Clayton Gardner

Co-CEO at @titanvest (YC S18). Opinions are my own | Not investment/tax advice or recs to trade securities.

[Clayton Gardner @virtualclay]

😤

[Titan @titanvest]

We just made the largest trades in our Flagship portfolio's ~7yr history:

We bought Micron, Ciena, & Uranium Energy
We added to Microsoft, Nvidia, & Broadcom
We trimmed AMD & exited Exxon, Apple, & Alcon

Let’s dive in. 1/n

$MU $CIEN $UEC $MSFT $NVDA $AVGO $AMD $XOM $AAPL $ALC

[Clayton Gardner @virtualclay]

🫡

[Titan @titanvest]

We bought Micron (MU) to express a bullish view on AI inference where demand should accelerate in '25. Key part of the biz is high bandwidth memory (HBM), which gives GPUs high speed access to stacks of co-packaged DRAM, speeding up both AI training & inference. 2/n

[Clayton Gardner @virtualclay]

@buccocapital @deedydas As Jensen said, “that loser attitude, that loser premise makes no sense to me."

[Clayton Gardner @virtualclay]

@KobeissiLetter Is an Optimus robot considered a "resident"?

[Clayton Gardner @virtualclay]

@santu_design lol so you just copied us @titanvest

[Clayton Gardner @virtualclay]

Every layoff cycle, I see two kinds of people: the ones who prepared and made calm decisions, and the ones who got surprised and took the first exit offered

The difference is almost always whether they had a plan six months before the cuts started

We can build you one, grab time w/ us here:

https://t.co/RSs3xMCNWq

[Clayton Gardner @virtualclay]

@Meta is cutting 10% of jobs in a "push for efficiency" in the AI era

I'm hearing @Google is cutting ppl quietly too

A handful of growth-stage private co's are doing same thing

Employees I'm talking to are no longer asking "will I be next." Now it's "should I accelerate my equity vesting cliff decisions, or stay put."

🧵

[Clayton Gardner @virtualclay]

Don't decide this stuff at 2am based on a Blind thread

Do the math once, know your floor, and act from information instead of fear

[Clayton Gardner @virtualclay]

https://t.co/vJXjiiv8M9

[Clayton Gardner @virtualclay]

Your @xai strike price doesn't exist anymore.

When @SpaceX acquired xAI in February, every xAI option got re-papered into SpaceX equity.

The number on your original grant doc - the one you've been mentally modeling against - isn't the number that matters now.

🧵

[Clayton Gardner @virtualclay]

At @titanvest, we rebuild your equity picture from the merger docs first, then model tax and exercise decisions against the real numbers.

If you haven't re-baselined your xAI-to-SpaceX conversion, that's where to start. Link to schedule a call with us below.

[Clayton Gardner @virtualclay]

https://t.co/F2jVygvRX0

[Clayton Gardner @virtualclay]

If I was at @xai right now, I'd be buried in merger paperwork trying to figure out what I actually own.

10 weeks ago, @SpaceX acquired xAI in an all-stock deal at $1.25T. Here's what happened to your equity.

🧵

[Clayton Gardner @virtualclay]

At @titanvest, we're working with xAI and SpaceX employees on exactly this. We've seen what smart looks like. We've seen what costly looks like.

If you came in through xAI and haven't pressure-tested what you own post-conversion, that's the sign to figure this out ASAP. 📅

Link to schedule a complimentary call below.