Borntobe4

[Borntobe4 @Borntobe46]

@NickyBTheDude5 @IAPolls2022 I would say its about half of indies

[Borntobe4 @Borntobe46]

@now50now @IAPolls2022 This is only people that hate both parties so about half of independents. So its very polarizing generic ballot poll. Its almost like polling maga republicans or dsa democrats.

[Borntobe4 @Borntobe46]

@Father_McCarthy @pooppooop123367 Paxton +3 is actually a pretty big outlier all things considered since hes pulling around 2 to 3 behind in almost every other poll.

[Borntobe4 @Borntobe46]

@SiroceJohn @RobQuint2 @IAPolls2022 @WinWithJMC It has been bookmarked. My official prediction is maine sticks R all tossups including Ohio Alaska and Texas go D. Iowa and Nebraska will be close but R holds on. Thats my official prediction one month out.

[Borntobe4 @Borntobe46]

@CZCowboy1986 @RodneyDMoore5 @Eric_The4th @RedEaglePatriot This time hes top of the ticket. Senator should be the one mobilesing the base and he has gained zero ground in months.

[Borntobe4 @Borntobe46]

@ShadeSalvo One if the exit polls for the runoff had Paxton up by 22% and the Trump endorsement of Paxton was fresh. I think a lot of cornyn voters were demoralized after that.

[Borntobe4 @Borntobe46]

@10jesusfollowr @7jv4sz3_hope @KenPaxtonTX

[Borntobe4 @Borntobe46]

@RomanYbarra @ElectionTime_ @Pollsmax Same site showing evidence of Paxton “winning”

[Borntobe4 @Borntobe46]

@Texpatriot26 Same site shows evidence against Paxton winning😭✌️

[Borntobe4 @Borntobe46]

@Keup9189 @RedEaglePatriot @RealTXPolitics Alaska has a very high number of independents and the national enviroment is very against republicans right now.

[Borntobe4 @Borntobe46]

@jeza360 @IAPolls2022 @GSG That poll was way worse because it was a major outlier. But yeah I dont trust this poll.

[Borntobe4 @Borntobe46]

@SiroceJohn @RobQuint2 @IAPolls2022 @WinWithJMC Collins votes with democrats more then she votes with republicans. Also Maine has a very high population of independents. Of the swings this cycle I think it has the best chance to stick R even more then Texas.

[Borntobe4 @Borntobe46]

@miracletexas @NateSilver538 Keep in mind right before the 2025 election they shut the government down for like a month.

[Borntobe4 @Borntobe46]

@SiroceJohn @RobQuint2 @IAPolls2022 @WinWithJMC Whyd you bring it up😭✌️F teir ragebait

[Borntobe4 @Borntobe46]

@PurpleHeartMan @Faj1791 Losing Texas will be a wakeup call that republicans better not put up people like Paxton.

[Borntobe4 @Borntobe46]

@RodneyDMoore5 @CZCowboy1986 @Eric_The4th @RedEaglePatriot Its only R+1 if you combine democrats and independents.

[Borntobe4 @Borntobe46]

@CZCowboy1986 @RodneyDMoore5 @Eric_The4th @RedEaglePatriot Its because Paxton is historically unpopular. Its not that Talarico is “getting” that vote they just arent voting Paxton.

[Borntobe4 @Borntobe46]

@Specops119 @goldenpolitical @OpenSourceZone Its not the same. Its similar in a sense that republicans are down and democrats are up. But its a midterm election vs presidential election. Midterms usually have more impactful generic ballots. Its closer to an election like 2006 or 2018. More 2006 because of iran.

[Borntobe4 @Borntobe46]

@LadChabawr @OpenSourceZone I think Inside Elections weights differently then a lot of other models. Its a lot more R then most polling models. I dont think its as simple as this race might be closer.

[Borntobe4 @Borntobe46]

@Eduardoldkmv @chriswithans “Gotta take our country back” ahhhh