Philip Brenneise

[Philip Brenneise @CZCowboy1986]

@PinguinoLatin Like the polling in TX this cycle, betting markets have become a joke

[Philip Brenneise @CZCowboy1986]

@MikeRinaldiJr @MikeParker @PatrickRuffini He won’t bc polling in TX is garbage this yr

[Philip Brenneise @CZCowboy1986]

@MinillaOk @BozoVinny Sorry TX is not flipping

[Philip Brenneise @CZCowboy1986]

@based_saltine Dems are not getting 230+ seats in the house.

[Philip Brenneise @CZCowboy1986]

@ZacharyDonnini Which means literally nothing

[Philip Brenneise @CZCowboy1986]

@electionsjack @TrueNorth4ever ME is going to Collins. Polls generally under estimate her substantially nd the fact she’s even leading a fair number going into the election is a pretty clear indicator Jackson is cooked. Otherwise, your assessments are pretty fair.

[Philip Brenneise @CZCowboy1986]

@varadmehta Paxton is winning this - polling is TX is cooked

[Philip Brenneise @CZCowboy1986]

@Borntobe46 @RodneyDMoore5 @Eric_The4th @RedEaglePatriot That’s a big assumption. It’s more realistic to make the argument that Paxton is a known quantity, who has won state wide multiple times, and will see strong support despite his “scandals”.

[Philip Brenneise @CZCowboy1986]

@PNWPragmatist Nope

[Philip Brenneise @CZCowboy1986]

@nardwrites He’s not going to win. Polling is cooked here in TX

[Philip Brenneise @CZCowboy1986]

@earlyvotedata TX isn’t going blue either. Polling is cooked here.

[Philip Brenneise @CZCowboy1986]

@roon0292 Talarico’s not winning, but sure you do you

[Philip Brenneise @CZCowboy1986]

@TonerousHyus @realtonysm1th Literally what I was just about to ask haha

[Philip Brenneise @CZCowboy1986]

@TheDataGooroo And OH early voting paints the opposite picture, but you do you.

[Philip Brenneise @CZCowboy1986]

@OldFaithful1176 @TheDataGooroo Lol nope

[Philip Brenneise @CZCowboy1986]

@RodneyDMoore5 @Eric_The4th @RedEaglePatriot lol ok - if you say so. Riddle me this, most polls in TX this cycle assume Talarico improbably gets a share of the white vote that Beto couldn’t even achieve, like 43-45%. How does that happen realistically? Cuz if it’s more like how TX historically votes, he’s toast.

[Philip Brenneise @CZCowboy1986]

@vaxxedBTBBE1965 @rmwarrior7 TX polling is in for a big miss this yr

[Philip Brenneise @CZCowboy1986]

@jxcxbrxss @_ita_vero Nice now explain how TPOR and Marist are accurate

[Philip Brenneise @CZCowboy1986]

@ReubenR80027912 D+ double if it environment isn’t happening

[Philip Brenneise @CZCowboy1986]

@IAPolls2022 My prediction for most of these races - the opposite of whatever the dorks at kalshi or polymarket say it will be.