico @uozden]

Footsteps of AGI...

[Chi Wang @Chi_Wang_]

Imagine if ✨multiple✨ ChatGPT agents could collaborate to solve complex tasks for you!
🧑‍🦰🤝🤖🤖🤖

📢 AutoGen: A new framework for building multi-agent LLM applications

Repo: https://t.co/srZMjs9a3T

Stay tuned for a new AutoGen tech report on 10/5…

#AutoGen #AI #LLMs #ML

[Ümit Özden-Enerjico @uozden]

Appreciate your alertness @predict_addict on this.

[Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict_addict]

Buried in small plots of the hyped NYU LLM one shot LLM paper are the visual results results of its “probabilistic forecasting.”

Let’s check the results using generally accepted methods for evaluation of probabilistic forecasts as described in my article “How to evaluate Probabilistic Forecasts” https://t.co/94Z6jA1VDo

The devs are claiming that probabilistic forecasts produced by this LLM using CRPS as a metric came top compared to other methods however even using tiny plots (one has to ask question why the team made these plots so tiny…) it is quite clear that both on the air passengers and gasrate datasets forecasts are quite bad.

* air passengers forecast has terrible coverage which is very clear even from visual inspection.

* the point forecast on gas rate suffers from typical symptoms of deep learning forecasts being disconnected from real patterns and the prediction intervals being very large.

One never sees such bad prediction intervals using well fitted models with conformal prediction on top.

None of these forecasts produced by NYU one shot LLM would be acceptable in business, also it appears the paper didn’t report the actual prediction interval coverage in comparison with user specified confidence.

#timeseries #forecasting

[Ümit Özden-Enerjico @uozden]

Grateful @RobinBrooksIIF for the worldwide view in the upcoming period.

[Robin Brooks @robin_j_brooks]

IMF/WB meetings in Marrakesh
1. Deep gloom beneath the surface. At best, the US is seen as divided and distracted. At worst, it's seen as weak. Wars in Ukraine and Israel are symptoms of this. Many think the US will get tested more and more, so geopolitical risk will keep rising.

[Ümit Özden-Enerjico @uozden]

Batteries on the way to grid balancing...

[Ed Porter @edcporter]

Are batteries a cheap or expensive tool in the balancing mechanism?

Typically, batteries are priced between CCGTs and pumped hydro.

With battery costs declining and carbon costs increasing for CCGTs, we expect batteries to be a cost-effective solution for grid balancing.