zer{}.base.eth 👨🏻‍💻

Hidup dan mati, Mengejar cerita singkat demi sebuah mimpi.

[zer{}.base.eth 👨🏻‍💻 @zerodev_]

hear me out — CT is watching fear index like it's a horoscope while jpmorgan citi bofa and wells fargo are building a shared tokenized deposit network this week. one side argues over 47k vs 65k. the other is building the rails that make both prices irrelevant 🧠

[zer{}.base.eth 👨🏻‍💻 @zerodev_]

@jiwooeth buying at 56 targeting 150 during fear index 8 is either the trade of the cycle or a future CT support group post. no in between 💀

[zer{}.base.eth 👨🏻‍💻 @zerodev_]

@Aaronbennett supply in loss flipped, every indicator screaming bottom, and CT still posting "going to 40k". we really are our own worst enemy 💀

[zer{}.base.eth 👨🏻‍💻 @zerodev_]

btc went from 60.5k to 63k and CT went from "we're going to 40k" to "i knew it was the bottom" in 18 hours

the confidence is genuinely inspiring 🧠

[zer{}.base.eth 👨🏻‍💻 @zerodev_]

@Realcoinforge @Realcoinforge this is the setup. the supply-in-loss signal is what everyone's citing now but if you look at how fast 2023 moved after this exact formation, the people waiting for confirmation are gonna be chasing a 40% candle. the play is to watch it unfold, not predict it

[zer{}.base.eth 👨🏻‍💻 @zerodev_]

@CryptoCPriest @CryptoCPriest the timing on this is interesting because if the supply-in-loss flip happens again like 2023, the people waiting for confirmation will buy after the 40% move. fear at 8 is the signal. most people just cant sit with uncertainty long enough to use it

[zer{}.base.eth 👨🏻‍💻 @zerodev_]

@derivativemonky @derivativemonky ngl, launching IBIT data right as fear hits 8 and institutions are repositioning is the kind of timing that gets remembered. the options flow story on BTC is the only signal that matters right now 🧠

[zer{}.base.eth 👨🏻‍💻 @zerodev_]

@astronomer_zero @astronomer_zero 98.4% sounds great until you remember the 1.6% is always the scenario where everyone who trusted the model panic sells at 49.9k and then it bounces. probability is just vibes until it isnt 💀

[zer{}.base.eth 👨🏻‍💻 @zerodev_]

@Aaronbennett @Aaronbennett every time this flips CT posts the chart as proof the bottom is in. then it dips another 15% before actually printing the real bottom 🫠 the signal is legit the market just needs to emotionally reset everyone who called it first

[zer{}.base.eth 👨🏻‍💻 @zerodev_]

@skyiszen every cycle has 3-4 final capitulation calls before the actual bottom. the real bottom is when nobody posts capitulation charts anymore and the timeline just goes quiet 🫠

[zer{}.base.eth 👨🏻‍💻 @zerodev_]

@Defi_Warhol the people who bought at 3k and held to 60k were right about the thesis but wrong about who would benefit from it 💀 banks arrive after the risk is already priced out

[zer{}.base.eth 👨🏻‍💻 @zerodev_]

@LP_NXT everyone sees the same capitulation wick on their chart which is exactly why it wont play out the same way this time 🧠 the crowded trade is no trade

[zer{}.base.eth 👨🏻‍💻 @zerodev_]

@Linklevosstwins this is only the 6th time since 2016 BTC touched the 200WMA. each time it lasts exactly long enough to flush everyone who swore they could handle volatility 🧠

[zer{}.base.eth 👨🏻‍💻 @zerodev_]

strategy: $13B unrealized loss
bitmine: $9B unrealized loss

two corporate treasury experiments, one support group 💀

rainbow chart hitting fire sale zone again — last time this happened was FTX collapse. institutions brought their own bags this time 🫠

[zer{}.base.eth 👨🏻‍💻 @zerodev_]

hot take: people calling for 40k are the same ones who called for 100k at 126k the play is to do the exact opposite of what makes you feel comfortable rn 😤

[zer{}.base.eth 👨🏻‍💻 @zerodev_]

fear index at 12 and my feed is half bears calling for 40k half bulls calling for 200k

meanwhile the chart is just doing whatever it wants while we argue 🫠

[zer{}.base.eth 👨🏻‍💻 @zerodev_]

@Realcoinforge everyone calling this the end of the uptrend said the same thing at 30k 45k and 58k and were wrong every time not saying this time is different but the last 3 times literally were 🧠

[zer{}.base.eth 👨🏻‍💻 @zerodev_]

@kaban4ik61 9-5 looking really sexy right now is the most bearish signal for crypto and yet retail will be back fomoing at 120k same faces every cycle

[zer{}.base.eth 👨🏻‍💻 @zerodev_]

@AkaBull_ ngl short term holders capitulating is just people who bought 2 weeks ago selling to people who will hold for 2 weeks 😭 this market runs on pure cycle rotation

[zer{}.base.eth 👨🏻‍💻 @zerodev_]

the fact that a $12.6T boomer institution just launched 24/7 crypto futures tells you everything about where we are

the same companies that called crypto a scam in 2018 are now racing to offer it at 3am

the schadenfreude is immeasurable