Awaclus

Music producer/composer, MSO International Master of Dominion Base & Dominion Expansions. Member in @BirdsOfNecama. 𝑓𝑓

[Awaclus @Awaclus]

Time to shill a new thing I made! #輪るピングドラム

https://t.co/YWtsjs0PJ4

[Ava Eva Thornton 🌶️🍋🎵🏳️‍⚧️ @AvaEvaThornton]

The 21st century's biggest idea: we should make some effort to do good things and at least TRY to be competent at it

[MA-2㌠(まつ) @ma2_Matsu]

#鹿目まどか生誕祭2026

まどっちお誕生日おめでとう🎂🎉

[Awaclus @Awaclus]

@PlastiqSoldier @mattyglesias That is arguably an improvement, if you assume shrimp have net negative lives.

[=ODDEEO= @_ODDEEO_]

Hey there!

@NeurosamaAI and I teamed up to make "Pattern Recognition"! A song about Neuro's real affect in ourselves, and a song about growth.

Thank you @Vedal987 for getting me involved! Special thanks to @sleppuccino for assisting me with coloring!

[Awaclus @Awaclus]

@JuhaItkonen Lakkaan olemasta huolissani siinä vaiheessa, kun käsitykseni tilanteesta ja ehdottamani ratkaisut lakkaavat olemasta kontroversiaaleja.

[Awaclus @Awaclus]

@JuhaItkonen Olen eniten huolissani niistä ongelmista, joiden ratkaiseminen herättää eniten vastustusta, joiden olemassaolosta ei julkisessa keskustelussa vaikuteta olevan tietoisia ollenkaan, ja/tai joissa eri ratkaisujen toimivuuteen liittyy yleisiä kriittisiä väärinkäsityksiä.

[Awaclus @Awaclus]

@ubuntu58 @yishan There's no reason why it has to be sentient.

[Awaclus @Awaclus]

@GaryMarcus My best guess is that we're one significant (probably software-related) innovation away from having the technology for it, and who knows when someone comes up with it, but that could be wrong in either direction.

[Awaclus @Awaclus]

@GaryMarcus I don't expect it to happen that soon, but it's borderline plausible. Really just depends on when exactly we'll reach ASI, and I don't think we can confidently say much about that.

[Awaclus @Awaclus]

@simizuhatumi 機種によって異なります。通常は可能ですが、作業が少し難しいかもしれません。YouTubeなどで様々な機種の交換手順が紹介されていますし、専門の業者に診てもらうことも可能です。

[Awaclus @Awaclus]

@simizuhatumi 差し出がましいようですが、もしメモリの故障であれば、メモリを交換するだけで済むのではないでしょうか。ハードディスクに異常がない限り、保存されたファイルも復旧できるはずです。

[Awaclus @Awaclus]

@lordvictor @robbensinger @logisti00 @ESYudkowsky It's probably not even that we're consumers of resources, in the sense that it would need to get rid of us to stop us from consuming resources. It'll probably just use the resources and then we'll die from a lack of resources.

[Awaclus @Awaclus]

@DrMcMuffin40 @Bunagayafrost (It is an apt comparison to AI x-risk so far. We haven't reached the stage where a lot of hard work and money is going into fixing the problem yet, but we are at the stage where it is a legitimate concern being raised by mainstream computer scientists.)

[Awaclus @Awaclus]

@DrMcMuffin40 @Bunagayafrost You do understand that the Y2K bug was a legitimate concern by mainstream computer scientists, we avoided a disaster only because a lot of hard work and money went into fixing the problem in advance, and various systems still failed all over the world on Jan 1, 2000, right?

[Molly Kinder @Mollykinder]

This a.m., I walked my two youngest kids (ages 7 and 4) to school. I held their little hands as we crossed streets, and gave my youngest a giant hug at his PreK4 classroom door.

Then, after walking a block towards home, I opened this app to a terrifying stream of tweets.

Of course, I have heard about "alignment" and "AI safety" and "x risk" concerns for years. I took these concerns at face value, especially when I heard them directly from folks at the labs working closest with the technology. And I was grateful so many smart people are working on them. And that's about it. (My work focuses on AI's impact on jobs.)

But something has shifted, dramatically, for me in the last few weeks. Between the Hugging Face incident, the damning independent @METR_Evals reports that followed, and the alarming chorus of calls (pleas? shouts? SOS signals?) from inside the labs that we are careening toward potential catastrophe, all of this has made me feel, viscerally, how truly dangerous this moment is.

Clearly I am not alone in this light bulb moment. It is one thing for someone in a tropical climate to try and conceptualize snow. It is another thing entirely to be knee deep in it, frozen down to your toes. Somehow hearing the details of the HF incident felt to me more like trudging through snow than theorizing about a possible blizzard; it really hit home.

