Winchester Invest

Winchester Investment Solutions Ltd Regulated and Authorised by the FCA. Any tweets do not constitute advice or a recommendation. FCA no 498988

[Winchester Invest @wisifa]

Oh !

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

BREAKING: South Korea's stock market is officially down more than -15% over the last 5 days.

Nasdaq 100 futures are currently down -1% in overnight trading.

[Winchester Invest @wisifa]

Probably nothing 🍿🤷🏼

[The Great Martis @great_martis]

Another godlike call.

They laughed.
They mocked.
They wept.

Never bet against the Great One.

Thanks for listening.

[Winchester Invest @wisifa]

oh!

[The Assembly @InTheAssembly]

PALANTIR INSIDERS ARE DUMPING…

ZERO purchases in 2026…

What they have done:

Feb 20: Alex Karp sold $65.9M

Mar 2: Peter Thiel sold ~$290M

Aug 20: Alex Karp sold another $86M

August total across 6 executives: ~$95M

[Southampton FC @SouthamptonFC]

😎

[Winchester Invest @wisifa]

🎯💯

[Casey Donaldson @caseyjdonaldson]

The stock market is broken.

The S&P just hit its highest level of negative beta.

This means that as the S&P 500 goes up, the highest level of stocks ever are moving in the opposite direction.

A handful of companies are holding up the whole market by investing hundreds of billions in AI, while the rest of the market falls.

This is not a healthy market. Be careful out there...

[Winchester Invest @wisifa]

🎯💯

[The Great Martis @great_martis]

The conundrum.🚨

A historic, systemic divergence is taking place right before our eyes. As shown in the chart below, the Nasdaq continues to push upward in complete isolation, while the broader engine of the economy the Russell 2000, Dow Jones, Dow Transportation, and the Banking sector are breaking down.
~
This is not a healthy rotation; it is a profound structural disconnect. With macro yields signaling severe underlying stress, the broader market is flashing a clear warning of what lies ahead.
~
When the pillars of transport and banking give way, the tech sector cannot hold the line indefinitely.

Hope this helps.

Yours truly,
The Great Martis 💫

God bless and godspeed.

[The Great Martis @great_martis]

Fannie Mae manages over $4.6 trillion in mortgage risk, but its financial safety cushion is thin.

With a total net worth of around $116 billion, its capital cushion represents just 2.5% of its total exposure.

If single-family serious delinquencies rise from the current 0.58% to just 1.5%, its quarterly profits completely vanish.

While structural backstops like private mortgage insurance (PMI) and credit risk transfers (CRTs) protect it from an immediate 2008-style collapse, the institution operates on a razor-thin margin.

A relatively minor macroeconomic shift is all it takes to trigger a major corporate income crisis.

If a rise in delinquencies to 1.5% is considered a nightmare scenario, you can only imagine what a 5% rate would look like.

The major breach of its Head and Shoulders neckline is highly concerning and likely a Dire warning.🚨

Freddie Mac is walking the exact same dire path..but that is a story for another day.

[The Macro Paper @macropaperr]

🇺🇸 US 10Y yield highest in 24 years.
🇺🇸 US 20Y yield highest in 24 years.
🇺🇸 US 30Y yield highest in 24 years.
🇯🇵 Japan 10Y yield highest in 30 years.
🇯🇵 Japan 20Y yield highest in 31 years.
🇯🇵 Japan 30Y yield highest level ever.

How long before the global economy starts to break?

[Winchester Invest @wisifa]

@puckrin The methodology was changed I assume to reflect lower figures 🤷🏼 so of course it came in lower, that was the plan.

[Winchester Invest @wisifa]

So US PCE data came out softer, but if you change the methodology, you can get whatever results you want……🤷🏼

[Winchester Invest @wisifa]

Pay attention 🍿🤷🏼

[Winchester Invest @wisifa]

😬

[Peter Schiff @PeterSchiff]

The S&P 500 is 0.7% below a record high, yet 430 of those stocks are 21.7% below their highs. That means on average 86% of the stocks are in a bear market. Breadth has only been this bad twice, in January 1973 and in 1999/2000. On both occasions, the S&P then crashed nearly 50%

[Winchester Invest @wisifa]

@patientinvestor Or just a manipulation of the data 🤷🏼

[Winchester Invest @wisifa]

No surprises there expect a snap election.

[Sky News @SkyNews]

Andy Burnham may call an early general election because his "honeymoon period" will be over once he has to make decisions that "upset a lot of people", says ex-Labour special adviser @WizBates.

@AliFortescue | 📺 Sky 501

[Winchester Invest @wisifa]

Probably nothing 😬

[The Macro Paper @macropaperr]

GLOBAL BOND MARKET IS IMPLODING.

🇺🇸 US 10Y yield highest since 2007
🇯🇵 Japan 10Y yield highest since 1996
🇫🇷 France 10Y yield highest since 2008
🇬🇧 UK 10Y yield highest since 2007
🇩🇪 Germany 10Y yield highest since 2009
🇰🇷 South Korea 10Y yield highest since 2011
🇦🇺 Australia 10Y yield highest since 2011
🇳🇱 Netherlands 10Y yield highest since 2011
🇵🇹 Portugal 10Y yield highest since 2017

[The Hormuz Report @HormuzReport]

BREAKING: The US is again moving large numbers of strategic tankers and C-17 military transport aircraft toward the Middle East, with multiple aircraft tracked landing in Israel as a new US air bridge takes shape ahead of a potential large-scale attack on Iran, per Flightradar.

The buildup comes alongside increased military flight activity around the Strait of Hormuz and Iran , including KC-135 Stratotankers, KC-46 Pegasus tankers and MQ-4C Triton surveillance drones, as the US continues positioning forces and equipment in the region. The activity echoes patterns seen before previous strikes.

It comes days after Trump threatened to “annihilate” Iran at the UN, adding to growing indications of preparations for a possible major US operation against Tehran.

Iran has also kept its military at its highest alert level since shortly after Trump cut short his Camp David trip.

[Bull Theory @BullTheoryio]

BREAKING: Foreign purchases of short-term US debt just collapsed 80% in a year, falling from $250.5 billion to just $49.4 billion.

Long-term US debt purchases from foreign buyers also fell 46% over the same period, a combined $410 billion reversal.

This is happening right as the US needs to finance record amounts of new debt.

[Winchester Invest @wisifa]

😬🍿

[The Macro Paper @macropaperr]

🚨 JAPAN’S BOND CRISIS IS BACK.

Japan’s 10-year bond yield just surged above 3.06%, its highest level 3 decades.

The bond apocalypse is getting worse.

[Financelot @FinanceLancelot]

There goes Saudi Arabia's pipeline.

Europe, prepare for significantly higher fuel prices.

[Winchester Invest @wisifa]

Going up ! ⬆️

[Macro Liquidity by Sunil Reddy @Macrobysunil]

After US Treasury yields surged, today it’s Japan’s turn to go vertical.

Japan’s bond yields are jumping across the curve:

2Y: 1.90% (+6 bps)

10Y: 3.08% (+9 bps)

30Y: 4.16% (+8 bps)

The feedback loop continues.

Higher Japanese yields increase the incentive for Japanese investors to bring capital home, putting further selling pressure on US Treasuries.

US yields rise. Japanese yields rise. Global bond markets reinforce each other.

Welcome to a world where interest rates move like crypto.