Which is why, standing a block from my children's elementary school in Capitol Hill this morning, I felt sick to my stomach reading my phone.

I kept going back to @EvanHub's > 0.1 risk of AI killing us all. TEN PERCENT. *Greater* than ten percent. (To be fair to him, he was clear his worry isn't today's models, but what comes next.)

As a parent, it is extraordinary the lengths I will go to keep my children safe against lethal risks with infinitesimal chances of happening.

Bike to school? My children *must* wear a helmet. A national study found 2 bicycle-related deaths per million children <16 in states with helmet laws, vs 2.5 per million in states without. So: 0.000002. More than half the states passed a law over that.

When I was pregnant, I religiously avoided soft cheese, hyper aware of the risks of listeria, even as @ProfEmilyOster's fabulous books walked me through the actual math. The joint FDA/FSIS risk assessment puts the odds of listeriosis at roughly one in 5 million per serving of soft cheese. 0.0000002.

This morning, as I microwaved oatmeal for my kids' breakfast, I made sure I avoided a plastic bowl, to avoid some future cancer risks or something else we'll discover plastic causes.

As a parent, I will go to extraordinary lengths to keep my kids' safe. Because that is literally my number one job as a parent.

And yet, here I am, outside my kids' school this morning, scrolling through tweet after tweet about the AI arms race, the blistering pace of technological progress, the bee-line for trillion dollar IPOs, and our professed (confessed?) inability to make sure this exceedingly capable technology we are racing to create and unleash into the world won't escape our control and destroy us. Or, more bluntly, kill our children.

To be sure, we are tied in knots trying to resolve the game theory dynamics with China, and there are all sorts of competitive pressures and unresolved tensions. But OBVIOUSLY, we need a proactive plan, with real coordination, effective regulation, and an ability to do what my 11-year-old bluntly stated as the clear solution if we are at risk of serious harm: just turn it off.

We also need to figure out better ways of talking about this with the American public, outside of the AI-pilled Twitterverse.

I just polled my college roommates, sisters, book club, mom friends, none of whom are anywhere close to the AI conversation. Suffice to say, this AI safety conversation has *not* entered the mainstream. Most people I pinged are not following it closely, beyond several listening to @kevinroose on the Daily a few days ago. The newspaper headlines don't speak to them, and they aren't clicking. It seems like a niche AI issue. Others said it all sounded hyperbolic, Y2K all over again.

One friend said bluntly, "people get data centers and jobs. They like to get paid and have water."

Even those who tuned it to the Daily episode found the issue hard to understand, and overwhelming to wrap their heads around. Terms like "superintelligence" and "alignment" are getting lost on people. Several people told me the paper clip example used everyday language people can actually understand. Another friend said she has never seen a clear explanation of *how* AI could kill us all.

Here's my two cents. I think these issues are *exceedingly* important and hugely consequential to literally every person in this country. We need an actual plan, and we need policymakers to step up, asap. Right now, I hear only crickets in DC, where I live.

For that to happen, this needs to be a kitchen table conversation, not just an x debate among AI insiders who speak in technical terms that leave normal people behind. This moment demands brilliant communicators -- journalists, experts, activists, concerned citizens, writers, researchers, filmmakers, creatives-- who can relate this to people in ways they can wrap their heads around, who can connect this to what matters in their lives (ahem, keeping their kids alive!), and who can lay out practical steps that policymakers can do to safeguard humanity.

In other words, this can't just be talked about on @dwarkesh_sp, it needs to be everywhere, from the View to People Magazine.

And it needs to be tackled here, in my town, in Washington, DC. One of the streets I crossed this morning with my kids on the way to school was East Capital. I told my kids to look left, and see if they could spot the capital building.

There were too many trees this morning blocking the view.

[Awaclus @Awaclus]

@HamSandwich99 @yishan It doesn't write terrible music but you have little control over the results, and it outputs its compositions in the least convenient format possible (i.e. audio as opposed to MIDI or sheet music). It might be fun to play around with but it's next to useless for serious stuff.

[Awaclus @Awaclus]

@robinhanson Before 2023, they were funny bots that said silly things at best, and then all of a sudden they were useful.

[Awaclus @Awaclus]

@Ernest1588761 This is really the strongest demonstration that there's no substantial divine influence on the world. Things happen when humans figure out how to do it; there's neither a higher power that will do it for us, nor a higher power that can stop us.

[Awaclus @Awaclus]

@AnttiKaariainen Lähes kaikki äänet menevät joka tapauksessa hukkaan. Vain ratkaisevilla äänillä on vaikutusta tulokseen ja niitä on tuhansien äänten joukossa yksittäisiä.

Äänestämässä kannattaa käydä vain siksi, että se on kivaa, ja on enemmän kivaa äänestää puoluetta, jonka takana voi seistä.